NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	88		Excitement	5.0 [851]		MVP	Hassan Whiteside (MIA): +19.8%
Miami Heat	95		Comeback	1.1 [857]		LVP	Marco Belinelli (SAS): -11.0%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Davis Bertans	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.18	0.02	0.06	10	83%	0.13	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
DeMar DeRozan	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	15	51%	0.05	3	-0.04	5	100%	0.01
Dante Cunningham	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Pondexter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	22	45%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bryn Forbes	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.04	12	46%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jakob Poeltl	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.15	-0.01	-0.06	14	20%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Derrick White	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	3	0%	-0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.04	-0.03	13	31%	-0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hassan Whiteside	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.19,0.22,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.13	0.04	-0.02	18	62%	0.22	1	-0.03	11	82%	0.01
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.00	0.02	13	77%	0.14	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Justise Winslow	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.09	17	46%	0.09	4	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Bam Adebayo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tyler Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	10	41%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0	50%	-0.00	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Derrick Jones Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rodney McGruder	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	9	22%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Richardson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07	-0.07	-0.13	0.01	-0.06	22	32%	-0.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.7	2.0	25.3	14.0	29.1	2.4	25.3	125.8
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +42.9%

MIA +0.6%

MIA +8.0%

SAS -2.0%

MIA +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	MIA	NBA	SAS	MIA	NBA
this game	14.2	15.6	14.3	91.7	97.9	109.3
season	14.8	14.8		111.7	106.3
opponent	14.3	14.4		106.7	110.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	14.8	14.6	16.1	11.8	14.2
MIA	15.2	15.4	14.6	17.0	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quincy Pondexter	8	9	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.06	2	-9	11	10.9	14.6	-3.68	17.0	15.4	1.56
Jakob Poeltl	24	25	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.16	2	-9	11	16.0	13.7	2.39	14.1	16.1	-1.98
Derrick White	32	31	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.11	-9	2	-11	15.3	13.7	1.64	15.8	15.5	0.32
Marco Belinelli	57	55	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.20	1	-8	9	14.2	14.3	-0.01	14.8	16.6	-1.78
Dante Cunningham	43	43	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.09	-11	4	-15	15.4	13.3	2.03	15.7	15.5	0.11
Davis Bertans	53	54	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.38	4	-11	15	13.3	15.4	-2.03	15.5	15.7	-0.11
DeMar DeRozan	71	73	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.36	1	-8	9	14.4	13.9	0.45	16.0	14.3	1.67
Patty Mills	55	57	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.25	-3	-4	1	14.5	14.0	0.48	15.3	15.9	-0.62
LaMarcus Aldridge	72	72	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.14	-9	2	-11	13.7	16.0	-2.39	16.1	14.1	1.98
Bryn Forbes	65	66	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.12	-13	6	-19	13.8	15.1	-1.30	15.7	15.4	0.34

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Richardson	76	74	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.21	11	-4	15	16.1	13.8	2.27	14.1	14.8	-0.74
Wayne Ellington	75	76	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.13	10	-3	13	15.4	16.4	-1.00	14.3	14.2	0.06
Rodney McGruder	76	75	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.25	5	2	3	15.7	15.1	0.57	14.1	14.7	-0.53
Hassan Whiteside	65	65	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.25	1	6	-5	16.0	14.7	1.30	13.5	15.9	-2.44
Bam Adebayo	26	24	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.01	8	-1	9	14.3	16.0	-1.70	16.2	13.6	2.67
Kelly Olynyk	24	26	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.05	10	-3	13	13.6	16.2	-2.66	16.8	13.3	3.45
Justise Winslow	62	60	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.29	-2	9	-11	16.2	14.5	1.77	13.8	14.9	-1.11
Tyler Johnson	64	64	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.26	-1	8	-9	15.1	16.5	-1.31	14.2	14.4	-0.19
Derrick Jones Jr.	17	16	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.11	-7	14	-21	16.3	15.4	0.86	13.4	14.4	-0.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.71,0.68,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.84,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 95, PHI 114	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.8,0.79,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.8,0.74,0.72,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
NOH 97, MIL 107	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.69,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.77,0.75,0.79,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.91,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
LAC 85, HOU 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.68,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.64,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%