NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	105		Excitement	6.4 [583]		MVP	Lou Williams (LAC): +24.8%
LA Clippers	113		Comeback	3.9 [731]		LVP	Bismack Biyombo (ORL): -11.5%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D.J. Augustin	0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.06	0.04	-0.03	10	66%	0.23	4	-0.10	9	89%	0.03
Shelvin Mack	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.03	0.02	11	62%	0.09	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Mario Hezonja	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.01	4	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Purvis	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	0.00	3	75%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Jonathan Isaac	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	10	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathon Simmons	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.07	-0.03	0.06	13	67%	0.12	5	-0.15	10	80%	0.01
Khem Birch	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	20	42%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Wes Iwundu	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Bismack Biyombo	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	5	40%	-0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.05	0.15	-0.04	22	53%	0.30	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Milos Teodosic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	10	62%	0.14	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Sindarius Thornwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Montrezl Harrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	5	81%	0.15	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.01
Jawun Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.00	3	83%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	15	60%	0.15	4	-0.12	5	80%	0.01
Austin Rivers	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	11	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.00	0.02	5	56%	0.00	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.09	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Boban Marjanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.0	28.9	15.4	28.3	2.0	31.0	132.6
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +56.4%

LAC +0.6%

LAC +6.9%

ORL -5.9%

ORL -8.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	LAC	NBA	ORL	LAC	NBA
this game	15.8	13.5	14.7	107.1	114.1	107.5
season	14.6	14.2		104.2	109.2
opponent	14.6	14.5		109.0	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	16.2	14.0	14.6	19.1	15.8
LAC	13.3	13.1	12.0	16.1	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonathan Isaac	52	50	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.02	3	-11	14	14.4	17.2	-2.80	14.3	12.7	1.67
Nikola Vucevic	63	65	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.04	3	-11	14	14.1	18.8	-4.69	13.8	13.0	0.75
Jonathon Simmons	73	74	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.11	5	-13	18	14.8	18.6	-3.82	13.8	12.7	1.04
Mario Hezonja	53	54	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.14	5	-13	18	14.2	17.6	-3.41	13.4	13.6	-0.15
D.J. Augustin	59	60	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.12	1	-9	10	14.8	17.2	-2.45	14.4	12.1	2.38
Khem Birch	35	36	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.11	-10	2	-12	17.7	14.7	2.96	12.8	13.9	-1.04
Shelvin Mack	46	46	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.21	-8	0	-8	17.3	14.4	2.96	13.3	13.7	-0.44
Rodney Purvis	25	25	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.16	-13	5	-18	18.6	14.8	3.82	12.7	13.8	-1.04
Bismack Biyombo	35	34	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.22	-11	3	-14	18.8	14.1	4.69	13.0	13.8	-0.75
Wes Iwundu	49	51	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.20	-15	7	-22	17.2	14.3	2.86	12.3	14.7	-2.40

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Milos Teodosic	62	61	0.84	-0.34	1.17	0.28	19	-11	30	13.4	13.7	-0.29	17.0	13.7	3.25
Montrezl Harrell	28	29	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.17	8	0	8	12.2	14.0	-1.84	18.4	14.6	3.78
Boban Marjanovic	19	20	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.16	6	2	4	13.5	13.5	0.04	18.5	15.1	3.45
Lou Williams	69	69	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.22	3	5	-2	14.0	12.4	1.62	15.8	15.7	0.04
Wesley Johnson	39	37	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.06	7	1	6	12.6	14.1	-1.54	15.7	15.8	-0.08
Austin Rivers	69	68	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.23	-3	11	-14	14.2	11.8	2.43	15.1	17.3	-2.27
Tobias Harris	79	77	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.13	0	8	-8	13.6	13.1	0.43	14.9	18.7	-3.77
DeAndre Jordan	72	70	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	6	-4	13.9	12.4	1.50	14.8	18.2	-3.49
Jawun Evans	29	29	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	8	-8	12.0	14.1	-2.07	14.6	16.2	-1.61
Sindarius Thornwell	29	30	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.03	-2	10	-12	13.5	13.5	0.03	16.0	15.7	0.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.63,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.34,0.37,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.32,0.29,0.38,0.41,0.33,0.52,0.42,0.51,0.57,0.67,0.77,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.97,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 98, PHI 117	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.56,0.46,0.54,0.67,0.76,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.7%
SAS 87, SAC 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.46,0.5,0.4,0.37,0.3,0.48,0.42,0.29,0.29,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.66,0.67,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.3%
DEN 86, ORL 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.35,0.48,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.62,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.91,0.87,0.92,0.99,1,1,1	93.0%