NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	118		Excitement	4.6 [929]		MVP	Mike Conley (MEM): +15.3%
Memphis Grizzlies	107		Comeback	1.9 [556]		LVP	Justin Holiday (MEM): -4.0%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nicolas Batum	0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.01	0.01	9	90%	0.17	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tony Parker	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.03	-0.03	11	65%	0.15	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	0.10	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.02	9	68%	0.12	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.02
Kemba Walker	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	-0.02	0.00	17	61%	0.08	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Willy Hernangomez	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	4	73%	0.07	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Malik Monk	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	7	64%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.02	-0.05	11	50%	0.09	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Miles Bridges	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.01	-0.03	3	42%	0.02	2	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Bismack Biyombo	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.03	5	53%	-0.00	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.17	0.01	0.03	17	72%	0.19	3	-0.04	9	100%	0.04
Marc Gasol	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.02	0.01	15	63%	0.12	3	-0.07	5	80%	0.02
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	-0.01	0.03	9	62%	0.04	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaMychal Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	10	58%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Jevon Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ivan Rabb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	0.00	7	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	11	45%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.3	28.5	14.7	29.1	1.5	29.5	128.1
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +39.6%

MEM -0.9%

MEM -2.4%

CHA +13.5%

CHA +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	MEM	NBA	CHA	MEM	NBA
this game	15.3	15.2	14.3	125.5	112.6	109.3
season	14.6	15.4		110.4	105.4
opponent	14.2	14.3		107.4	111.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	15.0	13.7	14.1	18.1	15.3
MEM	17.0	15.1	16.5	12.4	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	40	42	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.04	13	-2	15	12.6	17.2	-4.67	15.9	14.7	1.27
Kemba Walker	75	75	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.15	8	3	5	16.1	12.1	3.95	15.0	15.9	-0.92
Tony Parker	33	35	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.04	14	-3	17	13.0	16.5	-3.48	16.7	14.4	2.27
Willy Hernangomez	38	40	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.02	13	-2	15	12.2	17.3	-5.11	16.1	14.5	1.60
Miles Bridges	10	12	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.10	13	-2	15	6.6	16.3	-9.69	15.6	15.2	0.41
Nicolas Batum	69	69	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.18	3	8	-5	15.8	13.8	1.98	15.4	14.7	0.78
Malik Monk	38	38	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.09	4	7	-3	13.7	16.3	-2.68	15.1	15.3	-0.15
Bismack Biyombo	54	54	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.16	-2	13	-15	17.3	12.5	4.80	14.8	15.8	-1.07
Marvin Williams	56	54	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.19	-4	15	-19	17.3	12.3	4.98	14.4	16.2	-1.80
Jeremy Lamb	57	56	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.23	-7	18	-25	17.5	11.9	5.59	14.3	16.5	-2.23

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jevon Carter	7	8	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.08	5	-16	21	15.4	15.2	0.22	14.2	15.3	-1.10
Ivan Rabb	3	4	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.02	-4	-7	3	19.7	15.1	4.59	7.5	15.6	-8.10
Marc Gasol	75	74	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.24	3	-14	17	15.1	15.6	-0.54	16.2	11.8	4.39
Omri Casspi	26	26	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.09	-9	-2	-7	17.2	14.5	2.66	12.4	16.3	-3.92
Shelvin Mack	34	33	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.03	-8	-3	-5	16.9	14.3	2.63	13.5	16.2	-2.73
Garrett Temple	71	70	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.11	-7	-4	-3	14.8	16.5	-1.71	16.2	12.6	3.53
Jaren Jackson Jr.	49	48	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.12	-7	-4	-3	14.9	15.6	-0.75	16.6	13.8	2.80
JaMychal Green	56	55	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.09	-9	-2	-7	15.5	14.8	0.64	14.1	16.9	-2.81
Mike Conley	74	72	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.17	-8	-3	-5	14.4	18.1	-3.75	15.6	14.0	1.64
Justin Holiday	80	80	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.15	-11	0	-11	15.0	16.5	-1.48	15.4	14.6	0.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.48,0.4,0.32,0.31,0.23,0.29,0.25,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.42,0.41,0.31,0.25,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.07,0.13,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 101, MIL 80	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.61,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.39,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.49,0.4,0.31,0.34,0.27,0.19,0.13,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%
NOP 119, CHA 109	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.44,0.43,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%
MIL 95, NYK 82	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.26,0.33,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.23,0.28,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%