NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	99		Excitement	4.5 [924]		MVP	Ben Gordon (CHI): +8.6%
Philadelphia 76ers	92		Comeback	1.0 [675]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -14.1%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Gordon	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.01	0.02	14	66%	0.11	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Andres Nocioni	0.07	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07	0.02	0.04	0.00	19	50%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Tyson Chandler	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	4	69%	0.07	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02
Kirk Hinrich	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	11	54%	0.08	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Luke Schenscher	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Malik Allen	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	1	100%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.01	0.03	12	43%	-0.04	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.01
Luol Deng	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	16	44%	0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Michael Sweetney	-0.04	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.10	0.00	0.05	6	92%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	4	75%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.04	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.04	7	53%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shavlik Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	21	48%	-0.02	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.03
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.03	9	39%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.17,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.02	0.04	17	51%	0.03	7	-0.17	17	82%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	1.8	28.3	15.7	24.1	2.4	38.3	137.2
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +28.8%

CHI +0.6%

CHI +12.3%

CHI +5.1%

CHI +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	PHI	NBA	CHI	PHI	NBA
this game	15.6	14.4	15.6	102.1	96.8	104.4
season	14.4	15.2		102.6	104.1
opponent	15.3	16.1		106.0	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.4	17.2	16.0	14.1	15.6
PHI	13.9	14.9	16.8	12.5	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andres Nocioni	90	88	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.31	9	-2	11	15.7	14.3	1.37	14.9	9.0	5.86
Luol Deng	79	77	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.15	10	-3	13	15.9	13.9	1.98	14.7	13.3	1.35
Tyson Chandler	64	60	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.30	4	3	1	15.3	16.1	-0.76	12.9	17.0	-4.02
Chris Duhon	71	71	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.20	6	1	5	15.2	16.4	-1.18	14.2	15.2	-1.10
Ben Gordon	66	62	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.18	3	4	-1	15.4	16.0	-0.60	13.6	16.1	-2.50
Kirk Hinrich	62	60	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.40	-7	14	-21	15.2	16.2	-1.01	14.4	14.5	-0.04
Michael Sweetney	23	25	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.00	4	3	1	16.4	15.3	1.15	18.2	13.1	5.06
Jannero Pargo	8	9	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.08	5	2	3	16.7	15.4	1.30	16.2	14.2	1.98
Luke Schenscher	7	7	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	4	-1	14.7	15.6	-0.91	16.0	14.3	1.69
Malik Allen	15	16	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.03	-2	9	-11	16.4	15.4	1.00	13.5	14.6	-1.12

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Barnes	34	34	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.13	4	-11	15	15.1	14.1	0.98	15.9	15.4	0.55
John Salmons	12	10	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.03	-1	-6	5	15.7	14.3	1.41	16.7	15.4	1.27
Shavlik Randolph	9	9	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.00	-5	-2	-3	14.0	14.5	-0.48	17.0	15.4	1.59
Kevin Ollie	49	49	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.01	-6	-1	-5	15.6	13.2	2.44	15.8	15.4	0.40
Kyle Korver	56	60	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.39	7	-14	21	13.4	15.9	-2.57	15.2	16.1	-0.89
Andre Iguodala	67	69	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.29	2	-9	11	14.6	14.1	0.41	15.2	16.4	-1.13
Samuel Dalembert	52	53	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.08	-8	1	-9	14.2	14.8	-0.61	16.2	14.7	1.48
Chris Webber	85	88	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.32	-2	-5	3	14.6	12.7	1.94	15.4	17.0	-1.59
Willie Green	29	28	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.01	-14	7	-21	12.9	15.1	-2.21	14.1	16.1	-2.04
Allen Iverson	82	85	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.20	-12	5	-17	14.5	14.2	0.23	15.7	14.3	1.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.3,0.31,0.39,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.41,0.28,0.15,0.2,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 111, BKN 92	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.21,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.21,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%
HOU 116, CHI 107	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.26,0.21,0.16,0.18,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.28,0.29,0.26,0.33,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.18,0.19,0.29,0.1,0.05,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.1%
BOS 102, PHX 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.33,0.3,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.21,0.27,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.24,0.27,0.16,0.27,0.08,0.16,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	93.9%