NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	101		Excitement	5.5 [765]		MVP	Jusuf Nurkic (POR): +13.5%
Portland Trail Blazers	110		Comeback	1.6 [729]		LVP	James Harden (HOU): -21.2%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danuel House Jr.	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	-0.00	-0.01	6	58%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.13	-0.04	0.05	15	70%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Knight	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	47%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Clint Capela	0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	8	65%	0.06	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Gerald Green	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	10	65%	0.08	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Nene	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Ennis III	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	-0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.23,-0.25,-0.23,-0.2,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.19,-0.23,-0.22,-0.2,-0.19,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.05	-0.05	0.11	35	49%	-0.04	7	-0.17	7	100%	0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.06	0.03	18	60%	0.13	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.04
CJ McCollum	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.04	0.04	21	52%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.01	0.03	11	58%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jake Layman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	7	56%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Zach Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	6	58%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	6	58%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.02	-0.01	15	47%	0.06	4	-0.08	6	83%	0.02
Seth Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	42%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Meyers Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.7	26.2	15.3	24.2	1.8	31.3	125.6
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +14.0%

POR +6.3%

POR +18.8%

POR +9.2%

POR +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	POR	NBA	HOU	POR	NBA
this game	15.0	16.3	14.3	109.8	119.6	109.3
season	14.8	14.9		114.0	112.6
opponent	13.9	14.4		109.4	109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.3	15.8	13.6	16.3	15.0
POR	18.4	15.5	14.7	17.1	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Ennis III	24	24	0.13	-0.63	0.75	-0.08	7	-16	23	12.5	15.9	-3.39	17.6	15.9	1.69
Brandon Knight	24	23	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.08	4	-13	17	16.2	14.5	1.74	18.0	15.8	2.22
Gerald Green	55	56	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.25	2	-11	13	14.8	15.2	-0.42	15.7	17.3	-1.55
Danuel House Jr.	50	50	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.06	-9	0	-9	15.3	14.6	0.64	15.9	16.8	-0.87
Clint Capela	65	65	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.17	-2	-7	5	16.1	12.3	3.73	16.2	16.7	-0.47
Nene	26	25	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.09	-6	-3	-3	12.3	16.0	-3.65	17.8	15.8	1.95
Austin Rivers	80	79	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.19	-12	3	-15	15.4	12.2	3.13	16.5	15.2	1.29
PJ Tucker	65	65	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.15	-15	6	-21	14.6	15.8	-1.20	16.2	16.7	-0.52
James Harden	71	73	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.23	-14	5	-19	15.1	14.4	0.70	15.7	18.7	-3.02

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jusuf Nurkic	61	61	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.10	17	-8	25	16.1	16.7	-0.61	14.5	15.8	-1.27
Al-Farouq Aminu	59	59	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.05	18	-9	27	15.5	17.8	-2.22	14.8	15.2	-0.43
Evan Turner	59	58	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.18	13	-4	17	15.8	17.3	-1.51	15.7	13.7	2.05
Damian Lillard	72	72	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.15	13	-4	17	16.0	17.5	-1.49	13.9	18.9	-5.02
CJ McCollum	75	74	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.25	4	5	-1	16.9	13.9	2.94	15.6	12.4	3.14
Seth Curry	42	43	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.12	0	9	-9	16.5	16.2	0.26	15.4	14.6	0.89
Jake Layman	42	41	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.19	-3	12	-15	16.6	16.1	0.56	14.7	15.2	-0.47
Meyers Leonard	25	26	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.09	-6	15	-21	17.4	15.9	1.51	15.8	14.6	1.22
Zach Collins	25	26	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	0.04	-11	20	-31	17.4	15.9	1.51	14.7	15.1	-0.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.73,0.84,0.79,0.72,0.78,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.76,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 95, ATL 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.61,0.78,0.79,0.72,0.8,0.85,0.84,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.83,0.86,0.97,0.98,0.99,1	94.3%
NJN 88, LAC 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.75,0.79,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.76,0.74,0.86,0.84,0.83,0.75,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.76,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%
DEN 113, HOU 125	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.58,0.56,0.66,0.67,0.81,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.83,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.85,0.89,0.92,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%