NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	107		Excitement	8.0 [314]		MVP	Paul George (OKC): +36.5%
Utah Jazz	106		Comeback	4.0 [261]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): -37.9%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0.37	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.31,0.31,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.37	0.26	0.09	-0.01	25	72%	0.43	3	-0.07	10	80%	0.01
Alex Abrines	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	4	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	12	54%	0.11	2	-0.07	4	25%	-0.04
Terrance Ferguson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hamidou Diallo	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nerlens Noel	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Dennis Schroder	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	12	46%	0.08	4	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07	0.04	-0.08	0.03	11	58%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.05
Russell Westbrook	-0.38	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.2,-0.23,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.38	-0.27	-0.11	0.00	17	22%	-0.22	6	-0.16	2	100%	0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.01	0.00	3	150%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.04,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	15	56%	0.06	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	7	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.05
Joe Ingles	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	12	54%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.02	15	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Dante Exum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	5	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	3	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.09	-0.00	11	55%	0.04	4	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.33	-0.33	-0.04	-0.28	0.01	17	50%	-0.12	4	-0.21	6	67%	-0.26

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	1.5	25.2	14.4	26.7	2.3	34.4	130.9
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +25.0%

OKC +18.0%

OKC +9.8%

UTA -3.4%

OKC +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	UTA	NBA	OKC	UTA	NBA
this game	12.5	14.9	14.3	101.9	101.0	109.3
season	12.9	14.3		108.9	109.3
opponent	14.3	14.9		105.2	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	12.5	11.8	11.0	14.7	12.5
UTA	15.2	14.9	16.7	13.0	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerami Grant	88	87	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.41	10	-9	19	12.2	14.1	-1.88	14.7	16.2	-1.48
Steven Adams	87	87	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.42	8	-7	15	12.1	14.1	-1.96	14.7	15.9	-1.14
Paul George	90	89	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.40	8	-7	15	12.2	14.5	-2.31	14.6	16.7	-2.06
Dennis Schroder	59	58	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.28	7	-6	13	13.1	11.7	1.44	14.3	15.7	-1.41
Alex Abrines	32	31	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.10	13	-12	25	12.0	12.7	-0.65	16.6	14.2	2.37
Terrance Ferguson	42	42	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.20	-6	7	-13	11.8	13.0	-1.17	15.5	14.6	0.85
Russell Westbrook	76	78	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.33	-12	13	-25	12.7	11.9	0.86	14.6	15.9	-1.32
Hamidou Diallo	15	17	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.08	-7	8	-15	14.5	12.2	2.31	16.0	14.7	1.26
Nerlens Noel	19	18	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.06	-7	8	-15	13.4	12.3	1.14	15.9	14.7	1.14
Patrick Patterson	17	18	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.06	-9	10	-19	14.1	12.2	1.88	16.2	14.7	1.48

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thabo Sefolosha	29	30	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.04	4	-5	9	15.9	14.6	1.27	12.6	12.5	0.11
Royce O'Neale	16	16	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.02	-3	2	-5	14.6	15.0	-0.38	11.2	12.7	-1.46
Ricky Rubio	84	82	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.34	8	-9	17	14.5	16.8	-2.33	12.7	11.7	1.01
Joe Ingles	72	72	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.48	11	-12	23	15.0	14.9	0.05	13.2	11.0	2.21
Derrick Favors	61	62	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.24	2	-3	5	15.3	14.5	0.84	12.2	12.8	-0.60
Rudy Gobert	77	76	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.28	3	-4	7	14.6	16.0	-1.39	12.2	13.2	-1.00
Dante Exum	20	22	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.15	-6	5	-11	17.4	14.4	3.04	12.2	12.6	-0.38
Donovan Mitchell	83	83	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.35	0	-1	1	14.2	17.6	-3.35	12.2	13.6	-1.46
Jae Crowder	43	43	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.21	-12	11	-23	14.5	15.3	-0.77	13.0	12.1	0.87
Kyle Korver	40	39	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.27	-12	11	-23	16.2	14.1	2.11	12.4	12.6	-0.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.68,0.61,0.51,0.56,0.62,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.56,0.48,0.34,0.29,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 107, NJN 106	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.72,0.71,0.67,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.65,0.61,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.56,0.48,0.48,0.36,0.22,0.26,0.14,0.17,0.12,0.11,0.2,0.04,0.05,0.15,0.06,0.08,0	92.0%
MIL 113, BOS 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.44,0.3,0.16,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.06,0.15,0.14,0.05,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0	91.8%
PHI 103, CHA 96	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.66,0.55,0.64,0.63,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.48,0.36,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.06,0.13,0.14,0.04,0.08,0.01,0	91.5%