inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 98 Excitement2.2 [1275] MVPCody Zeller (CHA): +6.5%
Charlotte Hornets 114 Comeback1.3 [950] LVPJameer Nelson (DET): -6.5%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Andre Drummond0.010,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.000.021352%0.031-0.0210%-0.01
Henry Ellenson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.050.000.05564%0.0000.001100%0.00
Eric Moreland0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Luke Kennard0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dwight Buycks-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.080.000.08786%-0.0010.0000%0.00
Stanley Johnson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.060.000.07490%-0.001-0.002100%0.00
James Ennis III-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.030.000.05564%-0.001-0.024100%0.01
Ish Smith-0.030,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.00-0.000.021154%-0.012-0.0220%-0.02
Langston Galloway-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.060.00-0.0340%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Reggie Bullock-0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.000.011444%-0.011-0.02475%0.00
Anthony Tolliver-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.070.00-0.0320%-0.022-0.0200%0.00
Blake Griffin-0.060,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.000.001856%0.006-0.0600%0.00
Jameer Nelson-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.070.00-0.0120%-0.032-0.0400%0.00

Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Cody Zeller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.070.010.02965%0.0600.00250%0.00
Frank Kaminsky0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.00-0.02959%0.081-0.02450%0.00
Dwight Howard0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.00-0.011077%0.084-0.03250%-0.00
Treveon Graham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.00-0.02350%0.0300.00250%-0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.050.00-0.06640%0.032-0.0130%-0.02
Michael Carter-Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.00-0.02662%0.033-0.02475%0.01
Willy Hernangomez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Malik Monk0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.080.00-0.0850%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dwayne Bacon00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Marvin Williams0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.030.00-0.02757%0.033-0.0300%0.00
Nicolas Batum0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.10-0.000.101071%0.011-0.011100%0.00
Kemba Walker0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.020.000.041163%0.014-0.035100%0.00
Jeremy Lamb0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.050.000.081055%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.42.230.514.425.62.628.3128.0
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.6134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHA +39.4%
CHA +1.4%
CHA +5.0%
CHA +3.9%
CHA +0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETCHANBADETCHANBA
this game13.714.514.798.0109.6107.5
season14.914.6106.4108.7
opponent14.514.7108.5106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET15.913.513.711.513.7
CHA12.912.313.420.314.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Henry Ellenson12130.00-0.500.50-0.3813-294210.314.2-3.8419.813.86.01
Luke Kennard11120.00-0.500.50-0.4114-30449.614.2-4.5821.413.67.81
Dwight Buycks2426-0.01-0.490.48-0.227-233011.814.3-2.5219.113.06.09
Eric Moreland2124-0.17-0.330.16-0.294-202412.714.0-1.2617.013.83.18
Stanley Johnson6162-0.18-0.320.140.14-11-5-613.813.60.1114.414.7-0.34
Ish Smith6363-0.18-0.320.14-0.01-6-10413.813.50.3113.715.8-2.18
Reggie Bullock6566-0.19-0.310.120.05-8-8013.913.40.4313.516.3-2.85
Blake Griffin6666-0.23-0.270.040.04-9-7-214.013.10.8514.215.1-0.94
Anthony Tolliver3032-0.28-0.22-0.050.46-259-3414.813.21.5614.514.5-0.06
Jameer Nelson1315-0.31-0.19-0.120.19-171-1816.713.33.4310.215.2-5.04
Langston Galloway2226-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.16-5-11613.713.70.0215.314.31.01
James Ennis III4142-0.32-0.18-0.150.32-226-2814.513.21.3213.914.9-1.01
Andre Drummond7173-0.33-0.17-0.160.11-15-1-1413.813.40.4713.117.8-4.74

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jeremy Lamb46430.410.090.31-0.5934-185213.515.3-1.8914.912.82.10
Michael Carter-Williams42380.370.130.23-0.3424-83214.214.7-0.5013.813.60.17
Cody Zeller47440.360.140.22-0.2922-62814.014.9-0.9713.613.8-0.17
Frank Kaminsky50460.340.160.19-0.1818-22015.913.22.7213.513.9-0.35
Treveon Graham35340.250.250.010.08610-416.513.52.9413.413.9-0.50
Nicolas Batum64620.220.28-0.06-0.0497213.216.5-3.2714.212.91.27
Kemba Walker61610.160.34-0.180.04412-813.915.4-1.4713.913.50.37
Marvin Williams54540.160.34-0.190.22-218-2013.215.9-2.7213.913.50.35
Dwight Howard50500.140.36-0.22-0.01511-613.815.2-1.4114.612.81.82
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist46460.090.41-0.310.21-420-2413.815.1-1.3413.613.8-0.27
Willy Hernangomez760.000.50-0.500.32-1127-3823.313.99.416.814.1-7.32
Malik Monk12110.000.50-0.500.41-1430-4421.413.67.819.614.2-4.58
Dwayne Bacon650.000.50-0.500.32-1127-3824.813.910.967.414.0-6.64


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.67,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 95, POR 1310.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.8%
PHI 86, DET 1080.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.6%
POR 79, NYK 1210.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.5%