NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	106		Excitement	7.1 [438]		MVP	Allen Crabbe (BKN): +34.8%
Detroit Pistons	115		Comeback	1.6 [1134]		LVP	D'Angelo Russell (BKN): -16.7%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Crabbe	0.35	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35	0.22	0.16	0.03	22	74%	0.39	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Jarrett Allen	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.02	-0.03	11	52%	0.10	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Isaiah Whitehead	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jahlil Okafor	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Timofey Mozgov	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
James Webb III	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	-0.02	2	75%	0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Joe Harris	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	13	67%	0.16	5	-0.18	1	0%	-0.02
Spencer Dinwiddie	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.05	-0.05	0.01	9	57%	0.01	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
DeMarre Carroll	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	14	45%	-0.01	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Nik Stauskas	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	6	0%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D'Angelo Russell	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.13	-0.03	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	6	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.04	-0.03	9	72%	0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.03	0.11	-0.00	19	56%	0.21	2	-0.07	7	86%	0.03
Stanley Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.03	-0.00	15	63%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.04	-0.03	5	64%	0.12	1	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Reggie Bullock	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.06	0.01	7	64%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kennard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	0.00	6	67%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	17	39%	-0.05	1	-0.02	10	70%	0.01
Ish Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.04	0.04	14	47%	-0.04	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.3	23.9	14.0	25.3	2.3	29.3	123.4
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +16.8%

BKN -6.6%

DET +0.4%

DET +42.3%

BKN -2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	DET	NBA	BKN	DET	NBA
this game	13.9	14.1	14.7	102.9	111.7	107.5
season	14.7	14.9		105.8	106.4
opponent	14.7	14.1		106.3	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	13.8	15.3	12.6	14.2	13.9
DET	13.3	16.7	12.7	14.1	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarrett Allen	69	69	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.27	9	-18	27	13.4	14.8	-1.40	14.3	13.6	0.77
Timofey Mozgov	15	14	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.02	0	-9	9	15.4	13.6	1.77	14.6	14.0	0.57
D'Angelo Russell	37	38	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.10	0	-9	9	13.6	14.0	-0.37	13.8	14.2	-0.46
Nik Stauskas	25	25	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.06	-2	-7	5	14.5	13.7	0.79	14.1	14.1	0.06
DeMarre Carroll	71	71	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.08	-2	-7	5	13.4	14.9	-1.44	14.3	13.5	0.84
Isaiah Whitehead	16	16	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.08	-10	1	-11	16.5	13.4	3.10	12.4	14.4	-1.94
Joe Harris	78	78	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.26	1	-10	11	13.3	15.6	-2.21	14.1	14.0	0.16
Allen Crabbe	77	77	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.19	-2	-7	5	13.7	14.4	-0.72	14.2	13.6	0.67
James Webb III	32	32	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.16	-7	-2	-5	14.9	13.4	1.44	13.5	14.3	-0.84
Jahlil Okafor	19	20	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.04	-18	9	-27	14.4	13.8	0.59	12.8	14.4	-1.52
Spencer Dinwiddie	76	75	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.18	-14	5	-19	14.0	13.6	0.39	14.3	13.4	0.99

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stanley Johnson	82	82	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.29	8	1	7	14.2	13.4	0.82	14.0	13.4	0.63
Langston Galloway	38	38	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.12	11	-2	13	13.6	14.4	-0.83	15.6	12.9	2.73
Andre Drummond	77	79	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.08	9	0	9	13.2	16.7	-3.45	13.9	13.8	0.07
Anthony Tolliver	56	55	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.19	5	4	1	14.8	13.2	1.67	14.3	13.4	0.91
Blake Griffin	73	72	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.21	4	5	-1	14.4	13.3	1.14	13.5	14.7	-1.14
Luke Kennard	49	48	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.09	7	2	5	14.1	14.1	0.01	14.8	13.1	1.74
Reggie Bullock	75	76	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.09	3	6	-3	13.9	14.6	-0.68	13.2	15.9	-2.77
Ish Smith	65	65	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.12	-2	11	-13	14.4	13.6	0.83	12.9	15.6	-2.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.62,0.63,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.9,0.79,0.91,0.85,0.74,0.88,0.78,0.95,0.79,0.94,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 103, SAC 113	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.83,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.87,0.77,0.86,0.88,0.83,0.89,0.95,0.94,1,1	93.0%
PHI 83, MIA 90	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.41,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.72,0.75,0.71,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.61,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.66,0.67,0.78,0.74,0.7,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.94,0.96,1	92.8%
SEA 86, MIN 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.37,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.61,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.76,0.69,0.74,0.71,0.7,0.81,0.7,0.84,0.77,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.95,1	92.8%