inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 143 Excitement12.0 [28] MVPPatty Mills (SAS): +46.7%
Los Angeles Lakers 142 Comeback56.8 [32] LVPDeMar DeRozan (SAS): -18.9%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Patty Mills0.470,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.470.080.37-0.02763%0.4700.00560%-0.01
Rudy Gay0.300,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.30.100.17-0.038100%0.353-0.0500%0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge0.290,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.290.140.170.022260%0.311-0.011861%-0.13
Bryn Forbes0.220,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.220.050.16-0.011457%0.251-0.0300%0.00
Pau Gasol0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.070.030.00475%0.1000.004100%0.02
Marco Belinelli0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.01-0.00975%0.152-0.062100%0.02
Davis Bertans0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.030.00275%0.0500.0000%0.00
Dante Cunningham-0.010,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.02-0.020.01275%-0.0100.0000%0.00
DeMar DeRozan-0.190,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.13,-0.19,-0.190.00-0.190.012948%-0.142-0.05989%0.05

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kyle Kuzma0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.24,0.240.240.200.03-0.012569%0.322-0.09475%-0.01
Johnathan Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.060.120.00573%0.1800.0010%-0.02
Josh Hart0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.140.040.021471%0.191-0.0300%0.00
Lonzo Ball0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.080.100.03970%0.181-0.03250%-0.01
LeBron James0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.07,-0.06,-0.01,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.45,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.040.040.02-0.01-0.022552%0.215-0.181173%-0.15
JaVale McGee0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.04-0.040.011355%0.061-0.06367%-0.00
Lance Stephenson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.02-0.00662%0.082-0.081100%0.01
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.010.00440%-0.0200.002100%0.01
Michael Beasley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.01337%-0.001-0.02250%-0.01
Ivica Zubac0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Svi Mykhailiuk0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.07-0.07-0.0120%-0.062-0.0700%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game23.52.432.414.731.52.730.22.518.4158.3
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.93.315.6132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +13.7%
SAS +28.3%
LAL -38.1%
SAS +34.4%
SAS +11.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASLALNBASASLALNBA
this game15.112.814.3125.4124.6109.3
season14.813.5111.7107.2
opponent14.214.4108.7110.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
SAS13.016.915.116.811.615.1
LAL13.711.212.013.215.312.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
LaMarcus Aldridge87880.69-0.190.880.429-81714.915.6-0.7412.713.2-0.47
DeMar DeRozan96970.58-0.080.650.377-61315.214.40.7312.613.9-1.30
Bryn Forbes83810.52-0.020.550.55-12-315.015.1-0.0912.812.9-0.11
Rudy Gay73710.410.090.310.352-1315.514.31.1212.812.9-0.12
Dante Cunningham62620.260.240.030.125-4915.115.00.1113.112.50.58
Marco Belinelli50500.160.34-0.180.22-23-515.215.00.2113.312.50.80
Patty Mills63650.110.39-0.270.29-67-1314.815.4-0.6313.012.60.35
Davis Bertans1717-0.090.59-0.680.06-56-1114.015.2-1.2512.712.9-0.15
Pau Gasol3939-0.140.64-0.78-0.02-45-915.215.00.1412.513.0-0.49

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Lance Stephenson37380.39-0.891.28-0.1117-183512.013.2-1.2715.414.90.50
Svi Mykhailiuk37360.18-0.680.86-0.1712-132511.613.4-1.7515.115.00.07
Ivica Zubac11110.07-0.570.64-0.023-479.313.2-3.9416.614.91.74
Michael Beasley1313-0.02-0.480.46-0.051-2311.213.0-1.8113.815.2-1.37
JaVale McGee5760-0.14-0.360.220.09-87-1513.412.21.1815.714.31.38
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope4242-0.34-0.16-0.190.07-1413-2713.412.50.8714.415.4-1.00
Josh Hart8483-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.535-61112.613.5-0.9515.314.50.79
Johnathan Williams3129-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.491-2314.212.31.8213.415.6-2.26
Kyle Kuzma9798-0.540.04-0.57-0.45-32-512.613.9-1.2315.115.1-0.00
LeBron James9090-0.600.10-0.69-0.45-54-913.311.12.1615.214.40.82
Lonzo Ball7170-0.660.16-0.81-0.25-1413-2713.312.01.3414.915.4-0.49


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.25,0.23,0.18,0.23,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.35,0.24,0.32,0.41,0.34,0.28,0.25,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.25,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.28,0.27,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.38,0.34,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.29,0.18,0.14,0.29,0.14,0.01,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.91,0.92,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 109, OKC 1080.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.35,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.21,0.19,0.24,0.3,0.34,0.27,0.23,0.17,0.14,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.31,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.4,0.34,0.43,0.37,0.26,0.19,0.17,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.27,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.67,0.73,089.3%
PHI 127, BOS 1250.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.29,0.26,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.32,0.24,0.24,0.33,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.31,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.03,0.05,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.66,0.73,086.9%
LAL 109, TOR 1070.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.22,0.25,0.26,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.26,0.31,0.41,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.38,0.52,0.42,0.32,0.26,0.35,0.27,0.4,0.29,0.16,0.08,0.46,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.58,086.2%