NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	95		Excitement	5.1 [840]		MVP	Anthony Davis (NOP): +12.7%
New Orleans Pelicans	114		Comeback	1.7 [843]		LVP	Jevon Carter (MEM): -12.3%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Conley	0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.01	-0.03	11	69%	0.21	4	-0.09	10	80%	0.00
JaMychal Green	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	-0.01	0.02	10	70%	0.10	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Omri Casspi	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	-0.00	0.02	5	90%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	-0.03	11	55%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Yuta Watanabe	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ivan Rabb	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	-0.00	5	80%	0.05	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	5	50%	0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	10	40%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	0.04	3	40%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Marc Gasol	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	10	33%	-0.06	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Jevon Carter	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	5	0%	-0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.22	0.01	0.10	20	69%	0.16	2	-0.03	12	67%	-0.02
Frank Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.15	0.02	0.05	10	85%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.02	-0.02	10	59%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Darius Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	47%	0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Tim Frazier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	6	50%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	9	62%	0.10	4	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Kenrich Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cheick Diallo	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Clark	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jahlil Okafor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	53%	0.00	2	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01
Elfrid Payton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	10	52%	0.02	4	-0.07	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.3	28.4	14.5	31.3	1.8	27.0	129.7
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +22.9%

NOP +6.1%

NOP +1.4%

NOP +19.3%

NOP +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	NOP	NBA	MEM	NOP	NBA
this game	16.0	13.3	14.3	96.9	116.3	109.3
season	15.4	13.4		105.4	110.2
opponent	14.2	14.2		111.5	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	16.2	15.4	16.5	16.0	16.0
NOP	12.6	13.4	12.8	14.6	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Yuta Watanabe	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-22	25	10.0	16.4	-6.43	20.0	12.9	7.09
Ivan Rabb	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-22	25	10.0	16.4	-6.43	20.0	12.9	7.09
Joakim Noah	28	27	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.16	-9	-10	1	16.6	15.8	0.74	13.6	13.3	0.34
Justin Holiday	26	26	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-18	17	14.3	16.7	-2.41	13.8	13.2	0.63
Jaren Jackson Jr.	43	47	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.20	-12	-7	-5	17.0	15.3	1.79	12.7	14.0	-1.28
Jevon Carter	34	33	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-16	13	15.4	16.4	-1.05	14.0	13.0	0.98
Garrett Temple	65	66	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.20	-16	-3	-13	16.6	15.0	1.57	13.5	13.0	0.47
Kyle Anderson	62	63	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.15	-16	-3	-13	16.8	14.8	1.95	12.8	14.3	-1.46
Marc Gasol	59	60	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.09	-8	-11	3	16.7	15.0	1.69	12.5	14.6	-2.06
Mike Conley	69	68	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.14	-16	-3	-13	16.3	15.3	1.04	13.1	13.9	-0.75
JaMychal Green	52	49	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.07	-10	-9	-1	16.1	16.0	0.12	13.2	13.5	-0.29
Omri Casspi	40	39	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.08	-10	-9	-1	14.6	17.1	-2.48	13.5	13.3	0.19

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Davis	72	73	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.18	24	-5	29	13.1	14.0	-0.94	16.1	15.9	0.16
Darius Miller	61	62	0.52	-0.02	0.53	-0.27	27	-8	35	12.9	14.2	-1.31	16.9	14.6	2.26
Frank Jackson	39	40	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.14	7	12	-5	13.5	13.3	0.23	15.4	16.4	-1.00
Jahlil Okafor	49	49	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.08	12	7	5	13.5	13.2	0.29	15.7	16.4	-0.73
Tim Frazier	48	47	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.05	10	9	1	13.1	13.6	-0.52	16.4	15.7	0.78
Elfrid Payton	50	50	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.02	9	10	-1	13.6	13.1	0.52	15.7	16.4	-0.70
Jrue Holiday	68	67	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.15	13	6	7	12.9	14.3	-1.37	16.4	15.3	1.05
Julius Randle	68	66	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.14	0	19	-19	12.9	14.3	-1.37	17.2	13.6	3.68
Kenrich Williams	18	18	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.12	-3	22	-25	15.7	12.8	2.84	12.7	16.8	-4.13
Cheick Diallo	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	22	-25	20.0	12.9	7.09	10.0	16.4	-6.43
Ian Clark	11	12	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.02	-1	20	-21	14.4	13.2	1.15	14.4	16.3	-1.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.6,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.4,0.49,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.84,0.88,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 77, MIA 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.79,0.87,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
MIN 76, LAL 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.64,0.73,0.8,0.74,0.84,0.77,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
DAL 78, MIN 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.73,0.69,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.8%