NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	115		Excitement	7.4 [381]		MVP	Jeff Green (CLE): +41.7%
Cleveland Cavaliers	119		Comeback	383.6 [4]		LVP	John Wall (WAS): -19.1%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Markieff Morris	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.27,0.27	0.08	0.19	0.01	12	60%	0.27	0	0.00	1	100%	0.02
Bradley Beal	0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.03	-0.00	15	61%	0.14	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Mike Scott	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.05	-0.01	9	67%	0.13	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0.03	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	9	56%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tomas Satoransky	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	4	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Otto Porter Jr.	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.03	0.06	-0.06	0.03	13	64%	0.08	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Kelly Oubre Jr.	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	9	27%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Ian Mahinmi	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.2,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.19	0.01	-0.21	-0.00	20	61%	0.09	6	-0.28	6	100%	0.04

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Green	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.42	0.42	0.19	0.26	0.03	10	91%	0.44	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.10
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.09	0.17	0.02	7	81%	0.26	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Rodney Hood	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.11	0.03	6	58%	0.13	0	0.00	7	71%	0.04
Cedi Osman	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.05	0.02	3	100%	0.13	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	-0.02	0.02	10	73%	0.10	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Tristan Thompson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JR Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	4	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Larry Nance Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	12	42%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.12	-0.12	0.06	-0.15	0.03	20	66%	0.03	6	-0.16	10	70%	-0.10

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.3	3.2	27.7	16.3	24.3	2.8	36.2	139.8
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +15.2%

CLE +20.0%

CLE +3.1%

CLE +12.3%

WAS -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CLE	NBA	WAS	CLE	NBA
this game	14.5	13.9	14.7	112.7	117.8	107.5
season	14.8	14.8		108.2	111.2
opponent	14.7	14.7		110.6	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.2	14.0	12.5	17.0	14.5
CLE	11.0	16.6	17.5	11.1	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tomas Satoransky	33	31	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.06	3	-7	10	14.5	14.5	0.02	15.2	13.3	1.82
Kelly Oubre Jr.	50	49	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.26	-5	1	-6	14.6	14.4	0.21	14.1	13.7	0.31
Ian Mahinmi	23	22	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.07	6	-10	16	14.0	14.6	-0.61	16.5	13.2	3.38
Marcin Gortat	54	52	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.17	7	-11	18	14.0	15.0	-0.96	14.3	13.5	0.84
Jodie Meeks	6	7	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.06	-6	2	-8	14.0	14.5	-0.50	13.7	13.9	-0.20
Mike Scott	43	44	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.17	-8	4	-12	15.8	13.5	2.24	12.6	14.9	-2.28
Markieff Morris	64	64	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.45	0	-4	4	14.2	15.0	-0.84	13.9	13.9	0.01
Bradley Beal	89	89	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.52	0	-4	4	14.9	11.5	3.36	13.9	13.7	0.17
John Wall	84	83	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.30	-12	8	-20	14.0	16.7	-2.67	13.3	16.4	-3.10
Otto Porter Jr.	64	64	-0.75	0.25	-1.01	-0.61	-5	1	-6	14.4	14.5	-0.09	13.5	14.6	-1.05

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Hood	56	59	0.98	-0.48	1.45	0.36	21	-17	38	12.7	15.4	-2.74	15.2	13.4	1.78
Jeff Green	66	67	0.86	-0.36	1.23	0.48	13	-9	22	13.3	15.1	-1.81	15.1	13.3	1.85
LeBron James	84	85	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.31	13	-9	22	13.5	16.0	-2.52	14.0	16.6	-2.54
Cedi Osman	35	36	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.50	-4	8	-12	13.5	14.1	-0.64	13.0	15.3	-2.23
JR Smith	52	51	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.65	-11	15	-26	14.5	13.2	1.31	13.8	15.1	-1.25
Kyle Korver	45	46	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.20	11	-7	18	13.4	14.3	-0.82	15.5	13.6	1.84
Kevin Love	63	64	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.12	8	-4	12	13.7	14.2	-0.45	15.3	13.1	2.13
Tristan Thompson	19	19	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.09	-9	13	-22	17.1	13.2	3.95	16.8	13.9	2.85
Jordan Clarkson	46	46	-0.39	0.89	-1.28	-0.13	-9	13	-22	15.0	13.0	2.02	13.3	15.4	-2.12
Larry Nance Jr.	39	37	-0.42	0.92	-1.34	-0.04	-13	17	-30	15.1	13.1	1.96	13.0	15.3	-2.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.73,0.63,0.65,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.51,0.62,0.6,0.38,0.27,0.33,0.15,0.19,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.05,0.01,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.23,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 120, DEN 121	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.8,0.73,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.66,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.48,0.31,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.22,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.27,1	90.5%
NOH 85, LAL 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.73,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.26,0.13,0.18,0.13,0.12,0.08,0.15,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.06,0.15,1	89.9%
MIA 93, POR 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.72,0.71,0.73,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.26,0.11,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.16,0.08,1	89.8%