NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	97		Excitement	5.4 [778]		MVP	Langston Galloway (DET): +20.1%
Detroit Pistons	111		Comeback	1.3 [1209]		LVP	Blake Griffin (DET): -19.4%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.12	-0.00	0.02	9	77%	0.14	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
JaVale McGee	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.10	-0.02	0.05	16	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Caruso	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.02	0.04	11	53%	0.05	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.01
Mike Muscala	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Ingram	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johnathan Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Isaac Bonga	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	0.04	13	54%	-0.00	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Moritz Wagner	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	5	21%	-0.04	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Kyle Kuzma	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	14	37%	-0.05	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.01
Reggie Bullock	-0.13	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.02	0.00	7	29%	-0.06	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.25	0.04	0.09	10	100%	0.20	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.03	0.02	8	75%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.05	-0.02	19	47%	0.10	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.01
Andre Drummond	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	15	53%	0.05	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.04
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	8	44%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	1	80%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Thon Maker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	2	67%	0.03	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Bruce Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kennard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	9	26%	-0.03	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.10	-0.05	0.04	12	42%	-0.09	4	-0.11	12	58%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	2.6	29.2	14.6	26.4	2.7	30.2	133.8
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +54.6%

LAL -13.9%

DET +4.8%

DET +3.5%

DET +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	DET	NBA	LAL	DET	NBA
this game	12.8	16.5	14.3	98.0	113.3	109.3
season	13.5	15.3		107.2	107.5
opponent	14.0	14.2		109.0	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	10.6	16.1	15.0	10.6	12.8
DET	14.7	19.9	14.4	17.8	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Ingram	14	12	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.15	8	-22	30	11.9	12.9	-0.98	16.1	16.5	-0.46
Johnathan Williams	31	29	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.18	9	-23	32	12.8	12.7	0.10	16.2	16.6	-0.40
Isaac Bonga	9	9	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.06	-2	-12	10	15.6	12.5	3.07	18.6	16.3	2.27
Alex Caruso	46	46	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.02	0	-14	14	14.3	11.4	2.87	17.3	15.7	1.62
Mike Muscala	31	31	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.06	-8	-6	-2	14.0	12.2	1.79	17.2	16.2	1.03
Moritz Wagner	41	40	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.04	-7	-7	0	12.9	12.7	0.15	13.7	18.4	-4.67
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	59	58	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.10	-7	-7	0	13.2	12.2	0.99	17.1	15.7	1.38
Reggie Bullock	46	46	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.04	-12	-2	-10	11.6	13.8	-2.16	16.6	16.4	0.14
Kyle Kuzma	82	81	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.14	-10	-4	-6	11.8	17.5	-5.68	16.5	16.5	0.02
JaVale McGee	60	62	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	0.08	-21	7	-28	12.5	13.1	-0.59	16.8	15.9	0.95
Rajon Rondo	76	76	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	0.03	-20	6	-26	12.7	13.0	-0.25	16.3	17.1	-0.83

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Drummond	78	80	0.69	-0.19	0.88	-0.04	25	-11	36	15.6	19.8	-4.22	12.3	14.9	-2.63
Reggie Jackson	62	63	0.56	-0.06	0.61	-0.06	21	-7	28	15.2	18.7	-3.44	12.5	13.2	-0.63
Blake Griffin	71	73	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.01	17	-3	20	16.2	17.2	-0.96	11.9	15.3	-3.44
Wayne Ellington	59	58	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.03	16	-2	18	15.9	17.3	-1.40	12.5	13.1	-0.56
Langston Galloway	64	64	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.12	8	6	2	17.0	15.5	1.47	13.1	12.1	0.97
Bruce Brown	34	35	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.03	6	8	-2	15.5	17.0	-1.47	12.1	13.1	-0.97
Luke Kennard	39	41	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.12	-2	16	-18	17.3	15.9	1.40	13.1	12.5	0.56
Ish Smith	36	36	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.15	-7	21	-28	18.7	15.2	3.44	13.2	12.5	0.63
Thon Maker	30	28	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.13	-7	21	-28	17.7	16.0	1.70	14.8	12.0	2.81
Zaza Pachulia	17	17	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.10	-7	21	-28	19.5	15.9	3.61	15.7	12.2	3.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.61,0.51,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.66,0.74,0.78,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.72,0.87,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 94, LAL 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.73,0.66,0.6,0.72,0.64,0.76,0.77,0.71,0.78,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
CHH 73, CLE 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.85,0.94,0.89,0.92,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
UTA 77, ORL 90	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.76,0.82,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	95.0%