NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	116		Excitement	5.2 [802]		MVP	Gerald Green (HOU): +21.8%
Chicago Bulls	107		Comeback	1.6 [864]		LVP	Jerian Grant (CHI): -5.8%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Green	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.13	0.07	-0.02	15	67%	0.24	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Clint Capela	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.03	0.00	7	71%	0.10	2	-0.01	7	71%	-0.02
Eric Gordon	0.02	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.02	18	59%	0.10	4	-0.08	5	80%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0.00	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	-0.02	0.04	16	56%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Briante Weber	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.01	0.02	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tarik Black	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	17%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Paul	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.04	17	62%	0.14	6	-0.16	5	100%	0.02
Ryan Anderson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	6	43%	-0.04	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Denzel Valentine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.10	-0.01	0.04	12	79%	0.16	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
David Nwaba	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	6	59%	0.05	1	-0.03	5	80%	-0.01
Cristiano Felicio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Paul Zipser	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.07	-0.04	0.04	17	56%	0.04	1	-0.04	5	60%	-0.02
Kris Dunn	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	20	47%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.08	-0.01	0.08	10	76%	0.03	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.03	0.04	10	52%	-0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	20%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jerian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	1.6	27.4	14.4	24.3	1.8	26.2	122.8
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +31.0%

HOU +3.5%

HOU +13.2%

HOU +3.3%

CHI -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	CHI	NBA	HOU	CHI	NBA
this game	14.6	14.2	14.7	114.9	108.1	107.5
season	14.6	14.2		112.8	103.2
opponent	15.0	14.8		110.2	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	12.2	17.0	14.8	14.8	14.6
CHI	15.0	15.0	14.0	12.8	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Green	56	54	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.06	18	-9	27	14.6	14.6	0.07	13.9	14.5	-0.52
PJ Tucker	55	52	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.24	9	0	9	14.5	14.8	-0.31	13.4	15.0	-1.60
Eric Gordon	79	79	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.11	11	-2	13	14.0	16.8	-2.76	14.7	12.0	2.73
Trevor Ariza	86	85	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.25	5	4	1	14.7	14.2	0.49	14.2	13.9	0.29
Clint Capela	71	71	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.11	9	0	9	14.2	15.5	-1.31	14.5	13.2	1.30
Chris Paul	78	75	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.19	0	9	-9	14.5	15.0	-0.50	13.6	16.0	-2.45
Tarik Black	22	21	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.12	-1	10	-11	16.3	14.2	2.12	12.5	14.6	-2.16
Ryan Anderson	54	54	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.00	1	8	-7	14.6	14.6	-0.05	15.1	13.1	2.00
Briante Weber	4	4	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.10	-7	16	-23	26.7	14.1	12.64	16.7	14.1	2.68

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerian Grant	33	35	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.23	7	-16	23	13.7	14.4	-0.77	17.0	13.3	3.65
Paul Zipser	19	20	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.01	-3	-6	3	14.9	14.0	0.95	15.0	14.5	0.54
Cristiano Felicio	14	15	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.02	-4	-5	1	11.4	14.6	-3.21	16.7	14.3	2.41
David Nwaba	35	35	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.11	-4	-5	1	13.7	14.4	-0.68	15.4	14.2	1.16
Bobby Portis	67	69	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.39	5	-14	19	13.2	16.2	-2.96	15.9	11.9	3.92
Robin Lopez	32	32	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.15	-14	5	-19	16.2	13.2	2.96	11.9	15.9	-3.92
Denzel Valentine	75	75	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.21	-4	-5	1	14.3	13.7	0.68	14.7	14.5	0.21
Justin Holiday	84	86	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.21	-4	-5	1	14.0	15.3	-1.36	14.1	17.5	-3.35
Lauri Markkanen	70	72	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.16	-8	-1	-7	14.8	12.7	2.16	14.2	15.6	-1.32
Kris Dunn	66	66	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.00	-16	7	-23	14.4	13.7	0.77	13.3	17.0	-3.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.26,0.21,0.16,0.18,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.28,0.29,0.26,0.33,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.18,0.19,0.29,0.1,0.05,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 99, PHI 92	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.3,0.31,0.39,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.41,0.28,0.15,0.2,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0	94.1%
BOS 102, PHX 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.33,0.3,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.21,0.27,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.24,0.27,0.16,0.27,0.08,0.16,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	94.0%
MEM 103, NYK 82	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.26,0.15,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	92.9%