NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	116		Excitement	9.4 [103]		MVP	Ben Simmons (PHI): +71.0%
Chicago Bulls	115		Comeback	87.5 [17]		LVP	Denzel Valentine (CHI): -12.9%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Simmons	0.71	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.71	0.18	0.51	-0.02	18	68%	0.75	2	-0.04	11	55%	0.06
Joel Embiid	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.23,0.11,0.11	0.18	-0.05	0.02	17	71%	0.23	1	-0.12	8	62%	-0.03
T.J. McConnell	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.05	-0.02	7	64%	0.11	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.04	-0.01	5	42%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
JJ Redick	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02	0.00	-0.00	-0.02	13	47%	0.10	1	-0.08	4	75%	0.01
Trevor Booker	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.04
Dario Saric	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.07	-0.02	11	50%	0.02	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.05
Robert Covington	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07	0.01	-0.07	0.00	9	44%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.37,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.25	0.25	0.27	-0.02	-0.00	26	69%	0.27	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
David Nwaba	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.14	0.09	-0.00	14	75%	0.24	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.16,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.06	-0.01	16	59%	0.19	2	-0.06	7	57%	-0.04
Paul Zipser	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Noah Vonleh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.04	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Cristiano Felicio	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.01	3	71%	0.03	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Cameron Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	9	39%	-0.01	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Kris Dunn	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.12	-0.04	-0.08	11	21%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.02	8	17%	-0.09	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Denzel Valentine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.13	-0.13	-0.00	-0.14	-0.02	7	57%	0.04	2	-0.17	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	19.2	1.8	30.1	14.4	26.4	2.5	34.6	128.9
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +5.0%

PHI +47.5%

CHI -19.9%

PHI +11.1%

PHI +6.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	CHI	NBA	PHI	CHI	NBA
this game	14.1	14.1	14.7	116.0	111.7	107.5
season	13.9	14.2		108.1	103.2
opponent	15.0	14.7		110.2	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.2	12.5	15.7	13.3	14.1
CHI	13.4	12.8	15.0	15.5	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Simmons	73	76	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.33	15	-14	29	12.4	18.7	-6.33	14.8	12.1	2.70
Robert Covington	65	65	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.33	13	-12	25	12.7	16.7	-3.96	14.7	13.1	1.55
T.J. McConnell	47	49	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.94	-10	11	-21	16.4	12.0	4.39	13.2	14.9	-1.76
Joel Embiid	71	73	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.47	6	-5	11	14.3	13.4	0.89	13.9	14.5	-0.60
JJ Redick	64	67	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.55	1	0	1	14.4	13.5	0.95	13.9	14.4	-0.52
Amir Johnson	29	30	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.01	-5	6	-11	13.4	14.3	-0.89	14.5	13.9	0.60
Trevor Booker	29	31	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.07	-8	9	-17	18.2	12.4	5.81	12.7	14.7	-1.95
Dario Saric	70	71	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	-0.41	7	-6	13	12.6	17.6	-5.03	14.8	12.5	2.33
Marco Belinelli	52	53	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	0.07	-14	15	-29	15.4	12.6	2.80	13.3	15.0	-1.66

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Noah Vonleh	36	33	0.41	-0.91	1.33	0.00	14	-15	29	12.9	14.8	-1.87	16.4	13.0	3.41
Cameron Payne	41	41	0.39	-0.89	1.29	-0.10	17	-18	35	12.5	15.1	-2.61	16.8	12.2	4.58
David Nwaba	70	68	0.29	-0.79	1.07	0.26	1	-2	3	14.2	13.8	0.42	14.6	12.9	1.77
Paul Zipser	16	15	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.02	3	-4	7	12.3	14.4	-2.12	15.4	13.8	1.55
Bobby Portis	72	71	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.60	13	-14	27	13.9	14.6	-0.68	14.3	13.6	0.65
Cristiano Felicio	25	24	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.22	-19	18	-37	15.4	13.7	1.76	12.6	14.5	-1.91
Denzel Valentine	53	53	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.74	12	-13	25	13.7	14.6	-0.92	14.8	13.2	1.60
Lauri Markkanen	71	70	-0.87	0.37	-1.24	-0.55	-11	10	-21	14.5	13.3	1.20	13.2	16.1	-2.93
Kris Dunn	62	59	-0.89	0.39	-1.29	-0.37	-18	17	-35	15.1	12.5	2.61	12.2	16.8	-4.58
Zach LaVine	69	66	-0.95	0.45	-1.40	-0.45	-17	16	-33	14.7	12.9	1.83	12.7	16.7	-4.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.26,0.25,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.35,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.3,0.25,0.42,0.52,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.41,0.65,0.53,0.81,0.79,0.86,0.98,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 88, IND 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.41,0.48,0.56,0.44,0.52,0.5,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.6,0.75,0.72,0.77,0.72,0	90.2%
HOU 104, OKC 103	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.53,0.71,0.78,0.92,0.97,1,0.91,0	90.2%
DAL 104, NOH 100	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.31,0.31,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.63,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.56,0.52,0.37,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.47,0.33,0.42,0.26,0.46,0.46,0.69,0.79,0.65,0.72,0	88.8%