NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	126		Excitement	4.1 [1030]		MVP	Jrue Holiday (NOP): +20.2%
Dallas Mavericks	109		Comeback	1.1 [969]		LVP	J.J. Barea (DAL): -5.2%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jrue Holiday	0.20	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.19	0.03	0.01	19	71%	0.21	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Nikola Mirotic	0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.17	-0.00	0.03	15	75%	0.16	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Davis	0.04	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.01	0.03	19	53%	0.06	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.01
Walter Lemon Jr.	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.00	-0.05	4	60%	0.04	2	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rajon Rondo	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.09	0.02	0.08	7	78%	0.04	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02
Cheick Diallo	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.02	9	62%	0.04	2	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01
Ian Clark	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	9	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Liggins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miller	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	7	47%	-0.01	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.14	0.00	0.04	13	77%	0.14	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Salah Mejri	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Collinsworth	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.02	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	62%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Nerlens Noel	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maxi Kleber	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yogi Ferrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.02	5	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.05	8	62%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Scotty Hopson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0.03	16	46%	-0.03	1	-0.01	7	71%	0.00
Dennis Smith Jr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	22	46%	0.02	4	-0.06	6	83%	0.00
J.J. Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	0.03	0.04	14	46%	0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	1.0	27.1	14.5	26.5	2.3	26.5	124.5
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +42.4%

DAL -1.4%

DAL -2.2%

NOP +10.3%

NOP +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	DAL	NBA	NOP	DAL	NBA
this game	12.5	14.4	14.7	114.5	103.8	107.5
season	13.6	15.4		108.0	105.3
opponent	14.3	14.6		108.1	107.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	11.8	10.9	13.2	14.3	12.5
DAL	15.6	12.7	15.7	13.9	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jrue Holiday	71	67	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.22	27	-10	37	12.5	12.4	0.19	15.7	11.9	3.81
Anthony Davis	81	77	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.08	21	-4	25	12.3	12.9	-0.56	15.1	12.2	2.87
E'Twaun Moore	66	65	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.10	18	-1	19	12.3	12.7	-0.33	15.4	12.6	2.75
Darius Miller	57	52	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.07	5	12	-7	12.1	12.9	-0.85	13.3	15.4	-2.07
Cheick Diallo	57	51	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.09	4	13	-9	12.6	12.3	0.31	13.5	15.1	-1.60
Nikola Mirotic	69	69	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.12	11	6	5	12.4	12.5	-0.09	14.9	13.4	1.47
Ian Clark	50	47	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.09	1	16	-15	12.1	12.8	-0.70	12.5	15.8	-3.33
Walter Lemon Jr.	22	21	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.12	0	17	-17	12.1	12.6	-0.43	12.2	14.9	-2.64
Rajon Rondo	71	70	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.07	1	16	-15	13.0	11.5	1.54	14.4	14.2	0.27
DeAndre Liggins	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	20	-23	16.0	12.3	3.72	8.8	14.7	-5.85

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Salah Mejri	11	14	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.05	-5	-12	7	16.6	14.1	2.55	13.6	12.3	1.33
Kyle Collinsworth	37	39	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.15	1	-18	19	13.1	15.0	-1.92	13.6	11.9	1.68
Dwight Powell	49	50	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.16	0	-17	17	15.5	13.4	2.13	12.6	12.4	0.25
Yogi Ferrell	47	51	-0.17	-0.34	0.17	0.10	-9	-8	-1	15.3	13.6	1.63	12.7	12.3	0.49
Scotty Hopson	23	22	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.02	-8	-9	1	13.5	14.6	-1.06	10.1	13.1	-2.93
Dirk Nowitzki	56	58	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.14	-3	-14	11	14.9	13.7	1.23	12.7	12.2	0.44
Harrison Barnes	67	69	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.08	-11	-6	-5	14.7	13.8	0.92	12.5	12.4	0.07
Nerlens Noel	43	44	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.14	-13	-4	-9	13.0	15.3	-2.29	11.9	12.9	-1.03
Dennis Smith Jr.	70	73	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.10	-13	-4	-9	14.2	14.6	-0.33	12.4	12.6	-0.25
J.J. Barea	49	51	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.09	-13	-4	-9	14.2	14.5	-0.35	12.7	12.3	0.49
Doug McDermott	73	79	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.14	-11	-6	-5	13.8	15.5	-1.70	12.2	13.2	-0.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.21,0.19,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.16,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.19,0.25,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 99, TOR 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.11,0.2,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0,0,0	95.5%
PHI 103, MIA 83	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.32,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.11,0.15,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
SAS 117, MIL 110	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.28,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.04,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0	95.1%