NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	97		Excitement	9.3 [126]		MVP	Ricky Rubio (UTA): +32.9%
Toronto Raptors	93		Comeback	23.6 [35]		LVP	Kyle Lowry (TOR): -37.9%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ricky Rubio	0.33	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,0.33	0.00	0.36	0.03	11	58%	0.45	3	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Donovan Mitchell	0.17	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.17	0.09	0.08	-0.00	20	57%	0.19	1	-0.02	6	67%	0.01
Alec Burks	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.01	0.06	-0.02	4	50%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Joe Ingles	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	7	79%	0.19	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.00	13	58%	0.15	3	-0.09	5	80%	0.00
Derrick Favors	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	9	50%	0.07	1	-0.07	2	0%	-0.02
Royce O'Neale	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Joe Johnson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	8	25%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raul Neto	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	4	0%	-0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.05	-0.09	0.00	8	28%	-0.14	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.07,0.14,0.22,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.21	0.14	0.03	16	82%	0.39	1	-0.07	2	100%	0.05
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.05	0.00	8	62%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delon Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.04	-0.00	6	42%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
OG Anunoby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.00	3	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jakob Poeltl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	6	29%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Fred VanVleet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	6	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	10	45%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.34	-0.34	-0.12	-0.22	0.01	22	37%	-0.30	2	-0.05	7	71%	-0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.35,-0.38	-0.38	-0.25	-0.15	-0.03	14	17%	-0.25	5	-0.13	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.3	26.6	14.4	28.6	2.4	31.3	128.0
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +79.9%

UTA +1.7%

TOR -15.4%

TOR -13.6%

TOR -2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	TOR	NBA	UTA	TOR	NBA
this game	15.6	14.7	14.7	101.0	98.9	107.5
season	15.1	14.6		106.6	112.7
opponent	14.8	14.6		105.9	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.9	16.0	14.6	16.8	15.6
TOR	15.1	13.3	16.0	14.5	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donovan Mitchell	76	76	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.43	11	-7	18	14.5	19.5	-5.02	14.8	14.4	0.36
Rudy Gobert	65	61	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.58	2	2	0	14.6	17.6	-2.97	14.6	15.0	-0.46
Joe Johnson	39	38	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.57	1	3	-2	17.1	14.6	2.49	14.2	15.1	-0.88
Joe Ingles	65	65	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.31	8	-4	12	14.3	18.3	-4.01	14.8	14.7	0.11
Ricky Rubio	64	64	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.32	4	0	4	14.5	17.7	-3.27	14.4	15.5	-1.12
Royce O'Neale	33	30	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.13	-2	6	-8	17.2	14.7	2.45	14.2	15.0	-0.78
Alec Burks	33	31	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.04	0	4	-4	17.9	14.4	3.51	15.1	14.5	0.59
Jonas Jerebko	32	33	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	-0.25	4	0	4	15.1	15.8	-0.72	16.6	13.7	2.88
Derrick Favors	54	55	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.20	-1	5	-6	16.5	14.4	2.16	14.4	15.2	-0.81
Raul Neto	19	17	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	-0.03	-7	11	-18	19.4	14.6	4.80	15.1	14.7	0.40

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pascal Siakam	33	34	0.25	-0.75	0.99	0.10	5	-9	14	15.1	14.6	0.50	17.9	14.3	3.67
OG Anunoby	38	37	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.14	-1	-3	2	14.0	15.2	-1.28	14.4	16.3	-1.90
Fred VanVleet	34	35	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-4	4	15.4	14.3	1.11	17.1	14.7	2.47
CJ Miles	30	34	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.09	2	-6	8	14.6	14.8	-0.15	16.7	14.9	1.80
Jakob Poeltl	38	39	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.01	-6	2	-8	15.8	14.0	1.86	16.7	14.8	1.84
Jonas Valanciunas	56	56	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.32	4	-8	12	14.0	15.8	-1.86	15.1	16.2	-1.16
Delon Wright	36	37	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.37	-2	-2	0	14.4	14.9	-0.56	17.1	14.6	2.50
Kyle Lowry	71	71	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.36	-6	2	-8	14.9	14.3	0.51	14.7	18.1	-3.44
DeMar DeRozan	74	76	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.50	-7	3	-10	14.7	14.8	-0.15	14.6	19.3	-4.77
Serge Ibaka	60	61	-0.75	0.25	-0.99	-0.48	-9	5	-14	14.8	14.6	0.14	14.5	17.4	-2.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.65,0.8,0.75,0.73,0.65,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.43,0.52,0.47,0.41,0.53,0.73,0.69,0.79,0.91,0.92,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 110, OKC 108	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.48,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.32,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.41,0.53,0.61,0.86,0.71,0.78,0.42,0	89.7%
ORL 88, IND 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.41,0.48,0.56,0.44,0.52,0.5,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.6,0.75,0.72,0.77,0.72,0	88.7%
HOU 104, OKC 103	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.53,0.71,0.78,0.92,0.97,1,0.91,0	88.6%