NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	100		Excitement	5.4 [784]		MVP	Devin Booker (PHX): +34.6%
Phoenix Suns	121		Comeback	1.1 [762]		LVP	Luka Doncic (DAL): -19.8%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwight Powell	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.03	0.01	8	73%	0.13	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Maxi Kleber	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.02	-0.00	3	133%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.01	0.03	7	75%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jalen Brunson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.02	3	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.01	-0.03	10	58%	0.08	2	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
DeAndre Jordan	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.03	9	58%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Ryan Broekhoff	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.J. Barea	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	8	47%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.02
Ray Spalding	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Smith Jr.	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	19	34%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luka Doncic	-0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.18	-0.06	-0.04	16	29%	-0.11	4	-0.09	2	0%	-0.03

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Booker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.18,0.26,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.35	0.35	0.25	0.16	0.06	19	80%	0.41	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.02
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.18	-0.01	0.00	12	81%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Deandre Ayton	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.15	0.03	0.04	11	75%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
TJ Warren	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.02	-0.02	12	61%	0.12	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Josh Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	0.02	0.06	11	75%	0.08	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Elie Okobo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Daniels	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikal Bridges	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Canaan	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	10	40%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	3.3	27.4	14.5	28.3	2.5	30.3	134.5
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +49.5%

PHX +4.7%

PHX +2.1%

DAL -7.5%

PHX +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	PHX	NBA	DAL	PHX	NBA
this game	14.7	15.6	14.3	105.3	127.4	109.3
season	14.7	14.4		108.5	104.8
opponent	14.0	14.1		114.0	109.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.4	14.0	14.8	14.6	14.7
PHX	12.3	16.0	15.2	19.7	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Spalding	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-19	17	13.0	14.8	-1.78	14.0	15.6	-1.60
Jalen Brunson	35	34	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.04	-3	-18	15	14.7	14.8	-0.10	17.4	14.5	2.92
Devin Harris	14	15	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.01	-2	-19	17	14.0	14.9	-0.88	12.1	16.2	-4.16
J.J. Barea	41	39	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.16	2	-23	25	14.7	14.8	-0.16	16.5	14.9	1.60
Ryan Broekhoff	8	8	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.11	-8	-13	5	15.9	14.6	1.23	13.9	15.7	-1.85
Dwight Powell	33	33	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.12	0	-21	21	14.2	15.0	-0.77	17.5	14.5	2.98
Maxi Kleber	31	33	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.09	-3	-18	15	14.7	14.8	-0.10	17.1	14.8	2.29
Dorian Finney-Smith	62	60	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.14	-16	-5	-11	14.8	14.6	0.26	14.8	16.9	-2.09
Luka Doncic	64	64	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.19	-18	-3	-15	14.6	15.0	-0.37	15.5	15.7	-0.26
DeAndre Jordan	62	62	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.24	-21	0	-21	15.0	14.2	0.77	14.5	17.5	-2.98
Dennis Smith Jr.	56	56	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.16	-19	-2	-17	15.0	14.4	0.53	14.8	16.6	-1.78
Wesley Matthews	67	69	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.01	-15	-6	-9	14.8	14.6	0.15	15.7	15.1	0.62

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trevor Ariza	72	72	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.21	25	-4	29	15.5	15.9	-0.40	15.2	13.2	2.02
Devin Booker	68	67	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.21	22	-1	23	15.4	16.1	-0.71	14.5	15.4	-0.86
Ryan Anderson	47	45	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.22	22	-1	23	16.0	15.1	0.94	14.8	14.7	0.18
Deandre Ayton	72	71	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.15	17	4	13	16.6	12.2	4.42	14.5	15.3	-0.78
Isaiah Canaan	63	66	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.14	7	14	-7	15.5	15.8	-0.32	15.5	12.9	2.61
Josh Jackson	56	57	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.06	10	11	-1	15.9	15.1	0.88	14.1	15.8	-1.69
Tyson Chandler	23	24	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.03	4	17	-13	12.2	16.6	-4.42	15.3	14.5	0.78
TJ Warren	48	49	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.09	-1	22	-23	15.1	16.0	-0.94	14.7	14.8	-0.15
Troy Daniels	8	8	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.05	-2	23	-25	18.9	15.3	3.61	14.7	14.7	0.00
Elie Okobo	18	16	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.04	1	20	-19	14.5	15.8	-1.32	12.7	15.2	-2.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.58,0.7,0.75,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.84,0.92,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.84,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.84,0.88,0.74,0.71,0.86,0.85,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 84, DEN 94	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.59,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.83,0.96,0.95,0.95,1,1	94.5%
VAN 96, SEA 112	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.92,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.96,0.83,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.93,1,1,1	94.4%
DAL 87, SAS 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.87,0.93,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.81,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.3%