NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	110		Excitement	8.6 [194]		MVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (SAS): +52.8%
LA Clippers	113		Comeback	13.5 [96]		LVP	Danny Green (SAS): -27.4%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.53	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.36,0.41,0.41,0.53,0.53	0.25	0.28	0.01	21	69%	0.53	0	0.00	9	100%	0.07
Patty Mills	0.34	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.34	0.08	0.24	-0.02	13	57%	0.34	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Bryn Forbes	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.03	0.00	8	75%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	10	54%	0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Tony Parker	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.02	0.03	-0.04	7	36%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	64%	0.05	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Dejounte Murray	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	6	43%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Pau Gasol	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	4	60%	0.02	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Manu Ginobili	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15	-0.12	-0.04	-0.00	6	25%	-0.02	3	-0.12	4	100%	0.04
Danny Green	-0.27	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.14,-0.27,-0.27	-0.12	-0.17	-0.02	8	28%	-0.11	3	-0.16	2	50%	-0.01

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.09,0.34	0.34	0.01	0.33	-0.00	20	49%	0.38	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.05
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,0.33	0.33	0.00	0.31	-0.03	15	50%	0.36	2	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.16	0.16	0.13	0.05	0.02	19	66%	0.26	3	-0.10	9	89%	0.03
Boban Marjanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.04	-0.00	0	80%	0.10	0	0.00	10	80%	0.03
Montrezl Harrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.03	-0.01	10	67%	0.08	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.07
Sindarius Thornwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	6	53%	0.05	3	-0.04	7	57%	-0.04
Wesley Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
C.J. Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Wallace	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.04	9	22%	-0.07	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.7	28.3	16.4	31.5	3.4	49.2	157.6
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS -0.7%

LAC +12.7%

LAC +27.2%

LAC +12.0%

SAS -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	LAC	NBA	SAS	LAC	NBA
this game	15.2	13.3	14.7	108.9	111.9	107.5
season	15.5	14.2		106.7	109.2
opponent	14.6	14.5		109.0	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	15.2	15.6	15.2	14.9	15.2
LAC	13.0	12.1	14.8	13.3	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryn Forbes	38	36	0.49	-0.99	1.47	0.02	16	-19	35	13.2	16.5	-3.27	13.7	13.0	0.71
Tony Parker	33	34	0.19	-0.69	0.87	0.19	0	-3	3	14.4	15.6	-1.22	12.3	13.8	-1.51
Rudy Gay	39	39	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.23	-7	4	-11	15.1	15.4	-0.28	12.3	13.9	-1.52
Pau Gasol	25	24	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.01	-3	0	-3	14.8	15.4	-0.54	12.0	13.7	-1.72
Dejounte Murray	51	50	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.13	1	-4	5	16.5	14.0	2.43	14.1	12.4	1.73
Danny Green	63	64	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.60	7	-10	17	15.6	14.7	0.90	13.6	12.8	0.81
LaMarcus Aldridge	76	77	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.42	0	-3	3	15.4	14.8	0.54	13.7	12.0	1.72
Kyle Anderson	61	60	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.61	2	-5	7	15.4	15.0	0.37	13.9	12.3	1.64
Manu Ginobili	56	56	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.32	-12	9	-21	14.2	16.5	-2.32	12.7	14.0	-1.28
Patty Mills	63	65	-0.99	0.49	-1.47	-0.43	-19	16	-35	16.5	13.2	3.27	13.0	13.7	-0.71

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lou Williams	80	80	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.18	15	-12	27	13.3	13.1	0.22	14.3	18.7	-4.32
Austin Rivers	79	78	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.48	4	-1	5	14.0	10.5	3.54	15.5	14.3	1.22
DeAndre Jordan	60	57	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.48	3	0	3	13.4	13.1	0.29	16.5	13.6	2.98
Montrezl Harrell	56	58	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.39	5	-2	7	12.8	13.9	-1.12	14.6	16.1	-1.43
Tobias Harris	72	73	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.46	1	2	-1	13.3	13.2	0.08	15.2	15.3	-0.10
Sindarius Thornwell	37	37	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.00	2	1	1	12.8	13.5	-0.76	16.4	14.6	1.87
Boban Marjanovic	25	25	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.05	3	0	3	13.6	13.2	0.39	14.8	15.4	-0.54
Wesley Johnson	4	3	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.03	-3	6	-9	9.7	13.4	-3.66	6.0	15.5	-9.53
Tyrone Wallace	67	69	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.01	-4	7	-11	13.0	13.8	-0.79	14.9	15.9	-0.96
C.J. Williams	25	25	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.09	-11	14	-25	13.2	13.3	-0.14	16.4	14.9	1.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.31,0.37,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.26,0.27,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.14,0.11,0.16,0.23,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.44,0.45,0.38,0.28,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.18,0.2,0.27,0.41,0.35,0.22,0.14,0.07,0.33,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 107, ORL 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.27,0.33,0.37,0.28,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.31,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.26,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.19,0.14,0.27,0.3,0.2,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.41,1	89.7%
ATL 109, OKC 111	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.33,0.29,0.16,0.25,0.28,0.26,0.22,0.15,0.19,0.3,0.25,0.2,0.27,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.38,0.22,0.43,0.42,1	89.7%
DAL 99, LAC 100	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.33,0.28,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.21,0.18,0.19,0.27,0.24,0.31,0.31,0.39,0.42,0.31,0.23,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.38,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.37,0.24,0.42,1	89.5%