NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	129		Excitement	11.8 [34]		MVP	Julius Randle (NOP): +56.6%
Dallas Mavericks	125		Comeback	32.4 [45]		LVP	Tim Hardaway Jr. (DAL): -24.9%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Julius Randle	0.57	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.22,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57	0.14	0.44	0.01	24	61%	0.58	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Elfrid Payton	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,0.07,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11	0.03	0.08	0.00	12	59%	0.18	3	-0.07	8	87%	0.04
Anthony Davis	0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.11	-0.01	0.03	11	80%	0.16	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Darius Miller	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07	-0.04	0.13	0.02	8	56%	0.17	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.00
Dairis Bertans	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.07	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Cheick Diallo	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	7	50%	0.12	2	-0.12	2	100%	0.03
Stanley Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Clark	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.03	-0.00	10	45%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jahlil Okafor	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kenrich Williams	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	10	40%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Jackson	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08	-0.00	-0.06	0.03	17	50%	-0.04	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.13	0.02	0.04	8	80%	0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Justin Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.05	0.00	4	60%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Salah Mejri	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	6	75%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Brunson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.09	0.01	13	52%	0.14	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Maxi Kleber	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.05	-0.00	10	43%	0.07	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Luka Doncic	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,0,-0.09,-0.09,0.15,0.03,0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.08	0.09	-0.00	26	46%	0.17	5	-0.15	11	73%	-0.18
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	6	42%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.02	0.01	6	57%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Broekhoff	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	6	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.19,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.22,-0.25	-0.25	-0.04	-0.20	0.01	18	52%	0.02	5	-0.27	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.5	2.5	26.3	14.5	26.2	1.8	34.2	1.6	15.2	146.9
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	3.3	15.6	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +76.0%

DAL -30.0%

NOP +8.0%

NOP +8.5%

DAL -12.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	DAL	NBA	NOP	DAL	NBA
this game	13.2	14.1	14.3	110.3	107.8	109.3
season	13.4	14.7		110.2	108.5
opponent	14.1	14.2		109.7	111.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NOP	11.9	15.6	14.8	12.9	9.6	13.2
DAL	13.4	13.8	15.2	14.3	13.5	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenrich Williams	89	89	0.96	-0.46	1.42	0.46	17	-13	30	13.0	14.1	-1.14	14.2	13.7	0.51
Frank Jackson	90	89	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.36	11	-7	18	13.2	13.5	-0.31	13.6	15.5	-1.85
Darius Miller	71	70	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.52	1	3	-2	12.2	14.8	-2.65	14.4	13.5	0.89
Cheick Diallo	62	59	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.49	0	4	-4	12.7	13.8	-1.09	14.2	13.9	0.36
Elfrid Payton	83	83	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.28	6	-2	8	13.1	13.7	-0.62	13.6	15.2	-1.57
Julius Randle	73	72	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.07	5	-1	6	14.3	11.5	2.71	14.1	14.0	0.02
Ian Clark	32	31	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.08	-4	8	-12	12.7	13.4	-0.76	15.3	13.6	1.68
Stanley Johnson	11	12	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.00	-2	6	-8	15.1	13.0	2.04	15.6	13.9	1.70
Anthony Davis	43	45	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.25	2	2	0	14.8	12.3	2.53	13.8	14.2	-0.35
Jahlil Okafor	16	16	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.10	-10	14	-24	11.9	13.4	-1.51	12.4	14.3	-1.88
Dairis Bertans	15	14	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.06	-6	10	-16	15.0	13.0	2.02	14.6	14.0	0.66

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Harris	42	44	0.37	-0.87	1.24	0.05	11	-15	26	14.0	14.1	-0.17	11.9	14.0	-2.10
Maxi Kleber	50	51	0.34	-0.84	1.19	0.20	5	-9	14	14.7	13.6	1.09	14.4	12.4	1.97
Justin Jackson	24	24	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.04	5	-9	14	15.3	13.7	1.55	15.2	12.7	2.48
Trey Burke	9	8	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.01	2	-6	8	15.7	13.9	1.74	13.5	13.2	0.28
Salah Mejri	30	30	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.01	0	-4	4	14.7	13.8	0.91	13.6	13.1	0.44
Ryan Broekhoff	3	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.09	3	-7	10	6.3	14.3	-7.93	2.0	13.6	-11.64
Dirk Nowitzki	28	28	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.12	-4	0	-4	14.0	14.1	-0.08	12.9	13.4	-0.50
Tim Hardaway Jr.	76	76	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.24	-8	4	-12	13.7	14.7	-0.98	13.0	13.7	-0.68
Dorian Finney-Smith	70	71	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.31	-8	4	-12	14.0	14.2	-0.22	13.1	13.4	-0.29
Jalen Brunson	85	84	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.35	-8	4	-12	13.9	14.6	-0.75	13.9	11.6	2.27
Luka Doncic	85	86	-0.72	0.22	-0.95	-0.49	-8	4	-12	14.1	14.0	0.04	13.1	13.6	-0.55
Dwight Powell	78	79	-0.81	0.31	-1.12	-0.52	-10	6	-16	13.8	14.5	-0.69	13.0	13.7	-0.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.39,0.3,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.27,0.34,0.53,0.81,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.54,0.39,0.28,0.23,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 99, ORL 91	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.4,0.34,0.22,0.25,0.29,0.23,0.26,0.34,0.39,0.47,0.72,0.77,0.98,0.54,0.62,0.36,0.33,0.41,0	90.2%
SAC 112, UTA 102	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.57,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.52,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.43,0.33,0.29,0.19,0.13,0.29,0.48,0.75,0.93,0.85,0.92,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.1,0.01,0	89.5%
UTA 98, DET 95	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.69,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.29,0.42,0.42,0.59,0.59,0.47,0.75,0.97,0.9,0.87,0.54,0.61,0.07,0.06,0.02,0	87.5%