inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 115 Excitement3.9 [1065] MVPTyler Johnson (MIA): +17.2%
Orlando Magic 91 Comeback1.1 [618] LVPNikola Vucevic (ORL): -14.4%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tyler Johnson0.170,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.180.030.041581%0.202-0.021100%0.00
James Johnson0.080,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.100.000.024112%0.0800.0000%0.00
Kelly Olynyk0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.100.010.04492%0.0800.00475%-0.01
Dwyane Wade0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07-0.010.02-0.061240%0.0700.001100%0.01
Josh Richardson0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07-0.020.03-0.061445%0.082-0.025100%0.02
Justise Winslow0.020,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.15-0.010.121285%0.082-0.05250%-0.01
Hassan Whiteside0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.020.00-0.031350%0.043-0.0220%-0.02
Wayne Ellington0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Derrick Jones Jr.-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.010.000.03550%-0.0200.00250%-0.00
Bam Adebayo-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.100.00-0.03621%-0.052-0.02250%-0.01

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jonathon Simmons0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.060.000.01692%0.062-0.0100%0.00
Aaron Gordon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.07-0.000.04778%0.062-0.034100%0.00
Jonathan Isaac0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.020.01-0.04744%0.031-0.014100%0.02
Jarell Martin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Isaiah Briscoe0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.001100%0.0010.0000%0.00
Khem Birch0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Wes Iwundu0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00150%0.0000.002100%0.00
Evan Fournier0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.02-0.010.021161%0.063-0.07667%-0.02
Jerian Grant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.000.01562%0.032-0.043100%0.01
D.J. Augustin0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.000.00570%0.043-0.0500%0.00
Mo Bamba0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.000.01450%-0.001-0.02650%-0.03
Terrence Ross0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.05-0.010.03935%-0.071-0.03250%-0.00
Nikola Vucevic0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.14-0.01-0.011228%-0.073-0.07540%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.33.531.414.729.81.829.2134.6
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.9132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +39.8%
MIA +3.6%
ORL -10.1%
MIA +16.0%
MIA +0.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAORLNBAMIAORLNBA
this game16.114.814.3122.398.9109.3
season14.814.9106.3107.2
opponent14.314.3107.2106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA15.215.216.717.516.1
ORL14.815.413.915.314.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Josh Richardson74740.56-0.060.61-0.062131815.618.1-2.6014.615.7-1.09
James Johnson49500.500.000.49-0.152222015.916.4-0.5214.215.6-1.46
Tyler Johnson57570.470.030.44-0.182222015.716.7-1.0314.415.5-1.12
Hassan Whiteside56570.370.130.24-0.4227-33015.517.1-1.5914.615.2-0.57
Dwyane Wade44420.310.190.110.13618-1217.614.82.7515.614.21.46
Justise Winslow60600.280.220.07-0.5428-43215.616.9-1.2614.715.1-0.38
Bam Adebayo38350.130.37-0.240.22-327-3017.115.51.5915.214.60.57
Derrick Jones Jr.41390.100.40-0.30-0.11717-1016.615.70.9415.714.21.51
Kelly Olynyk4239-0.020.52-0.54-0.02024-2416.615.70.8815.514.41.07
Wayne Ellington97-0.190.69-0.880.10-1034-4415.816.1-0.3613.415.0-1.54

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jarell Martin670.00-0.500.500.12-4-201614.514.9-0.3716.416.10.35
Isaiah Briscoe670.00-0.500.500.12-4-201614.514.9-0.3716.416.10.35
Khem Birch670.00-0.500.500.12-4-201614.514.9-0.3716.416.10.35
Wes Iwundu670.00-0.500.500.12-4-201614.514.9-0.3716.416.10.35
Mo Bamba2729-0.07-0.430.36-0.163-273015.414.60.7416.615.90.69
Terrence Ross5354-0.07-0.430.36-0.132-262815.014.70.3116.315.90.40
Jerian Grant5151-0.22-0.280.050.22-15-9-614.115.8-1.6815.716.6-0.88
Jonathon Simmons3738-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.04-8-16816.114.02.0217.415.22.12
D.J. Augustin4143-0.28-0.22-0.05-0.01-9-15615.814.11.6816.615.70.88
Evan Fournier5454-0.34-0.16-0.180.25-20-4-1614.515.3-0.7515.616.8-1.21
Aaron Gordon6366-0.39-0.11-0.27-0.12-9-15614.715.2-0.4715.916.5-0.56
Nikola Vucevic5958-0.43-0.07-0.360.24-23-1-2214.615.2-0.5715.816.6-0.73
Jonathan Isaac5149-0.43-0.07-0.370.30-251-2614.515.3-0.8515.616.7-1.07


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.33,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.28,0.22,0.17,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.25,0.25,0.17,0.18,0.2,0.17,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 128, ATL 1110.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.18,0.22,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.23,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.19,0.1,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.2%
UTA 115, MIN 1060.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.24,0.25,0.21,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.36,0.25,0.23,0.18,0.13,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.1%
CHI 98, WAS 880.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.25,0.3,0.28,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.21,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0,095.1%