inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Charlotte Hornets 122 Excitement3.8 [1079] MVPMarvin Williams (CHA): +9.7%
Washington Wizards 105 Comeback1.0 [591] LVPMarkieff Morris (WAS): -9.3%


Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marvin Williams0.100,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.010.01971%0.111-0.02333%-0.02
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist0.090,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.110.020.03878%0.0900.002100%0.02
Frank Kaminsky0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.170.000.081572%0.0900.00250%-0.01
Jeremy Lamb0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.040.01-0.02959%0.071-0.004100%0.01
Dwight Howard0.060,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.01-0.00958%0.0600.001100%0.01
Michael Carter-Williams0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.00-0.03753%0.061-0.023100%0.01
Kemba Walker0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.120.010.111765%0.051-0.023100%-0.03
Treveon Graham0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.01260%0.031-0.021100%0.00
Willy Hernangomez0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Malik Monk0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dwayne Bacon0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.0530%0.0000.0000%0.00
Cody Zeller-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Nicolas Batum-0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.02-0.01-0.02847%0.012-0.021100%0.00

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bradley Beal0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.120.030.072165%0.184-0.09989%-0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.00-0.011150%0.0400.0000%0.00
Otto Porter Jr.0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.100.000.061267%0.0400.0000%0.00
Tim Frazier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.060.000.052100%0.0100.002100%0.01
Ian Mahinmi0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.000.011100%0.031-0.022100%0.01
Marcin Gortat0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.000.00560%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Chris McCullough0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jodie Meeks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.020.02362%0.022-0.042100%0.01
Tomas Satoransky0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.00-0.000.041050%-0.021-0.022100%0.01
Mike Scott0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.050.00-0.0120%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Markieff Morris0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.04-0.020.041254%-0.014-0.0900%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.61.832.815.725.61.628.2128.1
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.6134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHA +21.6%
CHA +4.7%
CHA +2.0%
CHA +20.0%
CHA +1.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHAWASNBACHAWASNBA
this game15.914.814.7129.8111.7107.5
season14.614.8108.7108.2
opponent14.714.5107.9108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHA15.514.116.018.615.9
WAS14.014.214.017.414.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Frank Kaminsky45460.430.070.36-0.2724-73116.715.11.6116.113.52.67
Jeremy Lamb41430.430.070.36-0.1018-11916.715.21.5216.013.72.27
Kemba Walker66650.280.220.05-0.141431115.417.0-1.6114.515.4-0.99
Nicolas Batum55540.280.220.05-0.141431115.216.8-1.6614.415.2-0.84
Dwight Howard50490.250.250.000.05710-315.116.8-1.7414.115.5-1.43
Cody Zeller44450.250.25-0.00-0.05107316.815.11.7415.514.11.43
Michael Carter-Williams33350.250.25-0.01-0.0298117.015.21.7815.414.41.01
Treveon Graham27270.200.30-0.100.14215-1317.015.41.6315.314.50.80
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist52500.070.43-0.36-0.05413-915.716.1-0.4513.915.7-1.76
Marvin Williams45440.070.43-0.360.13-219-2115.316.4-1.0813.515.9-2.47
Willy Hernangomez440.000.50-0.500.15-522-2712.716.0-3.2613.514.8-1.32
Malik Monk440.000.50-0.500.15-522-2712.716.0-3.2613.514.8-1.32
Dwayne Bacon440.000.50-0.500.15-522-2712.716.0-3.2613.514.8-1.32

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris McCullough670.00-0.500.50-0.062-192114.214.8-0.6414.916.0-1.10
Jodie Meeks1516-0.18-0.320.140.03-7-10316.114.51.5514.016.3-2.26
Tim Frazier2222-0.20-0.300.100.01-7-10315.214.60.5414.916.2-1.26
Ian Mahinmi1919-0.20-0.300.100.12-11-6-515.814.51.2814.916.1-1.23
Marcin Gortat5555-0.23-0.270.04-0.05-6-11514.015.9-1.8915.216.8-1.66
Kelly Oubre Jr.5858-0.24-0.260.03-0.06-6-11514.914.50.4816.315.21.01
Otto Porter Jr.6566-0.25-0.25-0.01-0.05-7-10314.515.3-0.7416.314.91.40
Mike Scott3029-0.26-0.24-0.030.12-13-4-916.613.92.7414.416.5-2.11
Tomas Satoransky6868-0.29-0.21-0.07-0.02-9-8-114.415.8-1.4916.115.20.94
Bradley Beal7978-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.03-10-7-314.516.1-1.5516.314.02.26
Markieff Morris5352-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.01-11-6-514.714.9-0.2417.014.52.57


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.36,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.23,0.14,0.13,0.3,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 120, BKN 970.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.2,0.16,0.19,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.3,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.0%
MEM 97, MIA 820.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.19,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.0%
BKN 103, NYK 800.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.28,0.26,0.29,0.27,0.19,0.15,0.2,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.19,0.28,0.18,0.22,0.14,0.13,0.08,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.7%