NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	120		Excitement	4.7 [924]		MVP	Kyrie Irving (BOS): +25.3%
Los Angeles Lakers	107		Comeback	1.2 [1065]		LVP	Rajon Rondo (LAL): -16.6%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyrie Irving	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.24	0.06	0.05	18	81%	0.28	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Marcus Smart	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.11	0.02	-0.01	8	100%	0.19	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.01	0.01	8	75%	0.12	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.01
Terry Rozier	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	8	62%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	-0.00	-0.02	6	71%	0.06	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Aron Baynes	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	58%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Guerschon Yabusele	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Semi Ojeleye	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brad Wanamaker	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Theis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.05	16	47%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jayson Tatum	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	7	37%	-0.00	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jaylen Brown	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	12	32%	-0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Moritz Wagner	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.02	-0.01	13	67%	0.17	3	-0.05	7	100%	0.04
Alex Caruso	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	0.00	0.04	3	100%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Johnathan Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.00	0.04	16	56%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Josh Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	10	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Bullock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	9	39%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaac Bonga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.06	-0.03	0.08	23	57%	0.02	3	-0.07	7	43%	-0.05
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-0.05	0.02	7	29%	-0.09	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	3.5	28.7	14.6	27.0	2.6	26.5	126.2
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +50.0%

LAL -1.4%

BOS +0.6%

BOS +1.7%

LAL -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	LAL	NBA	BOS	LAL	NBA
this game	13.9	14.5	14.3	117.6	105.9	109.3
season	13.9	13.5		109.9	107.2
opponent	14.2	14.7		108.7	106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.7	13.5	13.5	14.1	13.9
LAL	14.1	13.7	14.2	15.9	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gordon Hayward	64	62	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.08	14	-1	15	14.0	13.8	0.25	14.1	15.1	-0.97
Kyrie Irving	72	70	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.01	14	-1	15	14.1	13.4	0.74	14.8	13.6	1.17
Al Horford	59	58	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.02	11	2	9	13.9	13.9	0.07	14.8	14.0	0.79
Marcus Smart	62	59	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.11	7	6	1	14.0	13.7	0.32	14.9	13.8	1.11
Marcus Morris	56	56	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.02	11	2	9	13.8	14.0	-0.18	15.0	13.8	1.26
Jaylen Brown	46	45	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.09	4	9	-5	14.1	13.8	0.34	13.4	15.3	-1.98
Terry Rozier	40	42	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.01	6	7	-1	13.7	14.0	-0.32	13.8	14.9	-1.11
Aron Baynes	35	36	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.02	6	7	-1	14.0	13.9	0.16	13.7	14.9	-1.18
Jayson Tatum	56	59	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.05	1	12	-11	14.2	13.5	0.73	14.4	14.5	-0.16
Daniel Theis	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	17	-21	13.2	14.0	-0.73	15.6	14.4	1.20
Brad Wanamaker	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	14	-15	10.2	14.1	-3.82	16.7	14.4	2.39
Guerschon Yabusele	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	16	-19	10.2	14.1	-3.82	15.0	14.4	0.56
Semi Ojeleye	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	14	-15	10.2	14.1	-3.82	16.7	14.4	2.39

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	59	58	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.15	11	-24	35	14.4	14.5	-0.12	15.2	12.2	3.02
Alex Caruso	62	63	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.21	5	-18	23	14.4	14.5	-0.09	13.9	14.0	-0.13
Johnathan Williams	61	62	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.10	0	-13	13	13.9	15.3	-1.48	13.5	14.6	-1.16
Moritz Wagner	69	70	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.21	3	-16	19	15.3	12.7	2.63	14.5	12.7	1.80
Isaac Bonga	14	13	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.02	-9	-4	-5	15.6	14.3	1.30	11.8	14.2	-2.47
JaVale McGee	33	34	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.04	-15	2	-17	14.9	14.2	0.67	14.3	13.7	0.60
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	33	34	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.07	-17	4	-21	14.9	14.2	0.67	14.3	13.7	0.60
Rajon Rondo	64	66	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.03	-16	3	-19	14.4	14.6	-0.22	13.7	14.3	-0.59
Josh Hart	61	61	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.06	-13	0	-13	14.3	14.7	-0.49	13.2	15.0	-1.72
Reggie Bullock	49	49	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.04	-14	1	-15	13.5	15.3	-1.80	13.4	14.4	-1.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.38,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.52,0.44,0.36,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.13,0.22,0.33,0.23,0.32,0.21,0.2,0.11,0.11,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 107, POR 100	0.5,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.34,0.36,0.28,0.36,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	95.5%
DAL 89, MIN 77	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.18,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.2,0.16,0.15,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%
DEN 100, CHI 84	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.3,0.22,0.26,0.2,0.15,0.22,0.27,0.18,0.2,0.27,0.14,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0	94.6%