NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	92		Excitement	3.4 [1137]		MVP	Eric Bledsoe (MIL): +11.6%
Milwaukee Bucks	115		Comeback	1.1 [1174]		LVP	Stanley Johnson (DET): -13.6%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zaza Pachulia	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.03	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	6	67%	0.00
Langston Galloway	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Leuer	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	4	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khyri Thomas	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson III	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Brown	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	75%	0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.08	0.01	-0.07	10	42%	0.02	3	-0.02	4	50%	0.00
Jose Calderon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	4	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kennard	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	6	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0.04	15	45%	-0.02	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Blake Griffin	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.06,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.02	-0.03	0.03	22	62%	0.12	7	-0.16	6	83%	-0.01
Ish Smith	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Stanley Johnson	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.21	-0.00	-0.07	16	22%	-0.08	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.17	-0.00	0.05	17	69%	0.15	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Thon Maker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.02	-0.05	8	50%	0.09	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.01
Malcolm Brogdon	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.00	10	64%	0.07	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sterling Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.11	0.00	0.09	6	92%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.04	5	65%	0.01	1	0.00	7	100%	0.01
Christian Wood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jaylen Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Wilson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.07	0.00	0.07	3	87%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Donte DiVincenzo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	5	30%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	2	33%	-0.00	3	-0.02	2	100%	-0.00
Pat Connaughton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	12	54%	0.04	5	-0.08	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.4	25.1	14.7	29.5	2.5	31.4	131.8
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +34.6%

MIL +9.7%

DET -6.4%

MIL +10.7%

MIL +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	MIL	NBA	DET	MIL	NBA
this game	14.3	11.9	14.3	83.6	104.5	109.3
season	15.3	13.5		107.5	112.4
opponent	14.3	14.0		104.0	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	13.9	14.3	16.7	12.1	14.3
MIL	12.7	11.4	10.3	13.1	11.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jon Leuer	17	17	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-26	29	11.9	14.7	-2.74	14.1	11.5	2.59
Khyri Thomas	25	25	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-23	23	12.3	14.8	-2.56	13.0	11.6	1.39
Jose Calderon	30	30	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.10	3	-26	29	13.5	14.5	-0.99	11.7	12.0	-0.31
Bruce Brown	60	61	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.05	-1	-22	21	13.4	15.3	-1.88	12.7	11.0	1.67
Luke Kennard	15	14	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.01	-3	-20	17	15.5	14.1	1.48	12.5	11.8	0.66
Zaza Pachulia	40	39	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.06	-6	-17	11	13.9	14.5	-0.56	11.7	12.1	-0.40
Ish Smith	32	31	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.01	-5	-18	13	14.6	14.1	0.48	13.1	11.5	1.63
Stanley Johnson	60	61	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.14	-13	-10	-3	14.0	14.6	-0.60	11.5	12.5	-1.01
Glenn Robinson III	22	21	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.16	-14	-9	-5	16.8	13.6	3.20	10.4	12.3	-1.85
Reggie Jackson	57	58	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.24	-20	-3	-17	14.6	13.9	0.67	11.7	12.1	-0.39
Andre Drummond	70	71	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.12	-17	-6	-11	14.5	13.9	0.56	12.1	11.7	0.40
Blake Griffin	70	69	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.11	-17	-6	-11	15.0	12.9	2.09	11.2	13.1	-1.87
Langston Galloway	52	53	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.31	-25	2	-27	14.6	13.9	0.72	11.4	12.4	-1.06

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brook Lopez	59	61	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.24	22	1	21	11.2	12.7	-1.49	15.2	13.0	2.19
Eric Bledsoe	58	60	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.06	14	9	5	11.4	12.5	-1.09	15.3	13.0	2.30
Tony Snell	56	57	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.28	21	2	19	11.5	12.4	-0.94	15.4	13.0	2.35
Malcolm Brogdon	46	48	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.09	14	9	5	11.4	12.3	-0.88	16.1	12.8	3.36
Giannis Antetokounmpo	59	61	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.36	22	1	21	11.2	12.8	-1.63	15.2	13.1	2.15
Thon Maker	49	47	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.14	4	19	-15	12.4	11.5	0.90	14.0	14.5	-0.48
Sterling Brown	46	43	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.06	4	19	-15	12.4	11.6	0.87	13.1	15.0	-1.87
Pat Connaughton	43	42	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.01	6	17	-11	12.2	11.8	0.39	13.5	14.7	-1.14
Matthew Dellavedova	48	46	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.17	11	12	-1	12.1	11.8	0.28	13.1	15.1	-2.04
Donte DiVincenzo	41	41	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.05	0	23	-23	12.9	11.3	1.55	12.2	15.5	-3.28
Jaylen Morris	14	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	23	-23	12.7	11.8	0.90	12.1	14.6	-2.42
D.J. Wilson	14	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	23	-23	12.7	11.8	0.90	11.5	14.6	-3.17
Christian Wood	17	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	26	-29	14.1	11.5	2.59	11.9	14.7	-2.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.78,0.8,0.89,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 81, ATL 106	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.65,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.76,0.79,0.72,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
CHI 65, DET 98	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.72,0.68,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.68,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.84,0.9,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
WAS 83, IND 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.84,0.88,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%