NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	112		Excitement	5.7 [735]		MVP	Langston Galloway (DET): +27.9%
Chicago Bulls	104		Comeback	15.3 [162]		LVP	Ish Smith (DET): -9.3%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Langston Galloway	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.17,0.21,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.14	0.13	-0.00	5	100%	0.30	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.03
Blake Griffin	0.17	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.17	0.10	0.10	0.03	19	63%	0.23	3	-0.07	5	80%	0.00
Luke Kennard	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.11	0.06	0.03	8	78%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0.15	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.04	0.09	-0.01	15	57%	0.19	2	-0.04	5	40%	-0.02
Reggie Jackson	0.03	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	18	58%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson III	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Brown	-0.00	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thon Maker	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Wayne Ellington	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	7	44%	0.02	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Otto Porter Jr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.15	-0.04	0.03	13	77%	0.10	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	-0.00	-0.01	16	53%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Wayne Selden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	3	62%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ryan Arcidiacono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	5	75%	0.09	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.03	-0.04	18	52%	0.10	5	-0.07	10	50%	-0.03
Cristiano Felicio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kris Dunn	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	6	58%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	13	48%	-0.01	4	-0.07	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.8	31.2	14.5	24.2	1.8	35.3	133.7
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +55.9%

CHI -2.4%

DET +5.2%

CHI -6.8%

CHI -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	CHI	NBA	DET	CHI	NBA
this game	14.3	14.5	14.3	110.9	105.1	109.3
season	15.3	14.6		107.5	104.2
opponent	14.3	14.0		112.4	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	16.7	13.5	15.1	12.4	14.3
CHI	13.9	12.2	17.6	14.8	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Langston Galloway	47	44	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.32	17	-9	26	13.3	15.1	-1.81	14.8	14.3	0.50
Ish Smith	51	49	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.31	14	-6	20	14.6	14.0	0.61	15.0	14.0	0.92
Luke Kennard	56	54	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.29	13	-5	18	15.1	13.4	1.72	14.8	14.1	0.74
Andre Drummond	90	88	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.25	8	0	8	14.4	13.7	0.65	14.6	13.8	0.76
Blake Griffin	74	71	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.45	-2	10	-12	14.4	14.2	0.17	13.3	17.5	-4.24
Glenn Robinson III	8	9	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.01	4	4	0	11.1	14.6	-3.46	16.2	14.3	1.90
Thon Maker	30	30	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.16	6	2	4	14.8	14.1	0.75	16.6	13.6	2.97
Bruce Brown	54	54	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	-0.02	-6	14	-20	13.9	14.8	-0.86	14.5	14.5	0.01
Reggie Jackson	48	48	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.07	-5	13	-18	14.4	14.2	0.13	14.3	14.7	-0.39
Wayne Ellington	47	48	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	-0.03	-9	17	-26	14.4	14.2	0.22	13.6	15.4	-1.77

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Otto Porter Jr.	73	73	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.27	8	-16	24	13.4	17.7	-4.34	14.7	13.3	1.41
Kris Dunn	61	62	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.23	5	-13	18	13.2	16.5	-3.30	14.4	14.2	0.21
Robin Lopez	75	76	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.17	1	-9	10	14.2	15.3	-1.11	14.6	13.6	0.99
Zach LaVine	77	80	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.20	-1	-7	6	14.2	15.5	-1.23	14.7	12.9	1.77
Shaquille Harrison	29	29	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.17	-2	-6	4	14.4	14.5	-0.11	13.5	14.6	-1.11
Wayne Selden	31	31	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.08	-13	5	-18	16.2	13.7	2.52	14.5	14.2	0.35
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	20	23	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.01	-12	4	-16	16.7	13.9	2.83	12.6	14.8	-2.20
Cristiano Felicio	15	16	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.10	-9	1	-10	17.0	14.0	2.95	13.4	14.5	-1.03
Lauri Markkanen	75	75	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.25	-4	-4	0	14.4	14.8	-0.45	14.3	14.4	-0.10
Ryan Arcidiacono	39	40	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.03	-13	5	-18	16.4	13.2	3.20	14.0	14.5	-0.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.65,0.6,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.64,0.72,0.83,0.82,0.81,0.88,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.89,0.87,0.86,0.89,0.86,0.82,0.9,0.78,0.79,0.67,0.53,0.47,0.29,0.06,0.14,0.07,0.02,0.03,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 96, ATL 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.88,0.82,0.86,0.87,0.84,0.92,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.82,0.83,0.65,0.64,0.45,0.22,0.14,0.04,0.02,0.01,0	92.1%
HOU 119, POR 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.73,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.91,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.78,0.66,0.71,0.62,0.63,0.41,0.2,0.28,0.1,0.05,0.05,0,0	91.9%
LAL 118, CHI 112	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.6,0.49,0.63,0.72,0.78,0.75,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.88,0.92,0.87,0.94,0.89,0.82,0.67,0.37,0.47,0.15,0.07,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	91.6%