inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 126 Excitement11.9 [17] MVPPaul Millsap (DEN): +49.2%
Oklahoma City Thunder 125 Comeback25.7 [45] LVPRussell Westbrook (OKC): -36.0%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Paul Millsap0.490,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.490.260.260.031877%0.561-0.071173%0.09
Will Barton0.120,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,0.06,0.11,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.120.030.100.011555%0.282-0.163100%0.02
Nikola Jokic0.080,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08-0.020.04-0.062252%0.184-0.1100%0.00
Devin Harris0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.080.09-0.01-0.00686%0.101-0.022100%0.01
Mason Plumlee0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.070.010.00569%0.0800.003100%0.01
Trey Lyles0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.00560%0.0300.0000%0.00
Torrey Craig0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.01-0.00-0.02550%0.021-0.0100%0.00
Wilson Chandler-0.070,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.08-0.01-0.01617%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Jamal Murray-0.170,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.04,-0.17-0.03-0.13-0.001258%0.145-0.302100%0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony0,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.22,0.12,0.120.120.090.060.032155%0.1200.0000%0.00
Patrick Patterson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.060.070.00764%0.1200.0000%0.00
Alex Abrines0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.060.050.043100%0.0800.0000%0.00
Jerami Grant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.060.060.06-0.01-0.01967%0.132-0.07667%-0.02
Corey Brewer0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.04,0.040.040.05-0.000.00762%0.0400.00250%-0.07
Steven Adams0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.040.03-0.02835%0.0100.00425%-0.09
Terrance Ferguson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.000.00275%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Raymond Felton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.02-0.01736%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Paul George0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13-0.13-0.04-0.11-0.021242%-0.072-0.06757%-0.10
Russell Westbrook0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,-0.04,-0.36-0.360.01-0.37-0.013246%-0.152-0.21862%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game22.42.529.615.424.61.635.62.521.3155.3
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.63.217.5134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +72.7%
DEN +31.8%
OKC -18.6%
OKC -30.9%
OKC -4.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENOKCNBADENOKCNBA
this game14.614.714.7115.6115.7107.5
season14.714.2111.2109.4
opponent15.314.7106.1109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
DEN17.212.915.315.410.514.6
OKC11.815.418.313.615.514.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Will Barton86830.59-0.090.680.474-3714.315.8-1.5214.714.50.27
Paul Millsap84810.54-0.040.570.5110114.714.40.3414.016.7-2.69
Nikola Jokic83810.450.050.400.1311-102114.913.81.1215.512.43.09
Jamal Murray92930.430.070.370.266-51114.813.51.3014.615.4-0.83
Devin Harris68680.310.190.120.40-34-714.514.8-0.2915.014.10.89
Wilson Chandler47480.130.37-0.250.1301-115.713.81.8213.315.8-2.43
Mason Plumlee30310.090.41-0.330.38-1011-2113.415.1-1.6914.114.9-0.83
Torrey Craig34320.040.46-0.420.16-45-913.715.1-1.3816.214.12.13
Trey Lyles2123-0.070.57-0.64-0.0701-115.014.50.4715.114.60.57

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Alex Abrines31320.62-1.121.740.0021-224314.714.7-0.0114.614.60.00
Patrick Patterson31300.37-0.871.250.312-3513.215.3-2.1415.714.21.48
Jerami Grant47490.08-0.580.65-0.044-5914.814.60.2615.214.11.13
Raymond Felton3433-0.01-0.490.49-0.041-2316.214.02.2215.714.11.58
Terrance Ferguson1211-0.19-0.310.120.05-87-1514.214.7-0.4916.614.42.24
Russell Westbrook9092-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.472-3514.416.0-1.5814.515.5-1.07
Corey Brewer7173-0.510.01-0.51-0.30-76-1314.415.3-0.9714.115.7-1.64
Carmelo Anthony6768-0.650.15-0.80-0.650-1115.014.20.7914.614.7-0.13
Steven Adams7171-0.800.30-1.10-0.56-87-1515.014.10.8413.816.2-2.40
Paul George8686-1.010.51-1.52-0.66-1211-2314.714.60.0614.614.8-0.20


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.42,0.35,0.44,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.13,0.25,0.24,0.42,0.36,0.54,0.67,0.69,0.79,0.94,0.73,0.5,0.56,0.46,0.56,0.27,0
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 108, NOH 1060.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.36,0.32,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.19,0.17,0.24,0.13,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.3,0.33,0.42,0.31,0.46,0.67,0.61,0.7,0.77,0.42,0.46,0.69,0.45,0.33,0.17,089.5%
TOR 128, PHI 1230.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.46,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.17,0.09,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.16,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.31,0.29,0.39,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.5,0.31,0.37,0.43,0.28,088.1%
OKC 111, POR 1070.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.54,0.5,0.56,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.36,0.27,0.21,0.22,0.3,0.39,0.52,0.39,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.16,0.1,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.32,0.36,0.59,0.62,0.61,0.84,0.85,0.58,0.54,0.45,0.37,0.14,0.28,088.0%