NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	110		Excitement	5.2 [815]		MVP	Nikola Jokic (DEN): +19.9%
Denver Nuggets	126		Comeback	1.0 [1228]		LVP	Ben Simmons (PHI): -11.4%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shake Milton	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.01	-0.00	7	79%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	-0.02	19	58%	0.11	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Landry Shamet	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.03	6	53%	0.07	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Corey Brewer	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	-0.00	15	56%	0.08	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Amir Johnson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.03	0.03	-0.05	5	45%	0.07	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Furkan Korkmaz	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	3	78%	0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Haywood Highsmith	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonah Bolden	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
T.J. McConnell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	7	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Muscala	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	9	50%	0.02	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Ben Simmons	-0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	0.01	17	43%	-0.07	3	-0.04	10	70%	-0.02

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Jokic	0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.16	0.03	-0.01	22	63%	0.22	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.01
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	-0.00	0.00	5	85%	0.12	1	-0.01	10	70%	-0.02
Will Barton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	11	57%	0.06	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.04
Monte Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.02	0.03	-0.05	11	45%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trey Lyles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.02	5	58%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	2	67%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Malik Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	12	58%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Goodwin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Lydon	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juancho Hernangomez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gary Harris	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	10	45%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Torrey Craig	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	13	54%	0.05	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.3	1.8	30.2	14.8	32.6	0.8	27.8	138.1
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +31.0%

DEN +0.2%

DEN +13.5%

PHI -0.1%

DEN +5.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	DEN	NBA	PHI	DEN	NBA
this game	13.1	13.9	14.3	101.9	120.0	109.3
season	14.0	14.8		110.9	112.0
opponent	14.6	14.1		108.1	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	11.4	14.0	14.7	12.8	13.1
DEN	13.1	11.7	14.7	16.7	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shake Milton	42	42	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.08	3	-19	22	12.2	13.7	-1.49	16.0	12.5	3.57
Haywood Highsmith	6	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-14	12	14.7	13.1	1.61	18.7	13.6	5.05
Furkan Korkmaz	19	19	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.00	-1	-15	14	12.8	13.2	-0.37	15.7	13.5	2.17
Amir Johnson	41	40	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.04	-4	-12	8	13.5	12.9	0.59	14.9	13.3	1.69
Landry Shamet	60	59	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.14	-2	-14	12	12.5	14.0	-1.50	14.4	13.3	1.15
Mike Muscala	60	59	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.14	-3	-13	10	13.5	12.7	0.87	13.4	14.5	-1.10
Jonah Bolden	28	27	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.10	-12	-4	-8	12.5	13.4	-0.92	12.9	14.3	-1.37
Corey Brewer	71	69	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.03	-10	-6	-4	13.3	12.9	0.31	14.3	13.2	1.12
Ben Simmons	81	78	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.11	-11	-5	-6	12.8	14.2	-1.38	13.7	14.4	-0.73
T.J. McConnell	66	63	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	0.04	-19	3	-22	13.7	12.2	1.49	12.5	16.0	-3.57
JJ Redick	66	63	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	0.04	-19	3	-22	13.7	12.2	1.49	12.5	16.0	-3.57

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikola Jokic	73	77	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.02	16	0	16	13.3	15.3	-2.02	13.4	12.5	0.98
Gary Harris	53	56	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.18	20	-4	24	12.9	15.0	-2.09	13.9	12.3	1.62
Torrey Craig	78	79	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.04	12	4	8	13.4	15.4	-2.07	13.4	12.4	1.00
Will Barton	56	57	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.01	12	4	8	13.3	14.6	-1.25	13.9	12.3	1.58
Paul Millsap	37	38	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.02	10	6	4	13.1	14.4	-1.27	14.3	12.5	1.76
Mason Plumlee	52	51	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.06	6	10	-4	13.1	14.7	-1.68	12.9	13.4	-0.43
Monte Morris	58	62	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.08	4	12	-8	15.0	12.6	2.37	12.1	14.6	-2.47
Malik Beasley	46	47	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.05	2	14	-12	14.5	13.4	1.06	12.1	13.9	-1.81
Juancho Hernangomez	27	28	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.01	2	14	-12	15.4	13.4	2.07	12.7	13.3	-0.54
Trey Lyles	35	35	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.13	-4	20	-24	15.8	13.0	2.80	12.0	13.7	-1.74
Brandon Goodwin	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	16	-16	19.2	13.6	5.56	13.6	13.1	0.47
Tyler Lydon	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	16	-16	19.2	13.6	5.56	13.6	13.1	0.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.75,0.6,0.63,0.75,0.77,0.81,0.71,0.77,0.84,0.79,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 103, ORL 121	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.69,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
DAL 88, LAC 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.66,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.73,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.84,0.8,0.77,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
ORL 92, CLE 105	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.75,0.7,0.67,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.86,0.82,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,0.97,0.97,0.97,1,1,1	95.1%