inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Los Angeles Lakers 109 Excitement10.9 [35] MVPJerome Williams (TOR): +12.2%
Toronto Raptors 107 Comeback3.1 [527] LVPLindsey Hunter (TOR): -46.6%


Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Derek Fisher0.060,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.07-0.010.01780%0.081-0.031100%0.01
Kobe Bryant0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,0.04-0.050.100.012553%0.185-0.15862%-0.04
Mark Madsen0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Samaki Walker-0.000,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.010.01458%-0.0000.00475%0.01
Kareem Rush-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Shaquille O'Neal-0.020,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.020.01-0.020.011662%0.072-0.101839%-0.12
Tracy Murray-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.070.01-0.03333%0.053-0.0900%0.00
Rick Fox-0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.00-0.08-0.001353%-0.051-0.02683%0.03
Robert Horry-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.1,-0.13-0.00-0.13-0.00470%0.012-0.13250%-0.03
Brian Shaw-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.13-0.03-0.10-0.0020%-0.1300.0000%0.00

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jerome Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.12,0.120.120.020.110.01758%0.1200.00560%0.01
Morris Peterson0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.01,0.01,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.050.050.05-0.000.012157%0.252-0.205100%0.03
Alvin Williams0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.020.02-0.000.01-0.011253%0.051-0.03683%0.01
Jelani McCoy0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.000.00550%-0.0100.0020%-0.03
Chris Jefferies0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.000.01267%0.001-0.022100%0.01
Jermaine Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.00-0.0110%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Michael Bradley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.02-0.07-0.00475%0.091-0.1400%0.00
Voshon Lenard0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.06-0.06-0.001343%-0.082-0.04250%-0.01
Greg Foster0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.19-0.08-0.11-0.00840%-0.102-0.09450%-0.02
Lindsey Hunter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.15,-0.47-0.47-0.04-0.43-0.011159%-0.234-0.24771%-0.19
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game31.22.528.416.730.82.636.82.721.2172.9
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.91.917.2149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +6.3%
LAL +7.1%
TOR -9.1%
LAL +38.7%
LAL +6.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsLALTORNBALALTORNBA
this game15.417.315.5111.2110.3101.6
season15.416.2105.098.8
opponent15.315.1105.1102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
LAL15.814.014.916.017.315.4
TOR18.518.016.416.018.017.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kobe Bryant85840.55-0.050.590.434-2615.514.70.7817.317.20.03
Rick Fox73710.500.000.490.384-2615.515.10.3917.815.81.93
Robert Horry62610.490.010.470.4611015.515.20.3216.718.1-1.40
Brian Shaw25240.440.060.370.50-24-614.515.7-1.1415.317.9-2.56
Shaquille O'Neal84840.310.190.110.45-57-1215.315.9-0.6517.516.01.45
Samaki Walker42400.150.35-0.190.044-2615.115.5-0.3917.916.81.05
Mark Madsen780.080.42-0.33-0.034-2618.015.22.8418.017.20.81
Kareem Rush12100.020.48-0.450.05-13-414.615.5-0.8915.617.4-1.85
Tracy Murray25260.000.50-0.490.06-24-615.115.5-0.3915.817.8-1.93
Derek Fisher7577-0.040.54-0.57-0.123-1415.514.80.7617.914.92.97

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Greg Foster48490.03-0.530.56-0.094-61017.017.5-0.4716.414.42.00
Jermaine Jackson550.02-0.520.54-0.011-3410.817.6-6.8115.815.30.46
Jelani McCoy44450.01-0.510.520.10-31-418.416.32.0714.815.8-1.05
Chris Jefferies2524-0.00-0.500.49-0.000-2216.017.7-1.6915.415.40.07
Voshon Lenard6163-0.18-0.320.14-0.09-31-417.916.21.7314.716.6-1.96
Alvin Williams6566-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.322-4617.417.10.2915.016.2-1.26
Michael Bradley4039-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.646-81416.218.0-1.8415.215.5-0.23
Lindsey Hunter5151-0.500.00-0.50-0.44-20-217.317.20.0416.414.32.14
Morris Peterson8586-0.550.05-0.60-0.43-42-617.317.10.2015.514.70.70
Jerome Williams6162-0.610.11-0.72-0.29-119-2017.616.70.9015.215.6-0.43


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.22,0.25,0.26,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.26,0.31,0.41,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.38,0.52,0.42,0.32,0.26,0.35,0.27,0.4,0.29,0.16,0.08,0.46,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.58,0
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 112, MIL 1080.5,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.19,0.23,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.17,0.14,0.2,0.14,0.1,0.15,0.27,0.33,0.26,0.22,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.19,0.22,0.34,0.28,0.23,0.36,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.28,0.22,0.26,0.5,0.45,0.22,0.03,0.59,089.9%
LAL 105, UTA 1010.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.28,0.33,0.34,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.17,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.38,0.42,0.3,0.34,0.4,0.31,0.22,0.1,0.28,0.46,0.47,0.36,0.45,0.58,089.4%
LAL 98, HOU 970.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.4,0.41,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.2,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.25,0.2,0.32,0.3,0.35,0.29,0.39,0.28,0.33,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.21,0.22,0.37,088.8%