inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 122 Excitement3.3 [1156] MVPKyle Lowry (TOR): +15.8%
Chicago Bulls 98 Comeback1.9 [871] LVPZach LaVine (CHI): -9.0%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kyle Lowry0.160,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.180.020.041077%0.1600.006100%0.01
Pascal Siakam0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.150.010.04985%0.1100.00250%-0.01
Serge Ibaka0.090,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.15-0.010.061283%0.121-0.0300%0.00
CJ Miles0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.040.01-0.01280%0.0700.001100%0.00
Jakob Poeltl0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.030.024100%0.093-0.052100%0.01
Jonas Valanciunas0.040,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.060.000.02978%0.092-0.0500%0.00
Delon Wright0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.000.01750%0.0100.0000%0.00
Alfonzo McKinnie0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Lucas Nogueira0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
OG Anunoby-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.01-0.01826%-0.0300.00333%-0.03
DeMar DeRozan-0.030,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.060.01-0.031130%-0.0300.001100%0.00
Fred VanVleet-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.010.000.041150%-0.031-0.0000%0.00
Norman Powell-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.06-0.00-0.03617%-0.0400.0000%0.00

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Lauri Markkanen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.08-0.000.031061%0.0500.003100%0.02
Justin Holiday0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.03-0.00-0.02667%0.071-0.0200%0.00
David Nwaba0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.000.01457%0.0200.00667%0.01
Bobby Portis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.060.010.051456%0.0200.00450%-0.02
Robin Lopez0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.03-0.010.01862%0.041-0.0300%0.00
Jerian Grant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.00-0.00-0.01743%0.0000.0000%0.00
Noah Vonleh0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0010.001100%0.00
Cristiano Felicio0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00267%0.0010.002100%0.00
Ryan Arcidiacono0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Denzel Valentine0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.02-0.00-0.01737%-0.0100.002100%0.00
Paul Zipser0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.040.00-0.03520%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Kris Dunn0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.010.02940%-0.0500.002100%0.01
Zach LaVine0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.11-0.01-0.031732%-0.042-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.01.828.114.527.32.422.6118.6
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.6134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +45.1%
CHI -1.0%
TOR +8.2%
CHI -3.2%
TOR +0.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORCHINBATORCHINBA
this game14.614.014.7122.097.0107.5
season14.614.2112.7103.2
opponent15.014.8110.2105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR16.013.114.615.214.6
CHI14.712.614.214.814.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Serge Ibaka54560.320.180.13-0.061311214.115.2-1.0714.014.0-0.01
Jonas Valanciunas49490.310.190.11-0.051212014.714.60.0614.014.1-0.04
Kyle Lowry56580.290.210.09-0.031113-214.315.0-0.7213.814.3-0.50
Delon Wright42420.270.230.04-0.20168814.814.50.2414.014.1-0.07
DeMar DeRozan58590.230.27-0.04-0.01816-814.514.8-0.2414.114.00.07
CJ Miles40420.190.31-0.11-0.191311214.614.6-0.0314.213.90.34
Jakob Poeltl43450.190.31-0.11-0.221410414.714.50.2214.613.60.97
Norman Powell22220.190.31-0.130.01618-1213.015.1-2.1413.014.3-1.33
Pascal Siakam46450.180.32-0.13-0.141113-215.214.11.0714.014.00.01
Fred VanVleet35350.180.32-0.13-0.171212015.414.21.2014.313.90.33
OG Anunoby36350.140.36-0.21-0.06717-1015.414.21.2414.813.61.16
Alfonzo McKinnie11100.000.50-0.500.03-125-2614.514.6-0.0813.314.1-0.82
Lucas Nogueira870.000.50-0.500.06-226-2813.714.7-0.9510.714.3-3.57

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Noah Vonleh12130.00-0.500.50-0.062-262813.114.2-1.0913.414.8-1.42
Cristiano Felicio12130.00-0.500.50-0.062-262813.114.2-1.0913.414.8-1.42
Ryan Arcidiacono10110.00-0.500.50-0.031-252613.314.1-0.8214.514.6-0.08
Denzel Valentine4343-0.01-0.490.470.08-3-211813.814.2-0.3515.414.11.32
Jerian Grant4948-0.09-0.410.330.03-4-201613.614.4-0.7914.914.40.53
Justin Holiday5755-0.18-0.320.140.05-8-16814.213.80.3514.814.40.40
Bobby Portis4644-0.19-0.310.130.11-10-14414.313.80.5715.214.11.12
Paul Zipser3229-0.20-0.300.100.21-14-10-414.014.0-0.0115.314.40.92
Robin Lopez4747-0.20-0.300.090.12-11-13214.114.00.0514.814.50.36
David Nwaba4647-0.36-0.14-0.23-0.16-7-171012.515.3-2.7913.515.6-2.13
Lauri Markkanen5354-0.41-0.09-0.320.09-17-7-1014.213.90.3114.215.1-0.95
Kris Dunn4241-0.41-0.09-0.330.20-21-3-1814.713.61.1114.314.8-0.51
Zach LaVine5655-0.44-0.06-0.390.44-306-3615.312.52.8014.814.40.44


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.51,0.53,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.2,0.25,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 127, DAL 940.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.54,0.5,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.63,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.14,0.19,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.5%
ATL 116, CHA 960.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.3,0.18,0.18,0.09,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,095.7%
BOS 107, PHI 910.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.58,0.55,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.23,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.16,0.09,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.6%