NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	116		Excitement	3.5 [1126]		MVP	Lauri Markkanen (CHI): +17.5%
Chicago Bulls	126		Comeback	1.7 [171]		LVP	Otto Porter Jr. (CHI): -6.9%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Horford	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.00	-0.00	15	63%	0.09	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.22	-0.00	0.14	24	69%	0.11	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.00
Jayson Tatum	0.03	0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	9	63%	0.06	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Daniel Theis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	3	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jaylen Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.04	12	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Marcus Smart	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.00	0.04	3	60%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Gordon Hayward	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	6	42%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	0.00	0.05	11	46%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Terry Rozier	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	0.01	-0.03	9	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.17	0.17	0.23	0.02	0.07	20	71%	0.18	1	-0.00	9	89%	0.01
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.18	0.00	0.04	29	69%	0.21	5	-0.06	3	100%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.13	-0.00	0.06	8	81%	0.07	1	-0.00	5	100%	0.00
Ryan Arcidiacono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	80%	0.07	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Cristiano Felicio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Selden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	6	64%	0.03	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Kris Dunn	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Otto Porter Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.5	25.5	15.4	24.3	1.5	33.3	124.8
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +34.0%

CHI +5.1%

CHI +14.8%

BOS -1.1%

BOS -2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CHI	NBA	BOS	CHI	NBA
this game	13.9	14.9	14.3	116.0	126.0	109.3
season	13.9	14.6		109.9	104.2
opponent	14.3	14.7		112.4	106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	12.7	15.2	13.8	13.7	13.9
CHI	15.5	13.0	15.6	15.6	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Smart	64	63	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.04	-5	-5	0	13.8	14.0	-0.23	14.9	15.0	-0.17
Al Horford	63	62	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.07	-4	-6	2	14.1	13.6	0.50	15.2	14.5	0.68
Kyrie Irving	84	85	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.34	4	-14	18	13.2	17.4	-4.16	15.5	11.5	4.06
Gordon Hayward	48	48	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.18	-2	-8	6	13.8	13.9	-0.09	16.2	13.7	2.52
Jayson Tatum	65	65	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.10	-6	-4	-2	14.2	13.2	1.05	14.5	15.7	-1.18
Daniel Theis	35	36	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.16	-5	-5	0	13.7	14.0	-0.21	14.8	15.0	-0.14
Jaylen Brown	45	47	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.10	-7	-3	-4	13.7	14.0	-0.31	15.1	14.7	0.43
Terry Rozier	32	31	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.09	-16	6	-22	16.7	12.5	4.17	13.5	15.6	-2.03
Marcus Morris	64	63	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.13	-9	-1	-8	13.1	15.3	-2.18	13.9	16.6	-2.74

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaquille Harrison	39	40	0.61	-0.11	0.71	-0.16	26	-16	42	13.1	16.1	-2.94	15.6	12.7	2.95
Ryan Arcidiacono	58	56	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.23	7	3	4	14.5	15.5	-1.08	14.5	13.1	1.41
Wayne Selden	54	53	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.28	2	8	-6	14.7	15.1	-0.39	13.8	14.0	-0.23
Lauri Markkanen	77	77	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.12	6	4	2	15.2	14.1	1.08	13.4	15.4	-1.96
Cristiano Felicio	32	32	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.15	3	7	-4	14.2	15.3	-1.08	14.0	13.8	0.18
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	22	21	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.03	7	3	4	14.9	14.9	-0.07	15.5	13.5	2.02
Zach LaVine	81	81	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.12	3	7	-4	15.1	14.3	0.75	13.6	15.2	-1.58
Robin Lopez	56	57	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.11	0	10	-10	15.6	14.1	1.52	13.7	14.1	-0.41
Kris Dunn	50	52	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.09	-2	12	-14	15.8	14.0	1.76	13.0	14.9	-1.91
Otto Porter Jr.	31	31	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.07	-2	12	-14	15.5	14.7	0.86	13.2	14.2	-0.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.44,0.43,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.6,0.59,0.65,0.71,0.7,0.75,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 100, BOS 119	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.39,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.87,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
DET 101, IND 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.61,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
DEN 85, HOU 112	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.72,0.77,0.8,0.77,0.83,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%