NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	89		Excitement	6.0 [655]		MVP	Joel Embiid (PHI): +10.0%
Philadelphia 76ers	106		Comeback	4.3 [584]		LVP	Domantas Sabonis (IND): -21.9%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Holiday	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.00	-0.02	4	67%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.02	-0.00	6	77%	0.07	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Davon Reed	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Edmond Sumner	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.01	0.02	11	48%	0.01	1	-0.01	7	43%	-0.06
Bojan Bogdanovic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.02	16	45%	0.05	2	-0.06	8	62%	-0.02
Myles Turner	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	7	37%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Wesley Matthews	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	7	31%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
TJ Leaf	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	6	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	-0.13	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.03	0.01	10	37%	-0.08	3	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Domantas Sabonis	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.16	-0.05	0.01	7	35%	-0.09	5	-0.13	12	58%	-0.06

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joel Embiid	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.12,-0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.08	0.08	21	58%	0.14	2	-0.04	15	73%	-0.00
Ben Simmons	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.01	10	60%	0.09	1	-0.01	5	60%	-0.03
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	8	55%	0.07	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
James Ennis III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.03	0.01	5	57%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	8	56%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Justin Patton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathon Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonah Bolden	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	-0.01	16	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	8	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.03	5	20%	-0.01	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	-0.02	4	0%	-0.08	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.4	3.5	28.5	14.8	32.5	3.3	34.4	145.2
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +22.6%

PHI +18.3%

PHI +8.8%

PHI +1.3%

IND -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	PHI	NBA	IND	PHI	NBA
this game	15.3	13.8	14.3	90.8	106.0	109.3
season	14.5	14.0		108.4	110.9
opponent	14.1	14.6		108.1	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.2	14.0	17.4	15.8	15.3
PHI	14.0	14.2	12.1	14.9	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Myles Turner	37	40	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.10	-1	-16	15	15.0	15.5	-0.46	15.0	13.0	1.97
Kyle O'Quinn	15	14	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.06	0	-17	17	16.7	15.1	1.67	11.4	14.2	-2.75
Davon Reed	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-16	15	13.5	15.4	-1.85	11.5	13.8	-2.34
Edmond Sumner	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-16	15	13.5	15.4	-1.85	11.5	13.8	-2.34
Wesley Matthews	81	82	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.14	-5	-12	7	15.0	16.9	-1.97	14.4	10.9	3.47
TJ Leaf	11	12	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.06	-3	-14	11	13.9	15.5	-1.59	10.7	14.2	-3.55
Doug McDermott	29	31	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.23	2	-19	21	14.9	15.5	-0.65	13.6	13.9	-0.26
Cory Joseph	46	47	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.17	0	-17	17	15.2	15.4	-0.27	14.0	13.6	0.32
Aaron Holiday	18	20	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.14	-3	-14	11	13.8	15.6	-1.82	11.9	14.3	-2.36
Thaddeus Young	74	75	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.12	-17	0	-17	15.8	14.0	1.80	14.2	12.4	1.80
Bojan Bogdanovic	71	72	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.09	-19	2	-21	15.4	15.2	0.13	13.6	14.2	-0.64
Darren Collison	60	59	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	0.10	-22	5	-27	16.3	13.8	2.49	13.9	13.7	0.22
Domantas Sabonis	44	44	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.19	-15	-2	-13	15.2	15.4	-0.29	13.6	14.0	-0.40

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Scott	56	53	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.02	20	-3	23	12.8	15.1	-2.32	15.2	15.5	-0.32
Joel Embiid	58	57	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.03	16	1	15	13.3	14.5	-1.18	16.1	14.2	1.97
Ben Simmons	71	73	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.14	19	-2	21	13.8	13.7	0.19	15.6	14.6	0.96
Jimmy Butler	63	62	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.09	8	9	-1	13.5	14.3	-0.85	16.3	13.6	2.78
JJ Redick	69	67	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.06	12	5	7	14.0	13.4	0.54	16.0	13.9	2.02
James Ennis III	38	38	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.01	9	8	1	14.0	13.7	0.30	13.7	16.3	-2.58
Amir Johnson	38	37	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.06	5	12	-7	14.1	13.6	0.51	14.4	15.9	-1.46
T.J. McConnell	29	25	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.14	-2	19	-21	13.7	13.8	-0.19	14.6	15.6	-0.96
Justin Patton	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	16	-15	11.5	13.8	-2.34	13.5	15.4	-1.85
Jonathon Simmons	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	16	-15	11.5	13.8	-2.34	13.5	15.4	-1.85
Jonah Bolden	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	16	-15	11.5	13.8	-2.34	13.5	15.4	-1.85
Tobias Harris	73	73	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.01	-3	20	-23	14.8	11.0	3.87	14.8	17.0	-2.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.4,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.41,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.58,0.74,0.88,0.83,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 78, NJN 86	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.38,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.29,0.26,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.74,0.82,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.9,0.86,0.89,0.97,1,1	93.4%
MIN 102, PHX 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.23,0.23,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.29,0.41,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.87,0.88,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	93.4%
HOU 96, MIL 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.31,0.28,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.18,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.39,0.41,0.32,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.48,0.62,0.57,0.66,0.76,0.73,0.86,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.95,1,1,1	93.1%