NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	114		Excitement	7.1 [453]		MVP	Darius Miller (NOP): +41.6%
New Orleans Pelicans	123		Comeback	1.8 [786]		LVP	Dario Saric (MIN): -9.5%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gorgui Dieng	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.07	0.09	-0.02	6	71%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Taj Gibson	0.15	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15	0.18	0.03	0.05	6	94%	0.15	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.01
Tyus Jones	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.03	0.01	11	62%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Robert Covington	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	13	59%	0.11	2	-0.07	1	0%	-0.01
Andrew Wiggins	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	21	45%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Karl-Anthony Towns	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	23	52%	0.09	2	-0.08	8	75%	-0.01
Josh Okogie	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jerryd Bayless	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dario Saric	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	6	17%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darius Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.37,0.42	0.42	0.20	0.22	0.00	11	87%	0.42	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Julius Randle	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.25	0.25	0.20	0.06	0.01	23	63%	0.25	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Jrue Holiday	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0,0,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.07	0.01	17	62%	0.22	5	-0.13	8	100%	0.05
Jahlil Okafor	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.01	7	47%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Tim Frazier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	13	65%	0.13	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	3	67%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Cheick Diallo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Elfrid Payton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.03	0.00	9	45%	0.03	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	2.6	25.3	14.7	30.1	1.4	39.6	136.2
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +50.1%

NOP +10.3%

NOP +5.7%

MIN -16.0%

MIN -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	NOP	NBA	MIN	NOP	NBA
this game	15.0	14.2	14.3	116.3	124.2	109.3
season	14.4	13.4		110.2	110.2
opponent	14.2	14.0		111.5	111.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.9	15.5	13.6	15.0	15.0
NOP	14.1	12.2	17.7	13.2	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Taj Gibson	66	65	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.24	10	-19	29	14.4	16.4	-1.98	14.8	13.0	1.88
Andrew Wiggins	80	80	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.09	3	-12	15	14.4	18.1	-3.69	14.5	12.9	1.55
Karl-Anthony Towns	73	76	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.31	6	-15	21	14.6	16.2	-1.61	14.5	13.2	1.34
Tyus Jones	78	79	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.26	3	-12	15	14.4	17.4	-3.03	14.6	12.4	2.20
Robert Covington	77	76	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.31	1	-10	11	15.0	15.1	-0.13	14.9	12.0	2.87
Jerryd Bayless	20	20	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.02	-12	3	-15	17.4	14.4	3.03	12.4	14.6	-2.20
Gorgui Dieng	25	23	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.07	-15	6	-21	16.2	14.6	1.61	13.2	14.5	-1.34
Dario Saric	32	34	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	0.00	-19	10	-29	16.4	14.4	1.98	13.0	14.8	-1.88
Josh Okogie	39	42	-0.71	0.21	-0.93	-0.07	-22	13	-35	16.5	14.1	2.40	12.4	15.5	-3.08

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Miller	60	57	0.92	-0.42	1.34	0.18	25	-16	41	12.4	17.0	-4.62	15.8	14.0	1.75
Solomon Hill	63	61	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.23	20	-11	31	13.1	16.2	-3.09	15.1	14.9	0.15
Tim Frazier	44	42	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.06	20	-11	31	13.8	14.5	-0.73	15.9	14.4	1.47
Jrue Holiday	79	78	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.29	2	7	-5	14.4	13.6	0.75	14.9	15.7	-0.83
Julius Randle	77	76	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.35	-6	15	-21	14.7	12.6	2.07	14.8	15.7	-0.89
Cheick Diallo	31	32	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.13	7	2	5	13.4	14.6	-1.19	15.3	14.9	0.45
Elfrid Payton	49	51	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.16	-10	19	-29	14.9	13.5	1.46	14.1	16.1	-1.97
Jahlil Okafor	27	26	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.04	-6	15	-21	16.4	13.4	3.08	15.3	14.9	0.42
E'Twaun Moore	65	67	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.01	-7	16	-23	15.4	11.9	3.53	14.7	15.7	-1.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.4,0.48,0.51,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.76,0.82,0.81,0.75,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.85,0.73,0.73,0.65,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.6,0.46,0.66,0.47,0.38,0.63,0.7,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.93,0.97,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 102, CLE 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.4,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.61,0.54,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.75,0.81,0.7,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.5,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.78,0.82,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.92,1	92.3%
CHH 90, POR 94	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.82,0.77,0.8,0.72,0.73,0.61,0.62,0.52,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.56,0.5,0.43,0.52,0.52,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.75,0.72,0.91,0.96,1	91.9%
HOU 96, BOS 107	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.7,0.78,0.86,0.9,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.52,0.55,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.58,0.68,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.93,0.99,1,1	91.4%