NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	123		Excitement	5.8 [696]		MVP	John Collins (ATL): +19.4%
LA Clippers	118		Comeback	1.1 [406]		LVP	Lou Williams (LAC): -19.8%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Collins	0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.19	0.17	0.03	0.01	10	88%	0.22	2	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Trae Young	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.13	0.01	0.00	17	68%	0.16	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Alex Len	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.03	-0.01	5	67%	0.16	1	-0.06	5	80%	0.02
Dewayne Dedmon	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.01	0.01	8	81%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	0%	0.07	0	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Omari Spellman	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	3	83%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	62%	0.06	4	-0.09	7	86%	0.01
DeAndre' Bembry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	6	43%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Taurean Prince	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.03	0.01	0.01	8	30%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Kevin Huerter	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	-0.00	9	28%	-0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tobias Harris	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.16	0.02	0.08	16	67%	0.14	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.01
Jerome Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.06	-0.00	2	60%	0.09	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Patrick Beverley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	5	50%	0.03	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	6	83%	0.11	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	5	70%	0.09	0	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	-0.01	0.04	10	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sindarius Thornwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Montrezl Harrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	0.03	12	75%	0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.18,-0.24,-0.22,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.08	-0.10	0.02	12	53%	-0.07	3	-0.13	12	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.5	29.7	15.5	26.1	2.4	38.6	141.2
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +17.8%

ATL +6.1%

ATL +20.8%

ATL +4.7%

ATL +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	LAC	NBA	ATL	LAC	NBA
this game	14.9	13.7	14.3	121.8	118.0	109.3
season	13.6	13.9		107.2	111.3
opponent	14.1	13.9		110.7	112.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.2	12.5	15.5	17.0	14.9
LAC	14.2	13.7	13.3	13.7	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trae Young	67	66	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.24	8	-3	11	14.5	15.7	-1.21	13.7	13.7	0.02
Vince Carter	16	16	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.05	11	-6	17	14.9	14.9	0.01	13.1	13.8	-0.78
Taurean Prince	64	64	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.25	3	2	1	14.4	15.8	-1.43	13.2	14.7	-1.52
Kevin Huerter	64	62	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.29	1	4	-3	15.0	14.8	0.27	14.4	12.6	1.84
Dewayne Dedmon	56	56	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.21	2	3	-1	15.8	13.8	2.04	13.7	13.8	-0.13
Alex Len	45	44	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.15	3	2	1	13.8	15.8	-2.04	13.8	13.7	0.13
Jeremy Lin	50	50	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.09	11	-6	17	14.1	15.7	-1.65	14.3	13.2	1.08
DeAndre' Bembry	57	58	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.38	-8	13	-21	16.5	13.0	3.50	13.1	14.6	-1.47
Omari Spellman	23	23	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.11	8	-3	11	13.1	15.5	-2.39	13.5	13.8	-0.31
John Collins	63	61	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.41	-14	19	-33	15.7	13.6	2.17	14.0	13.3	0.68

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcin Gortat	30	33	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.01	1	-6	7	15.1	13.1	2.02	15.2	14.8	0.33
Sindarius Thornwell	9	6	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.03	-2	-3	1	11.8	13.9	-2.13	17.0	14.8	2.20
Avery Bradley	59	62	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.40	11	-16	27	13.6	13.9	-0.27	15.6	13.8	1.85
Mike Scott	27	26	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.03	-4	-1	-3	12.4	14.2	-1.75	14.4	15.1	-0.68
Tyrone Wallace	8	6	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.03	-5	0	-5	14.9	13.6	1.26	13.2	15.0	-1.88
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	50	53	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.04	-6	1	-7	13.8	13.7	0.08	15.1	14.8	0.26
Patrick Beverley	75	78	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.32	2	-7	9	13.8	13.4	0.48	15.7	12.2	3.51
Jerome Robinson	31	30	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.03	-12	7	-19	14.4	13.4	1.01	13.1	15.7	-2.65
Tobias Harris	73	75	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.39	-1	-4	3	14.2	12.4	1.75	15.1	14.4	0.68
Lou Williams	80	80	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.40	-3	-2	-1	13.6	14.0	-0.35	14.5	16.5	-2.01
Montrezl Harrell	70	68	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.36	-6	1	-7	13.1	15.1	-2.02	14.8	15.2	-0.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.29,0.27,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.21,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 98, WAS 89	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.41,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.3,0.28,0.19,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.3%
HOU 81, NOH 68	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.38,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.28,0.33,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.35,0.35,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0	94.1%
TOR 98, CHI 75	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.24,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.38,0.29,0.19,0.16,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.1%