inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Orleans Pelicans 119 Excitement6.9 [501] MVPJusuf Nurkic (POR): +18.8%
Portland Trail Blazers 132 Comeback1.2 [1061] LVPCJ McCollum (POR): -12.6%


New Orleans Pelicans
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
E'Twaun Moore0.150,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.120.030.001270%0.171-0.023100%0.02
Julius Randle0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.17,0.21,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.130.020.011666%0.233-0.091292%0.05
Ian Clark0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.07-0.010.02671%0.0500.002100%0.00
Nikola Mirotic0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.040.01-0.042039%0.051-0.04683%0.01
Frank Jackson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.04520%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kenrich Williams0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.060.000.062125%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jahlil Okafor-0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.01650%0.011-0.0100%0.00
Jrue Holiday-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.011447%0.033-0.06875%-0.01
Cheick Diallo-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.020.00536%-0.0400.00475%0.00
Solomon Hill-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.030.0010%-0.031-0.0400%0.00
Tim Frazier-0.070,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.02-0.040.01750%0.002-0.07250%-0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jusuf Nurkic0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.140.070.02983%0.242-0.05683%0.01
Seth Curry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.090.04-0.00590%0.1300.0000%0.00
Zach Collins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.020.09-0.01850%0.1200.00250%-0.02
Al-Farouq Aminu0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.120.020.031168%0.1100.003100%0.01
Damian Lillard0,0,0,0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.080.02-0.011665%0.194-0.098100%0.05
Nik Stauskas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.090.01-0.00683%0.1000.0000%0.00
Jake Layman0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.120.000.064137%0.081-0.0200%0.00
Caleb Swanigan0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.020.02-0.02643%0.051-0.04250%-0.01
Anfernee Simons0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Wade Baldwin IV0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Evan Turner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.01-0.011154%0.062-0.064100%0.03
CJ McCollum0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.11-0.04-0.03836%-0.044-0.08667%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.53.430.616.533.43.529.2144.1
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.9132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
POR +64.7%
NOP -6.4%
NOP -10.4%
POR +0.5%
POR +1.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNOPPORNBANOPPORNBA
this game13.314.014.3114.4123.4109.3
season13.414.9110.2112.6
opponent13.914.2109.4111.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NOP13.013.613.513.013.3
POR14.112.613.116.414.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kenrich Williams67-0.00-0.500.50-0.124-172110.713.4-2.7717.613.83.81
Jahlil Okafor2830-0.04-0.460.41-0.071-141513.713.10.6015.513.42.03
Frank Jackson2426-0.06-0.440.39-0.143-161912.113.6-1.5015.113.71.41
Cheick Diallo4347-0.06-0.440.38-0.184-172112.913.5-0.5913.414.5-1.08
Solomon Hill2324-0.15-0.350.19-0.09-2-11911.313.8-2.4812.414.5-2.11
Ian Clark5153-0.18-0.320.13-0.16-1-121112.713.8-1.1614.014.00.06
E'Twaun Moore6768-0.24-0.260.020.02-9-4-513.712.41.3113.814.3-0.51
Julius Randle5858-0.31-0.19-0.120.07-130-1312.913.7-0.7513.814.3-0.51
Jrue Holiday7778-0.31-0.19-0.130.07-130-1313.612.51.0813.814.5-0.70
Tim Frazier6566-0.550.05-0.600.07-218-2914.311.52.8314.014.0-0.02
Nikola Mirotic7878-0.590.09-0.67-0.06-185-2313.512.60.9414.213.60.53

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Evan Turner62610.410.090.320.09112913.614.5-0.8712.913.9-1.03
Jusuf Nurkic59590.370.130.23-0.011301314.813.01.8313.712.71.08
Al-Farouq Aminu72690.350.150.200.03112914.612.81.8013.413.00.42
Damian Lillard68660.310.190.13-0.041211114.513.21.2313.113.5-0.39
CJ McCollum65630.310.190.13-0.041211114.513.31.1913.313.30.02
Seth Curry42420.270.230.040.0967-113.014.7-1.6614.112.71.37
Zach Collins42400.160.34-0.190.0449-513.014.7-1.7412.913.5-0.53
Caleb Swanigan35350.150.35-0.200.09211-912.814.6-1.8013.013.4-0.42
Nik Stauskas49460.120.38-0.260.15-114-1513.114.8-1.7113.213.3-0.07
Jake Layman33310.050.45-0.400.08-114-1514.913.61.3014.112.91.12
Anfernee Simons440.000.50-0.500.06-215-1716.013.92.078.713.5-4.71
Wade Baldwin IV440.000.50-0.500.06-215-1716.013.92.078.713.5-4.71


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.53,0.59,0.74,0.71,0.79,0.62,0.78,0.7,0.81,0.9,0.92,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 84, POR 980.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.78,0.72,0.58,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.86,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.98,1,1,194.9%
ORL 84, SAS 980.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.78,0.7,0.87,0.77,0.94,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,194.2%
HOU 92, LAC 970.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.73,0.65,0.52,0.59,0.73,0.63,0.75,0.85,0.75,0.82,0.8,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.98,194.2%