inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 65 Excitement2.8 [1187] MVPRasheed Wallace (DET): +7.5%
Detroit Pistons 98 Comeback1.0 [1241] LVPPaul Shirley (CHI): -9.1%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jerome Williams0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.011100%0.021-0.011100%0.00
Ronald Dupree0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.080.00-0.08733%0.0010.00450%0.01
Rick Brunson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.140.00-0.12714%0.003-0.0200%0.00
Jamal Crawford-0.020,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.04-0.00-0.02940%-0.001-0.022100%0.01
Kirk Hinrich-0.030,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.00-0.000.02956%0.012-0.0400%0.00
Antonio Davis-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.06-0.00-0.02750%-0.003-0.032100%0.01
Tyson Chandler-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.00-0.00520%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Kendall Gill-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.11-0.01-0.061537%-0.033-0.032100%0.00
Linton Johnson-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.17-0.00-0.091628%-0.072-0.02425%-0.00
Paul Shirley-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.10-0.01-0.02533%-0.043-0.0520%-0.00

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.050.00-0.021369%0.123-0.0400%0.00
Chauncey Billups0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.050.00-0.001361%0.061-0.015100%0.02
Lindsey Hunter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.090.000.06692%0.061-0.0200%0.00
Corliss Williamson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.040.000.03868%0.021-0.013100%0.01
Mehmet Okur0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.01570%0.022-0.0200%0.00
Mike James0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.080.00-0.08759%0.045-0.04333%0.00
Darvin Ham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.001100%0.0010.0000%0.00
Darko Milicic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Richard Hamilton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.070.00-0.05937%0.022-0.031100%0.01
Tayshaun Prince0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.01542%-0.011-0.02250%-0.01
Ben Wallace0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.11-0.00-0.04540%-0.015-0.0600%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.62.428.416.524.62.427.5126.4
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +46.6%
DET +1.0%
DET +0.8%
CHI -2.1%
DET +3.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHIDETNBACHIDETNBA
this game15.614.115.766.3102.1100.5
season15.216.294.699.2
opponent16.015.492.6101.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHI16.515.115.715.115.6
DET12.813.113.716.814.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ronald Dupree3636-0.06-0.440.390.06-4-292514.716.1-1.4814.513.80.68
Rick Brunson3937-0.16-0.340.170.34-17-16-116.015.30.6615.813.02.83
Jerome Williams4037-0.17-0.330.170.07-8-251715.515.7-0.2113.314.6-1.31
Tyson Chandler5756-0.17-0.330.150.35-18-15-315.715.40.3214.713.21.41
Paul Shirley3738-0.19-0.310.130.31-17-16-115.115.9-0.7915.213.31.93
Jamal Crawford3231-0.24-0.260.020.08-11-221116.615.11.4313.414.4-0.97
Kendall Gill5756-0.28-0.22-0.060.42-24-9-1515.116.3-1.1915.112.72.40
Kirk Hinrich5959-0.34-0.16-0.170.13-16-17115.316.0-0.6613.015.8-2.83
Linton Johnson7169-0.42-0.08-0.340.37-27-6-2116.014.41.6013.316.0-2.63
Antonio Davis6261-0.47-0.03-0.450.20-23-10-1315.915.20.6913.315.4-2.13

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ben Wallace61620.470.030.45-0.2023101313.315.4-2.1315.915.20.69
Chauncey Billups58580.450.050.40-0.2223101313.015.8-2.8015.715.40.34
Rasheed Wallace62610.340.160.19-0.101518-313.814.5-0.7116.214.51.71
Tayshaun Prince35370.320.180.14-0.091419-512.315.1-2.7216.515.11.42
Richard Hamilton61630.310.190.12-0.041221-913.714.7-1.0514.817.1-2.35
Lindsey Hunter53520.220.28-0.07-0.251617-114.813.11.7315.815.30.52
Corliss Williamson43470.200.30-0.09-0.291716113.114.8-1.6915.515.7-0.13
Mehmet Okur26290.080.42-0.34-0.451815316.313.23.0616.415.31.10
Darvin Ham21200.050.45-0.40-0.18825-1716.013.52.4714.016.0-1.95
Mike James40420.050.45-0.40-0.391518-315.513.12.4515.215.9-0.68
Darko Milicic20190.000.50-0.50-0.12429-2516.813.43.4414.215.9-1.79


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.72,0.68,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.68,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.84,0.9,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 85, PHX 990.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.9,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.2%
POR 98, DEN 1240.5,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.81,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.1%
MIA 86, ATL 990.5,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.89,0.87,0.86,0.93,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,197.1%