NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	114		Excitement	5.6 [753]		MVP	Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL): +30.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers	102		Comeback	1.0 [1274]		LVP	Collin Sexton (CLE): -9.2%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0.30	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.26	0.06	0.01	19	75%	0.40	4	-0.10	21	76%	0.01
Brook Lopez	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.01	15	59%	0.11	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Ersan Ilyasova	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.01	-0.04	11	50%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thon Maker	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	1	150%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donte DiVincenzo	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	7	43%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	5	60%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Connaughton	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	8	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Morris	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	3	12%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
George Hill	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	6	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	19	39%	0.00	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Hood	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.01	-0.02	14	63%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Channing Frye	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.01	4	82%	0.11	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Matthew Dellavedova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	8	62%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cedi Osman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	6	42%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	19	53%	0.11	4	-0.10	5	100%	0.01
David Nwaba	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Jaron Blossomgame	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Nance Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.05	0.02	8	78%	0.08	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	11	48%	0.03	4	-0.11	3	100%	0.01
Collin Sexton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.12	0.01	-0.02	11	21%	-0.08	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	1.7	26.5	14.6	29.8	1.7	36.5	135.6
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +13.6%

MIL +4.3%

MIL +8.5%

MIL +21.3%

MIL +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	CLE	NBA	MIL	CLE	NBA
this game	14.5	14.0	14.3	114.0	100.0	109.3
season	13.5	15.5		112.4	106.3
opponent	13.9	14.3		116.5	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	12.8	13.3	13.4	19.1	14.5
CLE	14.9	13.9	14.8	12.2	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Giannis Antetokounmpo	75	79	0.67	-0.17	0.83	-0.07	25	-13	38	15.0	13.1	1.85	14.8	11.4	3.38
Brook Lopez	66	65	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.03	12	0	12	14.4	14.8	-0.39	15.5	11.4	4.17
Pat Connaughton	62	64	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.10	9	3	6	14.5	14.5	0.02	15.0	12.3	2.74
Donte DiVincenzo	51	52	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.09	8	4	4	14.2	14.9	-0.72	12.5	15.6	-3.08
Eric Bledsoe	62	62	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.05	8	4	4	14.7	14.2	0.48	15.5	11.7	3.84
George Hill	50	52	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.08	5	7	-2	15.3	13.7	1.62	12.4	15.7	-3.35
Jaylen Morris	20	22	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.05	4	8	-4	13.3	14.8	-1.45	10.9	14.9	-3.95
Tony Snell	55	54	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.07	2	10	-8	14.3	14.8	-0.45	15.4	12.5	2.89
Ersan Ilyasova	34	37	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.12	0	12	-12	14.8	14.4	0.39	11.4	15.5	-4.17
Thon Maker	26	25	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.22	-13	25	-38	13.4	14.9	-1.47	10.9	15.0	-4.09

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Larry Nance Jr.	79	76	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.28	6	-18	24	13.7	15.0	-1.28	14.9	13.3	1.55
Jaron Blossomgame	26	24	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.11	0	-12	12	12.0	14.7	-2.70	15.7	14.1	1.63
Matthew Dellavedova	59	58	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.21	3	-15	18	12.2	16.5	-4.33	15.1	13.7	1.37
David Nwaba	29	29	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.07	-2	-10	8	12.2	14.7	-2.52	14.2	14.6	-0.48
Alec Burks	59	59	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.09	-5	-7	2	13.7	14.4	-0.75	14.2	15.0	-0.83
Channing Frye	27	27	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.05	-10	-2	-8	18.0	12.6	5.48	12.7	15.2	-2.42
Jordan Clarkson	72	71	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.22	-1	-11	10	12.3	18.1	-5.79	15.0	13.2	1.79
Cedi Osman	53	51	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.09	-16	4	-20	15.8	12.1	3.71	14.1	14.9	-0.76
Collin Sexton	50	48	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.08	-18	6	-24	15.7	12.4	3.32	13.7	15.2	-1.54
Rodney Hood	56	57	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.01	-17	5	-22	15.6	12.1	3.50	14.6	14.3	0.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.25,0.22,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.13,0.19,0.13,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.07,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 102, POR 98	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.25,0.21,0.28,0.3,0.23,0.18,0.2,0.17,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.18,0.09,0.16,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.09,0	94.5%
PHX 124, PHI 113	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.31,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.3,0.21,0.29,0.23,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.19,0.1,0.14,0.18,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0	94.4%
GSW 91, POR 80	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.36,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.34,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.16,0.15,0.2,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.2,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.15,0.21,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.1,0.14,0.08,0.09,0.04,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	94.4%