NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	101		Excitement	9.0 [150]		MVP	Jrue Holiday (NOP): +26.6%
Charlotte Hornets	96		Comeback	1.4 [608]		LVP	Kemba Walker (CHA): -19.5%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jrue Holiday	0.27	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.15,0.27	0.05	0.20	-0.02	15	56%	0.30	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.02
Jameer Nelson	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.04	0.10	-0.00	7	57%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.01	0.09	-0.00	12	42%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Darius Miller	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.02	7	57%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	7	64%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Liggins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	8	56%	0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Ian Clark	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	5	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	10	59%	0.14	8	-0.21	7	57%	-0.01
Anthony Davis	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08	0.02	-0.10	0.01	16	51%	-0.05	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.05

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Frank Kaminsky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.03	-0.01	6	67%	0.18	2	-0.07	12	58%	-0.06
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.05	0.10	-0.01	8	35%	0.08	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.01	-0.01	16	56%	0.08	2	-0.03	7	57%	-0.03
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	3	87%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Johnny O'Bryant III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	14	47%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	11	36%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Carter-Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	3	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Treveon Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.15,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.09,0.09,-0.03,-0.2	-0.20	-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	21	45%	0.07	6	-0.26	2	50%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	1.8	26.1	14.7	23.2	2.4	34.5	130.8
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +21.9%

NOP +16.1%

CHA -6.9%

NOP +4.3%

NOP +14.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	CHA	NBA	NOP	CHA	NBA
this game	14.5	14.0	14.7	100.0	95.0	107.5
season	13.6	14.6		108.0	108.7
opponent	14.5	14.6		108.5	107.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	11.1	15.6	17.5	15.2	14.5
CHA	12.6	13.8	14.5	15.4	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jrue Holiday	78	76	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.21	12	-7	19	13.7	17.5	-3.80	12.9	17.2	-4.29
E'Twaun Moore	74	74	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.26	10	-5	15	13.9	16.4	-2.54	13.0	16.7	-3.78
Darius Miller	65	65	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.29	6	-1	7	14.8	14.1	0.76	14.1	13.7	0.39
Anthony Davis	81	78	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.32	4	1	3	14.5	14.8	-0.32	13.7	15.0	-1.28
DeMarcus Cousins	62	64	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.32	-1	6	-7	14.6	14.5	0.05	13.7	14.5	-0.86
Dante Cunningham	43	44	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.01	9	-4	13	14.7	14.5	0.19	14.5	13.5	1.02
Omer Asik	8	8	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.04	1	4	-3	16.4	14.4	1.99	14.0	14.0	0.03
Rajon Rondo	34	34	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.04	-1	6	-7	13.8	14.9	-1.09	13.4	14.3	-0.84
DeAndre Liggins	10	10	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.05	-3	8	-11	13.7	14.6	-0.94	16.7	13.7	3.03
Ian Clark	22	22	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.10	-5	10	-15	16.8	13.9	2.91	17.3	13.1	4.22
Jameer Nelson	28	30	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.13	-7	12	-19	17.0	13.6	3.35	16.7	12.8	3.93

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Treveon Graham	36	33	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-7	9	15.7	13.0	2.68	16.6	13.6	3.02
Frank Kaminsky	41	40	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.07	2	-7	9	16.0	12.6	3.38	15.3	14.0	1.33
Michael Carter-Williams	26	26	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.04	1	-6	7	16.6	13.1	3.51	16.3	13.9	2.37
Johnny O'Bryant III	6	5	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.04	-5	0	-5	13.0	14.0	-1.03	14.0	14.6	-0.57
Jeremy Lamb	48	47	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.19	1	-6	7	15.7	12.4	3.39	15.0	14.2	0.77
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	49	51	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.23	-2	-3	1	12.8	15.1	-2.32	14.1	15.0	-0.90
Marvin Williams	74	74	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.44	5	-10	15	14.0	13.8	0.21	14.6	14.3	0.29
Kemba Walker	75	75	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.31	-6	1	-7	13.1	16.6	-3.51	13.9	16.3	-2.37
Nicolas Batum	69	71	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.22	-11	6	-17	12.7	16.7	-4.07	13.6	16.7	-3.02
Dwight Howard	81	83	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.24	-12	7	-19	13.0	18.0	-5.02	14.1	16.5	-2.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.36,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.25,0.33,0.29,0.45,0.34,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 94, GSW 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.19,0.22,0.32,0.36,0.23,0.27,0	92.2%
MIN 91, UTA 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.3,0.32,0.33,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.26,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.4,0.33,0.39,0.29,0.57,0.08,0	92.1%
IND 91, NYK 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.21,0.38,0.43,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.47,0.53,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.45,0.28,0	92.0%