inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 125 Excitement8.3 [235] MVPStephen Curry (GSW): +41.4%
Dallas Mavericks 122 Comeback1.3 [975] LVPDennis Smith Jr. (DAL): -15.2%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Stephen Curry0.410,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.07,0.410.180.280.051974%0.483-0.07580%0.00
Klay Thompson0.370,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.370.130.250.011966%0.411-0.0400%0.00
Patrick McCaw0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.030.05-0.01558%0.0900.00250%-0.02
David West0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.060.01-0.013100%0.091-0.011100%0.00
Kevin Durant0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.070.040.030.002154%0.132-0.064100%0.01
Draymond Green0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.03,0.030.03-0.02-0.021178%0.286-0.251100%0.01
Zaza Pachulia0.020,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.01458%0.0200.00475%0.01
Shaun Livingston-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.00425%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Jordan Bell-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.00325%-0.0400.002100%0.01
Nick Young-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.020.0020%-0.041-0.0300%0.00

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Harrison Barnes0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.350.350.080.280.011364%0.371-0.032100%0.01
Wesley Matthews0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.26,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.32,0.320.320.170.15-0.011192%0.392-0.07250%0.01
Dwight Powell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.190.020.02991%0.201-0.025100%0.03
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.03-0.011148%0.0100.00367%-0.01
Devin Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.020.02-0.01740%0.051-0.041100%0.01
Yogi Ferrell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.01,0.010.010.08-0.050.02869%0.0100.0000%0.00
J.J. Barea0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.030.00662%0.103-0.11967%-0.02
Maxi Kleber0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.020.02642%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Salah Mejri0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.0010%-0.012-0.0400%0.00
Dennis Smith Jr.0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15-0.15-0.07-0.050.031839%-0.112-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.10.828.614.030.51.828.2132.0
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.6134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +46.9%
DAL -5.8%
GSW +12.4%
DAL -8.0%
GSW +4.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWDALNBAGSWDALNBA
this game13.014.414.7120.2115.1107.5
season13.715.4112.6105.3
opponent14.315.1108.1105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW10.014.414.513.613.0
DAL15.714.414.912.614.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Patrick McCaw49510.420.080.350.1310-71712.913.2-0.3413.415.3-1.90
Klay Thompson82830.420.080.340.3912-113.212.50.6814.015.8-1.85
Stephen Curry76780.410.090.320.207-41112.015.9-3.9514.514.00.46
Jordan Bell40420.380.120.270.0910-71713.412.80.6315.113.91.23
Kevin Durant83840.370.130.250.235-2712.415.5-3.0514.613.51.11
David West31310.300.200.110.2812-114.812.32.4714.914.10.79
Shaun Livingston27280.180.32-0.140.21-14-514.712.42.3014.514.30.22
Draymond Green82830.140.36-0.220.46-1114-2513.411.61.8414.015.9-1.96
Nick Young2223-0.020.52-0.550.06-36-914.312.71.6215.314.11.13
Zaza Pachulia2827-0.110.61-0.720.01-47-1111.413.6-2.2515.014.20.84

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Yogi Ferrell45410.04-0.540.58-0.2811-142514.214.5-0.3913.512.70.78
Maxi Kleber3536-0.05-0.450.39-0.050-3314.814.20.5912.313.4-1.08
Dwight Powell6159-0.12-0.380.25-0.244-71114.014.9-0.9714.211.52.73
Salah Mejri109-0.14-0.360.230.07-74-1117.514.13.457.713.5-5.88
Harrison Barnes7474-0.24-0.260.03-0.292-5714.214.7-0.5312.813.6-0.74
J.J. Barea5253-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.30-1-2114.414.30.1314.211.82.42
Dennis Smith Jr.6766-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.23-41-514.713.80.8812.114.7-2.68
Dirk Nowitzki5756-0.39-0.11-0.27-0.36-1-2114.414.30.0612.713.5-0.82
Wesley Matthews8585-0.40-0.10-0.29-0.400-3314.015.9-1.9013.311.81.53
Devin Harris4441-0.530.03-0.560.03-1916-3514.514.30.2913.013.0-0.02


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.43,0.41,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.28,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.52,0.33,0.44,0.42,0.3,0.21,0.17,0.12,0.26,0.12,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.26,0
GameSimilarity Score
POR 88, MEM 760.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.33,0.24,0.28,0.33,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.22,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,092.8%
UTA 103, MIN 950.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.3,0.21,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.09,0.13,0.19,0.12,0.01,0.02,092.6%
DET 93, MIL 840.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.3,0.33,0.3,0.38,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.29,0.13,0.07,0.02,0.01,0,092.3%