inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 125 Excitement7.2 [425] MVPJamal Murray (DEN): +53.6%
Denver Nuggets 128 Comeback624.0 [2] LVPPaul Millsap (DEN): -12.2%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tyler Zeller0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.110.030.01871%0.1300.005100%0.03
Jabari Parker0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.130.24-0.070.042373%0.211-0.082100%0.01
Eric Bledsoe0.080,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.080.15-0.030.032263%0.202-0.125100%0.02
John Henson0.040,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.00-0.01657%0.0400.002100%0.01
Brandon Jennings-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Sterling Brown-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Jason Terry-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.050.00-0.0230%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo-0.040,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.020.001356%0.054-0.09650%-0.04
Tony Snell-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.02-0.040.03530%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Khris Middleton-0.110,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.12-0.06-0.061835%-0.042-0.08786%0.03

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jamal Murray0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.540.540.140.450.061567%0.562-0.0210100%0.28
Nikola Jokic0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.140.140.16-0.010.012466%0.234-0.095100%0.02
Torrey Craig0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.030.070.01750%0.092-0.0500%0.00
Trey Lyles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.01-0.02545%0.0200.001070%0.00
Malik Beasley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.020.020.000.010.00050%0.0200.00450%-0.02
Juancho Hernangomez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.020.01560%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Will Barton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.010.02844%-0.0200.00978%-0.00
Mason Plumlee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.0000%0.002-0.0400%0.00
Devin Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.00636%-0.012-0.052100%0.01
Paul Millsap0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12-0.120.02-0.080.062057%0.054-0.17667%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game23.11.834.214.728.52.539.42.623.0169.8
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.63.217.5134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +1.2%
DEN +47.1%
DEN +9.4%
MIL -7.3%
MIL -0.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILDENNBAMILDENNBA
this game14.015.214.7114.7117.4107.5
season14.314.7108.5111.2
opponent14.715.4109.9108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
MIL12.816.110.816.413.714.0
DEN17.813.217.613.712.015.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Giannis Antetokounmpo64660.26-0.761.010.028-111913.914.1-0.1816.213.72.46
Tyler Zeller46440.12-0.620.740.15-1-2114.013.90.0614.815.5-0.62
Brandon Jennings87-0.16-0.340.180.10-96-1519.413.55.8411.115.5-4.35
Jason Terry3739-0.16-0.340.18-0.408-111913.914.0-0.1114.215.8-1.53
Sterling Brown1315-0.16-0.340.17-0.02-52-715.013.81.1816.315.01.30
Eric Bledsoe8887-0.18-0.320.15-0.4710-132313.316.7-3.3515.314.70.66
John Henson5454-0.26-0.24-0.01-0.11-52-714.013.90.0416.014.41.56
Khris Middleton8685-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.493-6913.216.7-3.4615.314.80.48
Jabari Parker8279-0.690.19-0.88-0.43-96-1514.711.92.8114.317.5-3.16
Tony Snell6769-0.870.37-1.24-0.43-1512-2714.113.70.4115.315.00.29

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jamal Murray72721.09-0.591.680.3326-234914.317.1-2.7915.710.65.10
Will Barton82840.63-0.130.760.427-41115.314.90.4813.316.2-2.90
Torrey Craig76730.58-0.080.670.5221115.115.4-0.2214.313.21.11
Paul Millsap81820.50-0.000.510.5003-315.314.90.4813.415.7-2.36
Nikola Jokic88880.500.000.490.268-51315.314.80.5614.511.92.61
Malik Beasley870.390.110.280.57-69-156.015.9-9.947.614.4-6.83
Trey Lyles43430.150.35-0.19-0.1711-81915.714.90.8014.913.41.52
Mason Plumlee54-0.130.63-0.760.11-811-1921.014.96.0713.214.0-0.74
Juancho Hernangomez4344-0.240.74-0.98-0.07-69-1515.215.2-0.0813.514.3-0.74
Devin Harris4848-0.531.03-1.57-0.07-1619-3516.414.32.0412.615.0-2.39


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.33,0.26,0.3,0.26,0.22,0.26,0.36,0.4,0.51,0.56,0.66,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.35,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0.5,0.8,0.85,0.9,0.99,1
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 102, UTA 1040.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.39,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.19,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.19,0.21,0.45,0.27,0.54,0.75,0.72,0.85,0.95,185.8%
CHA 98, CLE 1000.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.51,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.39,0.44,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.45,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.24,0.23,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.07,0.15,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.11,0.21,0.09,0.28,0.54,0.45,0.55,0.78,0.83,185.2%
PHX 109, CLE 1140.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.42,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.25,0.24,0.16,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.02,0.04,0.54,0.48,0.72,0.94,1,184.5%