NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	113		Excitement	5.1 [833]		MVP	Reggie Bullock (DET): +20.3%
Detroit Pistons	103		Comeback	1.4 [555]		LVP	Blake Griffin (DET): -19.3%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kemba Walker	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.14	0.12	0.03	0.00	17	63%	0.15	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.02
Tony Parker	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.02	-0.00	18	67%	0.13	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cody Zeller	0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.07	0.01	11	54%	0.08	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Jeremy Lamb	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.00	0.02	6	83%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Miles Bridges	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	4	80%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	3	62%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marvin Williams	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	-0.00	9	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Willy Hernangomez	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.02	0.00	6	75%	0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Dwayne Bacon	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	6	42%	0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Malik Monk	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	5	29%	-0.05	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Bullock	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.21	-0.00	0.00	13	79%	0.20	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.03	9	56%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.07	-0.01	0.07	16	59%	0.05	2	-0.06	7	71%	-0.02
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	15	53%	0.03	4	-0.06	6	83%	0.00
Glenn Robinson III	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	9	28%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	12	29%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stanley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	9	22%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.15	-0.04	-0.00	16	29%	-0.12	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	3.6	26.5	14.8	28.2	2.4	36.5	136.1
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +58.6%

CHA +1.0%

DET -11.0%

CHA +0.6%

CHA +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	DET	NBA	CHA	DET	NBA
this game	13.9	16.1	14.3	117.7	107.3	109.3
season	14.6	15.3		110.4	107.5
opponent	14.0	14.3		109.0	111.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	13.2	13.8	14.1	14.5	13.9
DET	18.1	16.2	17.2	13.2	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nicolas Batum	70	69	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.16	13	-3	16	13.7	14.6	-0.92	15.8	16.9	-1.11
Jeremy Lamb	44	45	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.09	11	-1	12	13.2	14.5	-1.21	18.1	14.4	3.71
Marvin Williams	53	52	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.05	12	-2	14	13.8	14.0	-0.25	18.0	13.8	4.20
Cody Zeller	62	63	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.12	8	2	6	14.1	13.5	0.67	16.5	15.4	1.07
Kemba Walker	72	73	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.28	1	9	-8	14.0	13.7	0.32	15.9	16.8	-0.96
Miles Bridges	49	50	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.16	1	9	-8	14.1	13.7	0.32	14.7	17.6	-2.91
Malik Monk	37	36	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.03	7	3	4	14.1	13.8	0.33	14.7	16.9	-2.24
Tony Parker	57	58	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.01	6	4	2	14.4	13.1	1.31	15.0	17.8	-2.81
Willy Hernangomez	26	25	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.20	-6	16	-22	13.9	13.9	0.02	15.7	16.2	-0.56
Dwayne Bacon	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	10	-10	17.0	13.9	3.13	0.0	16.1	-16.09
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	9	9	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.01	-3	13	-16	12.0	14.1	-2.10	18.4	15.9	2.59

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zaza Pachulia	19	18	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.11	-6	-4	-2	17.8	15.7	2.11	11.6	14.4	-2.89
Jose Calderon	14	14	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.13	-9	-1	-8	14.9	16.3	-1.45	16.0	13.5	2.45
Langston Galloway	52	50	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.29	5	-15	20	14.9	17.5	-2.68	14.6	13.2	1.41
Ish Smith	54	52	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.33	6	-16	22	14.5	18.1	-3.60	14.2	13.5	0.67
Stanley Johnson	37	35	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.14	-11	1	-12	15.0	16.8	-1.78	14.3	13.7	0.69
Reggie Bullock	68	68	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.38	5	-15	20	16.4	15.4	0.94	13.6	14.7	-1.09
Andre Drummond	72	74	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.39	4	-14	18	15.6	17.5	-1.87	14.6	11.6	2.94
Reggie Jackson	64	66	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.23	-5	-5	0	15.7	16.8	-1.08	13.8	14.2	-0.48
Blake Griffin	58	59	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.11	-19	9	-28	18.3	12.8	5.51	13.3	14.9	-1.60
Glenn Robinson III	42	44	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.09	-20	10	-30	18.1	14.5	3.64	13.1	14.6	-1.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.32,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.3,0.15,0.08,0.23,0.14,0.13,0.19,0.08,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 92, NYK 86	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.49,0.54,0.41,0.42,0.32,0.26,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.14,0.11,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%
BOS 105, MEM 87	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.2,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
MIA 93, NYK 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.08,0	94.5%