NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	100		Excitement	4.7 [912]		MVP	Joel Embiid (PHI): +14.6%
Philadelphia 76ers	106		Comeback	1.6 [919]		LVP	Harrison Barnes (DAL): -10.1%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Broekhoff	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.01	-0.01	8	94%	0.13	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.16	-0.00	0.08	11	82%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03	0.09	-0.01	0.05	6	76%	0.05	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
Maxi Kleber	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	5	80%	0.04	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.12	-0.01	-0.07	8	25%	-0.05	3	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Brunson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	14	41%	-0.02	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Dennis Smith Jr.	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Luka Doncic	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	16	33%	-0.09	0	0.00	10	50%	-0.04
Harrison Barnes	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	9	32%	-0.05	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joel Embiid	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15	0.15	0.06	0.03	-0.05	17	56%	0.17	2	-0.02	11	91%	0.04
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.02	0.00	14	65%	0.15	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Landry Shamet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.01	-0.02	6	58%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shake Milton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	4	67%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Ben Simmons	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.02	-0.03	17	50%	0.07	4	-0.07	6	33%	-0.05
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	5	43%	-0.00	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.03
Mike Muscala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jonah Bolden	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	8	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.03
Furkan Korkmaz	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	0.03	8	39%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.5	27.3	14.7	29.4	2.3	32.5	134.1
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +37.0%

PHI +4.3%

PHI +5.1%

PHI +2.3%

PHI +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	PHI	NBA	DAL	PHI	NBA
this game	15.0	13.1	14.3	98.0	102.9	109.3
season	14.7	14.0		108.5	110.9
opponent	14.1	14.1		108.1	109.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	16.0	15.7	16.2	12.2	15.0
PHI	12.3	12.4	12.6	15.0	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maxi Kleber	45	45	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.19	12	-18	30	15.0	15.1	-0.11	14.4	12.1	2.29
Ryan Broekhoff	45	45	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.19	12	-18	30	15.0	15.1	-0.11	14.4	12.1	2.29
Dorian Finney-Smith	50	51	0.15	-0.65	0.79	-0.18	11	-17	28	14.8	15.2	-0.39	14.0	12.2	1.85
Jalen Brunson	55	55	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.18	9	-15	24	14.7	15.4	-0.79	14.0	12.0	2.04
Dwight Powell	39	38	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.24	3	-9	12	12.8	16.4	-3.52	13.2	13.0	0.15
DeAndre Jordan	63	65	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.09	-9	3	-12	16.4	12.8	3.52	13.0	13.2	-0.15
Dennis Smith Jr.	47	48	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.15	-15	9	-24	15.4	14.7	0.79	12.0	14.0	-2.04
Wesley Matthews	52	52	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.15	-17	11	-28	15.2	14.8	0.39	12.2	14.0	-1.85
Harrison Barnes	57	58	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.13	-18	12	-30	15.1	15.0	0.11	12.1	14.4	-2.29
Luka Doncic	57	58	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.13	-18	12	-30	15.1	15.0	0.11	12.1	14.4	-2.29

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Simmons	78	78	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.26	12	-6	18	12.8	13.8	-0.99	14.7	16.1	-1.39
JJ Redick	73	72	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.16	13	-7	20	12.6	14.3	-1.71	14.9	15.3	-0.44
Joel Embiid	74	73	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.19	7	-1	8	13.3	12.6	0.75	15.5	13.7	1.86
Landry Shamet	52	50	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.28	3	3	0	12.6	13.5	-0.91	15.1	15.0	0.12
T.J. McConnell	63	61	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.37	-2	8	-10	13.5	12.4	1.04	14.8	15.3	-0.50
Jonah Bolden	63	64	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.04	11	-5	16	12.7	13.8	-1.12	14.9	15.2	-0.35
Furkan Korkmaz	58	58	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.16	-1	7	-8	13.9	12.1	1.77	15.1	15.0	0.07
Shake Milton	23	23	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.02	-2	8	-10	13.7	12.9	0.84	15.0	15.0	-0.03
Mike Muscala	31	31	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.23	-11	17	-28	13.3	13.0	0.24	15.4	14.8	0.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.73,0.7,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.47,0.48,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.64,0.73,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.81,0.84,0.83,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.93,0.99,1,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 108, MIN 119	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.74,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.83,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
MIN 92, OKC 112	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.76,0.73,0.79,0.88,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
LAL 90, OKC 114	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.67,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.76,0.81,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%