NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	127		Excitement	7.3 [403]		MVP	Paul George (OKC): +30.7%
LA Clippers	117		Comeback	3.9 [360]		LVP	Lou Williams (LAC): -16.7%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0.31	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.25	0.07	0.02	16	91%	0.37	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Jerami Grant	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.06	0.16	-0.00	5	73%	0.22	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Carmelo Anthony	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.19	0.01	0.04	12	81%	0.16	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.04
Terrance Ferguson	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	12	46%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.05	0.06	11	55%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	3	33%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Huestis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	11	50%	0.04	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Russell Westbrook	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.12,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	24	54%	0.12	6	-0.16	6	83%	0.00

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.14	0.04	0.00	15	70%	0.25	2	-0.07	7	86%	0.03
Sam Dekker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.05	-0.01	6	67%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.02	0.01	8	81%	0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Montrezl Harrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	8	47%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Willie Reed	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.03	0.03	19	52%	0.00	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.01
Milos Teodosic	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
C.J. Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	9	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jawun Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	8	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sindarius Thornwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.19,-0.23,-0.18,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.02	-0.10	0.05	22	51%	-0.03	4	-0.14	7	86%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	3.3	29.3	16.0	30.1	4.8	30.0	142.8
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +76.0%

LAC -4.6%

LAC -13.6%

LAC -4.2%

LAC -3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	LAC	NBA	OKC	LAC	NBA
this game	14.0	14.9	14.7	127.0	118.2	107.5
season	14.2	14.2		109.4	109.2
opponent	14.6	15.3		109.0	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	16.7	11.8	12.1	15.9	14.0
LAC	13.3	15.3	15.6	15.4	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terrance Ferguson	65	67	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.18	9	1	8	13.1	15.9	-2.80	15.8	13.0	2.87
Carmelo Anthony	64	63	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.05	12	-2	14	14.2	13.7	0.45	15.0	14.7	0.25
Paul George	70	71	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.08	10	0	10	14.8	12.2	2.63	14.7	15.3	-0.57
Steven Adams	72	72	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.08	9	1	8	14.2	13.6	0.60	14.4	16.4	-2.01
Raymond Felton	45	43	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.20	2	8	-6	13.6	14.4	-0.84	14.5	15.2	-0.78
Patrick Patterson	29	29	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.16	2	8	-6	13.4	14.3	-0.93	16.4	14.3	2.13
Russell Westbrook	80	78	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.03	6	4	2	13.8	15.1	-1.32	15.0	14.5	0.55
Josh Huestis	32	31	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.08	4	6	-2	13.6	14.3	-0.70	14.4	15.2	-0.81
Jerami Grant	43	41	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.18	-4	14	-18	15.5	12.9	2.54	14.1	15.5	-1.39

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sindarius Thornwell	23	25	0.30	-0.80	1.10	-0.02	11	-21	32	13.2	15.4	-2.20	15.3	13.6	1.71
Sam Dekker	40	41	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.21	7	-17	24	14.7	15.0	-0.31	13.8	14.2	-0.48
Milos Teodosic	20	19	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.04	-6	-4	-2	15.3	14.8	0.49	14.1	14.0	0.02
DeAndre Jordan	78	80	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.03	-4	-6	2	14.6	16.0	-1.38	14.3	13.1	1.18
Wesley Johnson	63	61	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.01	-9	-1	-8	15.3	14.1	1.21	13.3	15.3	-1.99
Montrezl Harrell	21	21	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.22	-2	-8	6	15.8	14.7	1.08	14.5	13.9	0.55
Lou Williams	68	70	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.18	-4	-6	2	13.9	17.0	-3.09	13.9	14.3	-0.42
Blake Griffin	70	69	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.01	-12	2	-14	14.6	15.8	-1.20	13.8	14.5	-0.74
Jawun Evans	46	47	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.24	-10	0	-10	15.6	14.3	1.31	14.2	13.9	0.37
C.J. Williams	66	67	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.14	-21	11	-32	16.0	12.7	3.36	14.3	13.6	0.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.73,0.8,0.76,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.4,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.31,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.62,0.52,0.38,0.2,0.12,0.17,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 105, ORL 100	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.56,0.64,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.55,0.54,0.41,0.44,0.6,0.58,0.43,0.38,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.1,0.04,0.07,0	92.3%
PHX 103, WAS 87	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.28,0.31,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.38,0.24,0.23,0.14,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	92.0%
BOS 106, SEA 96	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.37,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.3,0.39,0.41,0.34,0.44,0.48,0.32,0.54,0.48,0.38,0.2,0.23,0.14,0.15,0.23,0.14,0.05,0.01,0.01,0	91.8%