NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	111		Excitement	7.0 [466]		MVP	Jason Terry (MIL): +21.2%
Orlando Magic	104		Comeback	2.5 [680]		LVP	Sterling Brown (MIL): -12.9%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.09	0.12	-0.00	7	79%	0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khris Middleton	0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0,0,0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18	0.04	0.15	0.01	13	68%	0.31	5	-0.14	5	80%	0.01
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0.14	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.02,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.14	0.08	0.08	0.02	24	58%	0.23	3	-0.10	7	57%	-0.03
Eric Bledsoe	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.08	0.04	10	75%	0.20	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.00
Thon Maker	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.02	8	72%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tyler Zeller	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.00	3	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Kilpatrick	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.03	9	45%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tony Snell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sterling Brown	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	5	0%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	-0.00	10	86%	0.20	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.02
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	0.00	7	52%	0.06	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.04
Jonathon Simmons	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.06	0.04	-0.04	14	32%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wes Iwundu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khem Birch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	5	43%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.04	15	62%	0.07	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	5	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Mario Hezonja	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.05	-0.04	0.04	16	59%	0.04	2	-0.06	7	86%	0.02
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	4	37%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	1.7	29.1	14.7	27.2	1.7	28.0	125.7
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +61.2%

ORL -4.9%

ORL -2.4%

ORL -3.3%

ORL -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	ORL	NBA	MIL	ORL	NBA
this game	14.4	15.7	14.7	116.8	108.3	107.5
season	14.3	14.6		108.5	104.2
opponent	14.5	15.4		109.1	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	17.5	12.9	12.8	14.8	14.4
ORL	15.2	13.3	19.0	15.9	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Giannis Antetokounmpo	76	77	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.17	11	-4	15	13.8	17.1	-3.28	16.1	14.3	1.75
Khris Middleton	71	70	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.26	4	3	1	14.4	14.4	0.02	16.1	14.6	1.57
Thon Maker	50	49	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.04	9	-2	11	14.7	14.2	0.48	17.0	14.4	2.62
Jason Terry	28	29	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.14	4	3	1	14.0	14.6	-0.61	15.8	15.7	0.06
Eric Bledsoe	67	67	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.16	3	4	-1	14.6	14.0	0.61	15.7	15.8	-0.06
Sterling Brown	37	38	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.15	3	4	-1	15.2	13.9	1.33	15.3	16.0	-0.71
Tony Snell	54	55	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.11	4	3	1	14.1	14.9	-0.83	15.9	15.4	0.49
Tyler Zeller	45	47	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.26	-2	9	-11	14.2	14.7	-0.48	14.4	17.0	-2.62
Sean Kilpatrick	47	48	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.20	-1	8	-9	15.3	13.6	1.63	14.6	16.8	-2.15

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Arron Afflalo	42	41	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.13	6	-13	19	14.3	16.8	-2.51	14.9	14.1	0.83
Wes Iwundu	45	45	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.14	4	-11	15	14.6	16.7	-2.11	15.4	13.6	1.76
Marreese Speights	23	23	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.11	0	-7	7	14.6	16.1	-1.52	14.9	14.3	0.64
Bismack Biyombo	40	38	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.01	-6	-1	-5	17.1	14.7	2.32	13.9	14.8	-0.89
D.J. Augustin	48	47	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.08	-7	0	-7	16.5	15.0	1.52	13.6	15.2	-1.65
Evan Fournier	57	57	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.15	-6	-1	-5	16.1	15.2	0.82	14.8	13.8	1.03
Khem Birch	49	50	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.18	-5	-2	-3	15.7	15.8	-0.13	14.0	14.9	-0.83
Shelvin Mack	55	56	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.31	-1	-6	5	14.7	17.0	-2.28	14.9	13.7	1.17
Jonathon Simmons	50	50	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.07	-13	6	-19	16.7	14.6	2.13	13.7	15.2	-1.50
Mario Hezonja	71	68	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.33	-7	0	-7	16.2	14.4	1.73	14.3	14.7	-0.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.64,0.63,0.56,0.62,0.53,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.38,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.12,0.14,0.24,0.18,0.19,0.07,0.09,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 97, ATL 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.69,0.72,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.19,0.3,0.25,0.18,0.1,0.03,0.04,0.02,0	94.2%
SAS 75, CLE 72	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.59,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.44,0.3,0.3,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.28,0.19,0.15,0.16,0.04,0	93.6%
POR 103, OKC 93	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.38,0.3,0.26,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.38,0.29,0.19,0.11,0.12,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	93.2%