NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	110		Excitement	6.3 [597]		MVP	Ricky Rubio (UTA): +22.5%
Utah Jazz	117		Comeback	3.2 [895]		LVP	Julius Randle (LAL): -19.5%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0.16	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.21	0.00	0.06	14	78%	0.19	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.03
Josh Hart	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.06	0.01	4	92%	0.16	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Channing Frye	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.01	-0.02	5	90%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0.00	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.02	0.00	10	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Alex Caruso	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ivica Zubac	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Ennis	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	0.00	10	50%	0.04	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Kuzma	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12	-0.01	-0.10	0.01	18	54%	0.01	4	-0.13	12	58%	-0.03
Julius Randle	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.12	-0.04	0.04	9	43%	-0.08	5	-0.11	10	60%	-0.04

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.22,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.22	0.02	0.02	16	79%	0.30	2	-0.07	7	100%	0.03
Derrick Favors	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.03	-0.01	11	62%	0.14	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	-0.00	-0.01	21	57%	0.12	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.01	8	65%	0.08	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	9	55%	0.07	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Dante Exum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	9	32%	-0.02	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.02	-0.03	10	48%	0.06	5	-0.09	5	40%	-0.04
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	4	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	28.7	14.0	30.7	1.8	32.4	134.2
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +18.9%

UTA +6.4%

UTA +19.7%

UTA +7.5%

LAL -2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	UTA	NBA	LAL	UTA	NBA
this game	13.1	15.7	14.7	112.2	114.7	107.5
season	13.7	15.1		105.7	106.6
opponent	14.6	14.8		103.3	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	12.8	14.5	12.5	12.5	13.1
UTA	17.0	14.8	14.6	16.3	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ivica Zubac	23	25	0.22	-0.72	0.95	-0.13	12	-19	31	13.1	13.0	0.09	14.4	16.1	-1.70
Channing Frye	36	38	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.18	10	-17	27	12.6	13.3	-0.67	14.7	16.3	-1.64
Tyler Ennis	45	46	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.25	10	-17	27	13.5	12.7	0.75	16.2	15.2	0.97
Josh Hart	71	75	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.36	5	-12	17	13.0	13.3	-0.38	15.6	16.0	-0.38
Alex Caruso	33	34	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.00	-9	2	-11	12.4	13.4	-1.05	15.5	15.8	-0.32
Brook Lopez	54	56	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.03	-18	11	-29	13.4	12.7	0.69	15.9	15.5	0.38
Kyle Kuzma	74	75	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.20	-13	6	-19	13.2	12.6	0.58	15.8	15.3	0.58
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	82	86	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.17	-16	9	-25	13.2	12.5	0.67	15.7	15.4	0.30
Julius Randle	72	75	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	-0.21	-16	9	-25	12.9	13.5	-0.54	16.2	14.3	1.84

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donovan Mitchell	76	74	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.20	17	-10	27	15.8	15.2	0.61	12.7	14.1	-1.35
Ricky Rubio	71	67	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.22	16	-9	25	16.2	14.5	1.77	12.9	13.5	-0.62
Rudy Gobert	77	74	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.19	17	-10	27	16.1	14.4	1.70	12.9	13.5	-0.64
Joe Ingles	73	68	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.27	6	1	5	15.7	15.7	-0.00	13.0	13.1	-0.06
Jae Crowder	60	61	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.24	0	7	-7	15.5	15.9	-0.37	13.2	12.9	0.27
Derrick Favors	65	61	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.10	1	6	-5	15.0	16.9	-1.93	13.1	12.9	0.23
Royce O'Neale	36	35	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.08	-6	13	-19	16.3	15.3	0.96	13.0	13.1	-0.10
Jonas Jerebko	21	19	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.10	-7	14	-21	15.1	15.8	-0.68	14.5	12.7	1.82
Dante Exum	31	31	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	0.08	-9	16	-25	14.5	16.2	-1.77	13.5	12.9	0.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.41,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.55,0.66,0.7,0.81,0.85,0.82,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.97,0.96,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 102, LAC 113	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.37,0.41,0.44,0.54,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.72,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.78,0.79,0.85,0.8,0.79,0.81,0.74,0.79,0.94,0.91,0.97,0.94,0.93,0.95,1,1,1,1	94.1%
DEN 83, DET 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.88,0.93,0.89,0.92,0.87,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.88,0.83,0.85,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.96,1,1	93.9%
LAC 86, POR 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.37,0.42,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.84,0.9,0.85,0.9,0.83,0.75,0.9,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.93,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.2%