NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	131		Excitement	6.2 [609]		MVP	Damian Lillard (POR): +32.7%
LA Clippers	127		Comeback	1.9 [525]		LVP	Avery Bradley (LAC): -9.3%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0.33	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.33	0.26	0.08	0.01	20	74%	0.39	2	-0.06	13	85%	0.05
CJ McCollum	0.25	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.25	0.15	0.12	0.03	19	66%	0.28	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.05
Al-Farouq Aminu	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.00	5	73%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jusuf Nurkic	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	-0.00	-0.02	12	67%	0.12	2	-0.04	6	67%	0.01
Maurice Harkless	0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	-0.02	0.01	7	81%	0.12	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Evan Turner	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.03	0.01	6	71%	0.09	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.03
Nik Stauskas	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	6	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zach Collins	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Meyers Leonard	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Seth Curry	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.3	0.30	0.27	0.09	0.06	22	75%	0.32	1	-0.03	8	75%	0.00
Montrezl Harrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	8	62%	0.08	0	0.00	8	87%	0.02
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05	0.05	0.12	-0.04	0.03	15	69%	0.10	2	-0.05	5	80%	-0.04
Patrick Beverley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.03	4	71%	0.04	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.03
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.09,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	16	55%	0.09	3	-0.06	8	100%	0.07
Tyrone Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.01	6	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sindarius Thornwell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	6	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Boban Marjanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	1.8	27.1	14.8	30.0	1.8	44.7	144.5
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +39.8%

POR +10.3%

LAC -0.1%

LAC -0.3%

POR +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	LAC	NBA	POR	LAC	NBA
this game	14.1	13.9	14.3	127.2	123.3	109.3
season	14.9	13.9		112.6	111.3
opponent	14.1	13.9		110.7	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	13.5	15.3	13.0	14.7	14.1
LAC	14.8	13.5	15.8	11.4	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al-Farouq Aminu	72	72	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.08	21	-17	38	14.0	14.3	-0.22	13.7	14.3	-0.62
Damian Lillard	78	79	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.17	16	-12	28	13.6	15.6	-1.97	13.6	14.7	-1.17
CJ McCollum	74	75	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.11	18	-14	32	14.2	13.8	0.39	13.6	14.4	-0.79
Maurice Harkless	65	65	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.08	16	-12	28	13.5	15.2	-1.67	13.6	14.3	-0.77
Jusuf Nurkic	60	61	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.01	17	-13	30	14.7	13.2	1.54	14.2	13.3	0.92
Evan Turner	50	49	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.51	-16	20	-36	14.1	14.1	-0.01	13.3	14.4	-1.05
Zach Collins	35	35	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.31	-14	18	-32	14.3	14.0	0.27	14.3	13.6	0.61
Nik Stauskas	29	28	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.23	-12	16	-28	15.2	13.7	1.53	14.8	13.5	1.28
Meyers Leonard	23	23	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.19	-12	16	-28	14.3	14.0	0.31	14.6	13.6	0.97
Seth Curry	29	28	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.24	-14	18	-32	13.8	14.2	-0.39	14.4	13.6	0.79

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrone Wallace	38	37	0.22	-0.72	0.94	-0.31	18	-22	40	13.1	14.3	-1.15	15.3	13.4	1.90
Montrezl Harrell	56	57	0.13	-0.63	0.75	-0.31	15	-19	34	13.7	14.1	-0.42	15.2	12.8	2.43
Mike Scott	28	27	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.34	13	-17	30	13.1	14.1	-0.98	14.6	13.9	0.61
Patrick Beverley	64	66	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.48	15	-19	34	13.8	14.0	-0.19	14.5	13.4	1.09
Sindarius Thornwell	0	1	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-2	0	0.0	13.9	-13.85	3.0	14.2	-11.22
Boban Marjanovic	9	9	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.00	-9	5	-14	17.9	13.5	4.42	15.4	14.0	1.47
Marcin Gortat	22	21	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.22	-20	16	-36	15.5	13.4	2.15	13.1	14.4	-1.27
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	83	82	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.30	-3	-1	-2	13.5	15.2	-1.73	14.1	14.1	0.01
Danilo Gallinari	72	71	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.16	-12	8	-20	13.9	13.8	0.07	13.9	14.5	-0.62
Tobias Harris	78	78	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.17	-13	9	-22	13.7	14.3	-0.61	13.3	16.8	-3.50
Avery Bradley	65	66	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.07	-22	18	-40	14.3	13.1	1.15	13.4	15.3	-1.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.48,0.37,0.3,0.2,0.22,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 100, UTA 80	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.3,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.26,0.2,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.1%
UTA 107, CLE 86	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.48,0.33,0.19,0.21,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.7%
MIA 100, CHI 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.5,0.45,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.32,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.06,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.6%