NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	107		Excitement	5.5 [773]		MVP	Josh Jackson (PHX): +11.7%
Phoenix Suns	98		Comeback	2.2 [980]		LVP	Elie Okobo (PHX): -11.6%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kawhi Leonard	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.01	-0.04	14	56%	0.15	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.02
Serge Ibaka	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.05	-0.02	12	50%	0.08	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Norman Powell	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	6	62%	0.07	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Fred VanVleet	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.00	0.02	-0.04	7	57%	0.06	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.01	0.03	5	71%	0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
CJ Miles	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.03	0.05	7	64%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delon Wright	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Lowry	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	9	55%	0.02	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Greg Monroe	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.07	-0.01	0.06	10	73%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
OG Anunoby	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	8	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.06	-0.00	8	69%	0.15	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Canaan	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.13	-0.01	0.06	12	76%	0.08	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Deandre Ayton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.00	0.04	10	65%	0.06	1	-0.04	6	50%	-0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	-0.01	-0.04	12	42%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	5	36%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Richaun Holmes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	20	44%	0.02	3	-0.11	1	0%	-0.02
T.J. Warren	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.01	0.02	9	42%	-0.02	4	-0.09	6	67%	-0.01
Elie Okobo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	8	25%	-0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.3	29.3	13.6	29.6	2.5	27.4	130.0
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +32.4%

TOR +7.7%

PHX -10.8%

TOR +21.1%

PHX -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	PHX	NBA	TOR	PHX	NBA
this game	13.1	15.9	14.3	107.0	99.0	109.3
season	14.3	14.4		111.5	104.8
opponent	14.0	14.5		114.0	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	12.6	12.8	12.2	14.8	13.1
PHX	14.1	16.0	18.6	15.2	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Lowry	68	66	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.27	5	4	1	12.3	14.7	-2.46	16.5	14.7	1.73
Serge Ibaka	44	44	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.03	11	-2	13	13.9	12.4	1.52	17.0	15.0	1.98
Fred VanVleet	41	41	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.11	7	2	5	13.5	12.8	0.65	15.4	16.2	-0.79
Kawhi Leonard	62	61	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.19	4	5	-1	12.9	13.4	-0.47	16.7	14.6	2.11
Pascal Siakam	56	56	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.08	7	2	5	12.0	14.5	-2.54	16.2	15.5	0.65
Norman Powell	27	27	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.08	11	-2	13	14.3	12.6	1.72	16.1	15.8	0.37
OG Anunoby	44	43	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.15	2	7	-5	14.5	12.0	2.54	15.5	16.2	-0.65
CJ Miles	32	32	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.05	4	5	-1	14.3	12.5	1.77	15.2	16.2	-1.07
Jonas Valanciunas	53	53	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.06	3	6	-3	12.3	13.9	-1.58	15.3	16.5	-1.24
Danny Green	57	57	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.16	-2	11	-13	12.5	13.8	-1.29	14.8	17.3	-2.53
Greg Monroe	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	14	-19	13.7	13.1	0.60	7.0	16.1	-9.06
Delon Wright	13	13	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.00	-2	11	-13	13.7	13.0	0.70	16.5	15.8	0.76

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Crawford	8	7	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.02	4	-13	17	14.1	16.0	-1.91	14.0	13.0	0.99
T.J. Warren	50	51	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.25	4	-13	17	14.5	17.3	-2.87	12.4	13.8	-1.44
Mikal Bridges	23	26	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.20	1	-10	11	13.3	16.6	-3.30	13.2	13.0	0.20
Isaiah Canaan	67	67	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.20	1	-10	11	15.8	16.1	-0.32	13.1	13.1	-0.06
Richaun Holmes	24	26	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.12	-2	-7	5	16.3	15.7	0.54	13.0	13.1	-0.11
Josh Jackson	23	23	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.04	-9	0	-9	15.6	16.0	-0.35	14.1	12.8	1.36
Elie Okobo	32	33	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.02	-10	1	-11	16.1	15.8	0.32	13.1	13.1	0.06
Deandre Ayton	75	74	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.11	-7	-2	-5	15.7	16.3	-0.54	13.1	13.0	0.11
Trevor Ariza	71	71	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.11	-8	-1	-7	16.5	14.4	2.12	12.7	14.0	-1.34
Ryan Anderson	49	49	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.02	-13	4	-17	17.3	14.5	2.87	13.8	12.4	1.44
Devin Booker	73	73	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.19	-6	-3	-3	16.4	14.5	1.87	13.0	13.3	-0.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.4,0.33,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.3,0.17,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.15,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 109, TOR 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.47,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.28,0.2,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.19,0.14,0.09,0.12,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%
POR 99, MIA 87	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.23,0.29,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0	94.2%
CHH 95, WAS 88	0.5,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.5,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.25,0.31,0.23,0.15,0.22,0.16,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	94.0%