NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	110		Excitement	6.0 [642]		MVP	Shelvin Mack (MEM): +19.8%
Utah Jazz	100		Comeback	4.5 [118]		LVP	Dante Exum (UTA): -12.0%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shelvin Mack	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0,-0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.09	0.10	-0.00	11	83%	0.28	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Mike Conley	0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.15	0.02	0.01	18	57%	0.16	0	0.00	13	85%	0.01
MarShon Brooks	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	1	150%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	12	57%	0.11	3	-0.07	6	50%	-0.03
Wayne Selden	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	3	62%	0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	9	72%	0.11	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Dillon Brooks	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.02	0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	67%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Garrett Temple	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	10	55%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Ivan Rabb	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kyle Anderson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	0.01	4	17%	-0.08	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.14	0.00	0.05	10	75%	0.09	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	9	60%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Grayson Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.01	8	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	5	56%	0.04	2	-0.03	6	50%	-0.02
Georges Niang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	13	61%	0.13	5	-0.12	5	80%	0.01
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.02	17	61%	0.09	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.02
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	6	36%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Dante Exum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	6	21%	-0.08	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.4	41.1	0.2	27.4	1.8	31.7	131.8
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +32.0%

MEM +6.2%

UTA -0.9%

MEM +9.0%

MEM +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	UTA	NBA	MEM	UTA	NBA
this game	16.7	14.3	14.3	118.3	107.5	109.3
season	15.4	14.3		105.4	109.3
opponent	14.3	14.2		105.2	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	15.8	15.2	16.5	19.3	16.7
UTA	13.5	14.2	16.3	13.1	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wayne Selden	30	29	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.13	14	-4	18	15.8	17.1	-1.30	15.7	13.6	2.08
Shelvin Mack	67	65	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.15	12	-2	14	16.2	17.9	-1.68	13.8	15.4	-1.58
Marc Gasol	70	70	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.22	9	1	8	17.1	15.5	1.54	14.5	13.7	0.73
MarShon Brooks	19	17	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.14	7	3	4	19.0	16.1	2.92	14.3	14.3	0.00
Garrett Temple	68	67	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.13	5	5	0	17.2	15.3	1.86	13.9	15.4	-1.52
Kyle Anderson	60	64	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.08	3	7	-4	16.0	17.9	-1.91	14.5	13.8	0.72
Omri Casspi	14	15	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.08	7	3	4	12.2	17.5	-5.25	15.7	14.0	1.64
Jaren Jackson Jr.	37	39	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.04	2	8	-6	16.9	16.5	0.36	15.4	13.5	1.88
Dillon Brooks	28	27	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.15	-2	12	-14	17.6	16.3	1.28	14.6	14.2	0.43
Ivan Rabb	8	8	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	-0.03	-1	11	-12	15.5	16.8	-1.29	8.9	14.8	-5.93
Mike Conley	64	64	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.09	-6	16	-22	17.2	15.6	1.64	13.7	15.6	-1.88

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rudy Gobert	71	70	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.10	3	-13	16	13.9	15.5	-1.58	17.3	14.8	2.52
Ricky Rubio	61	63	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.33	11	-21	32	13.0	16.8	-3.85	17.7	14.6	3.02
Royce O'Neale	44	43	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.13	-6	-4	-2	15.0	13.7	1.30	14.5	18.5	-3.99
Joe Ingles	71	72	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.18	-3	-7	4	14.0	15.2	-1.17	16.7	16.4	0.32
Dante Exum	37	36	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.06	-8	-2	-6	16.3	12.9	3.38	15.6	17.4	-1.83
Georges Niang	23	22	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.09	-9	-1	-8	14.4	14.2	0.19	17.7	16.4	1.32
Jae Crowder	63	65	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.18	-7	-3	-4	13.8	15.4	-1.64	16.0	18.2	-2.15
Derrick Favors	45	44	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.16	-13	3	-16	15.4	13.3	2.06	16.0	17.3	-1.24
Grayson Allen	50	50	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.07	-18	8	-26	14.4	14.2	0.15	18.1	15.0	3.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.49,0.42,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.64,0.81,0.8,0.7,0.71,0.54,0.63,0.67,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.36,0.3,0.43,0.21,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 80, LAC 77	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.34,0.18,0.2,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.16,0.04,0.11,0.01,0.09,0	93.5%
DAL 115, TOR 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.6,0.58,0.67,0.64,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.05,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0	93.3%
SAS 107, DEN 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.6,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.25,0.29,0.12,0.08,0.15,0.06,0.07,0.01,0.01,0,0	92.2%