inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Cleveland Cavaliers 113 Excitement7.6 [356] MVPLeBron James (CLE): +36.2%
Denver Nuggets 108 Comeback2.1 [401] LVPWilson Chandler (DEN): -18.7%


Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LeBron James0.360,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.27,0.360.200.170.012567%0.473-0.10850%-0.09
Larry Nance Jr.0.140,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.050.08-0.011062%0.161-0.011100%0.01
Jeff Green0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.030.08-0.01762%0.131-0.02250%-0.01
George Hill0.100,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.030.06-0.00658%0.1000.0000%0.00
Ante Zizic0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.00371%0.0400.001100%0.00
Kyle Korver0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.01-0.00654%0.031-0.021100%0.00
Rodney Hood-0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.03-0.020.011354%0.031-0.042100%0.01
JR Smith-0.010,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.010.01560%0.031-0.0300%0.00
Jordan Clarkson-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.04-0.01844%-0.011-0.05250%0.00
Cedi Osman-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.03-0.050.00433%-0.041-0.041100%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nikola Jokic0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.33,0.350.350.240.130.021492%0.485-0.131191%0.03
Mason Plumlee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.060.060.01692%0.183-0.0810%-0.01
Devin Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.050.000.01570%0.0400.0000%0.00
Paul Millsap0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0-0.000.01-0.03-0.01867%0.043-0.052100%0.01
Richard Jefferson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Malik Beasley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.000.00437%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Jamal Murray0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.04-0.001052%0.053-0.111100%0.01
Gary Harris0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.02-0.05-0.001850%-0.003-0.0700%0.00
Trey Lyles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.06-0.04-0.00520%-0.061-0.0400%0.00
Will Barton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.08-0.04-0.01727%-0.061-0.0410%-0.01
Wilson Chandler0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.19-0.11-0.08-0.00817%-0.151-0.03250%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.60.831.214.525.11.731.3133.3
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.6134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CLE +46.9%
DEN -3.3%
DEN -21.0%
CLE +25.3%
CLE +2.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCLEDENNBACLEDENNBA
this game14.814.914.7116.5111.3107.5
season14.814.7111.2111.2
opponent14.714.7109.9110.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CLE12.813.315.717.914.8
DEN16.712.916.314.014.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
LeBron James78770.66-0.160.830.438-31114.914.50.4015.114.10.94
Larry Nance Jr.75740.54-0.040.570.3950515.113.81.3215.114.30.78
Kyle Korver42430.450.050.400.3050515.214.50.7414.015.6-1.69
George Hill61630.440.060.380.189-41314.914.70.1615.014.70.25
Jeff Green38360.310.190.120.088-31113.915.4-1.5214.115.4-1.34
JR Smith51510.270.230.040.038-31113.915.8-1.9215.614.11.46
Rodney Hood59600.190.31-0.120.28-38-1115.214.11.0915.414.11.32
Ante Zizic1617-0.020.52-0.540.04-27-915.014.80.2515.814.71.12
Jordan Clarkson4039-0.080.58-0.650.16-813-2115.114.60.4814.615.1-0.43
Cedi Osman2525-0.270.77-1.03-0.12-510-1514.514.9-0.4213.515.4-1.86

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Trey Lyles2828-0.02-0.480.450.04-2-3114.715.0-0.3113.915.2-1.27
Devin Harris3131-0.06-0.440.39-0.03-1-4315.014.80.1514.415.0-0.65
Gary Harris7775-0.07-0.430.35-0.163-81114.815.4-0.7015.213.41.79
Malik Beasley1515-0.09-0.410.320.03-4-1-314.914.90.0412.315.3-2.99
Richard Jefferson32-0.09-0.410.31-0.01-3-2-114.014.9-0.935.015.0-10.00
Jamal Murray5656-0.18-0.320.13-0.10-3-2-115.314.31.0514.215.5-1.29
Mason Plumlee2929-0.20-0.300.09-0.03-61-715.714.61.1314.614.9-0.30
Nikola Jokic6868-0.29-0.21-0.09-0.321-6714.615.7-1.1314.914.60.30
Will Barton5858-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.390-5514.116.1-1.9315.114.30.86
Paul Millsap5152-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.30-50-515.214.60.5515.414.11.36
Wilson Chandler6971-0.640.14-0.78-0.49-50-515.214.11.1615.413.12.29


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.25,0.31,0.26,0.36,0.3,0.18,0.24,0.31,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.27,0.42,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.63,0.64,0.29,0.17,0.19,0.28,0.25,0.05,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 106, MIL 980.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.13,0.17,0.15,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.18,0.16,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.3,0.2,0.24,0.34,0.3,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.42,0.23,0.25,0.11,0.02,0.01,091.8%
CHH 90, IND 870.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.27,0.31,0.27,0.23,0.24,0.3,0.32,0.27,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.21,0.23,0.14,0.16,0.11,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.16,0.17,0.28,0.24,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.25,0.28,0.09,0.04,090.7%
GSW 104, POR 1020.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.37,0.28,0.17,0.21,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.21,0.23,0.21,0.15,0.1,0.13,0.26,0.34,0.29,0.34,0.37,0.47,0.41,0.28,0.31,0.16,0.1,0.16,090.7%