NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	86		Excitement	3.3 [1150]		MVP	Bryn Forbes (SAS): +17.3%
San Antonio Spurs	111		Comeback	1.0 [1289]		LVP	Josh Jackson (PHX): -17.4%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
T.J. Warren	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.11	-0.00	0.04	16	64%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Richaun Holmes	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	4	62%	0.05	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
George King	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikal Bridges	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	8	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Deandre Ayton	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	10	60%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dragan Bender	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	3	33%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
De'Anthony Melton	-0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	16	53%	0.04	5	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Troy Daniels	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.03	4	45%	-0.02	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Jawun Evans	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.10	-0.00	-0.06	7	29%	-0.01	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Josh Jackson	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.19	-0.01	-0.02	14	23%	-0.11	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryn Forbes	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.17	0.02	0.01	14	77%	0.19	2	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.15	0.01	0.06	7	100%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	7	72%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	70%	0.04	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	12	46%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chimezie Metu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	150%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	16	50%	0.06	4	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	6	36%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Jakob Poeltl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0.03	7	57%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Derrick White	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	8	22%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.5	27.5	15.4	28.0	1.5	22.3	120.7
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +32.8%

SAS +3.7%

SAS +4.1%

SAS +8.0%

SAS +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SAS	NBA	PHX	SAS	NBA
this game	15.2	14.9	14.3	89.6	116.8	109.3
season	14.4	14.8		104.8	111.7
opponent	14.4	14.0		110.4	114.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.5	13.8	16.3	15.4	15.2
SAS	13.9	15.6	14.3	15.9	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dragan Bender	36	34	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.30	-13	-12	-1	14.7	15.6	-0.84	16.1	14.2	1.84
George King	11	11	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.15	-9	-16	7	17.2	15.0	2.18	12.7	15.2	-2.46
De'Anthony Melton	67	66	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.08	-3	-22	19	15.1	15.6	-0.53	15.5	13.6	1.95
Troy Daniels	34	33	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.10	-11	-14	3	14.8	15.5	-0.66	14.5	15.1	-0.60
Richaun Holmes	34	32	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.47	-24	-1	-23	15.7	15.0	0.71	14.8	15.0	-0.14
Deandre Ayton	62	63	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.23	-1	-24	23	15.0	15.7	-0.71	15.0	14.8	0.14
T.J. Warren	50	51	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.14	-5	-20	15	15.6	14.9	0.65	14.6	15.3	-0.73
Mikal Bridges	64	63	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.34	-23	-2	-21	15.9	14.0	1.83	14.2	16.3	-2.17
Jawun Evans	52	51	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.19	-18	-7	-11	15.3	15.1	0.21	15.1	14.6	0.50
Josh Jackson	70	71	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.08	-18	-7	-11	14.7	16.7	-1.93	15.0	14.5	0.49

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryn Forbes	66	67	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.14	22	3	19	14.0	17.1	-3.11	15.4	14.8	0.61
DeMar DeRozan	52	52	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.04	15	10	5	14.3	15.7	-1.36	15.4	15.0	0.38
Patty Mills	48	49	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.27	21	4	17	14.8	15.0	-0.15	15.2	15.3	-0.09
Rudy Gay	48	48	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.14	15	10	5	13.9	15.9	-2.00	16.0	14.5	1.54
LaMarcus Aldridge	49	50	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.00	10	15	-5	14.4	15.5	-1.11	15.2	15.3	-0.02
Jakob Poeltl	40	40	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.44	22	3	19	15.4	14.5	0.94	15.8	14.8	0.99
Dante Cunningham	46	48	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.19	0	25	-25	15.7	14.1	1.62	14.0	16.5	-2.50
Derrick White	53	52	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.19	12	13	-1	15.6	14.0	1.62	15.2	15.3	-0.04
Marco Belinelli	46	46	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.03	4	21	-17	16.3	13.6	2.80	15.0	15.4	-0.40
Quincy Pondexter	18	18	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.09	3	22	-19	15.3	14.8	0.53	15.2	15.3	-0.10
Chimezie Metu	9	10	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.03	1	24	-23	14.9	14.9	-0.02	14.6	15.3	-0.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.78,0.87,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 87, ORL 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.77,0.79,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.9,0.86,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.96,0.97,0.91,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
NJN 104, HOU 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
BOS 98, UTA 110	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.62,0.61,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.75,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.77,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1	96.5%