NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	112		Excitement	7.9 [287]		MVP	Victor Oladipo (IND): +79.2%
Indiana Pacers	111		Comeback	50.5 [29]		LVP	Cory Joseph (IND): -9.4%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Rozier	0.53	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.53	-0.02	0.54	-0.02	9	50%	0.61	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	0.22	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.22	0.13	0.08	-0.01	23	62%	0.28	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Al Horford	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.03	0.06	-0.03	13	54%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Tatum	0.11	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	-0.01	-0.01	8	84%	0.18	2	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Semi Ojeleye	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	0.01	1	125%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jaylen Brown	0.05	0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05	0.04	-0.00	-0.01	9	57%	0.07	1	-0.02	5	20%	-0.06
Shane Larkin	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.03	-0.01	3	67%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	6	107%	0.19	7	-0.17	2	50%	-0.01
Daniel Theis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	4	50%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Aron Baynes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Victor Oladipo	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.41,0.79	0.79	0.24	0.57	0.02	23	64%	0.79	0	0.00	13	77%	0.05
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.01	6	72%	0.10	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.01
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	9	55%	0.09	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.03
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.07	-0.03	7	62%	0.12	2	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Joe Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.06	-0.06	0.08	-0.13	0.01	9	65%	-0.03	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Domantas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	14	56%	0.04	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.01
Myles Turner	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	3	17%	-0.05	1	-0.02	6	33%	-0.06
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	5	40%	-0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.4	27.4	14.6	29.9	1.7	38.3	138.7
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +101.0%

IND -36.1%

IND -10.3%

IND -11.9%

BOS +7.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	IND	NBA	BOS	IND	NBA
this game	14.9	14.5	14.7	115.5	112.1	107.5
season	15.1	14.8		106.4	108.3
opponent	15.0	14.7		106.7	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.0	14.5	15.5	15.5	14.9
IND	19.4	13.2	12.8	13.3	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shane Larkin	22	22	0.89	-0.39	1.28	1.01	-4	5	-9	17.5	14.1	3.43	15.7	14.2	1.53
Al Horford	71	75	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.27	13	-12	25	14.1	17.1	-3.03	14.9	13.2	1.75
Terry Rozier	60	60	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.47	-4	5	-9	14.5	15.6	-1.08	13.6	15.8	-2.19
Marcus Smart	60	61	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.40	-4	5	-9	13.9	16.6	-2.70	13.2	16.6	-3.47
Kyrie Irving	60	62	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.36	-5	6	-11	14.9	14.9	0.01	13.7	15.9	-2.19
Aron Baynes	42	44	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.08	9	-8	17	15.4	14.5	0.85	16.2	13.1	3.04
Daniel Theis	33	31	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.39	-11	12	-23	16.4	14.1	2.27	14.1	14.7	-0.53
Semi Ojeleye	31	29	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.17	-9	10	-19	17.0	13.9	3.09	13.7	14.8	-1.19
Jayson Tatum	64	67	-0.36	0.86	-1.21	-0.53	6	-5	11	13.9	16.8	-2.82	14.7	14.1	0.64
Jaylen Brown	52	55	-0.46	0.96	-1.41	-0.60	5	-4	9	14.8	15.0	-0.11	15.6	13.1	2.49

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lance Stephenson	57	56	0.58	-1.08	1.66	0.29	10	-11	21	14.7	14.3	0.40	15.1	14.6	0.50
Thaddeus Young	62	62	0.29	-0.79	1.09	0.44	-5	4	-9	14.5	14.6	-0.12	15.2	14.3	0.96
Joe Young	10	9	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-3	5	16.9	14.2	2.68	16.2	14.8	1.46
Al Jefferson	8	8	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	2	-5	16.9	14.3	2.59	11.0	15.2	-4.25
Myles Turner	54	53	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.02	-8	7	-15	15.0	13.9	1.03	15.4	14.3	1.02
Domantas Sabonis	62	61	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.58	12	-13	25	13.9	15.5	-1.63	14.7	15.3	-0.65
Cory Joseph	59	58	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.51	9	-10	19	14.0	15.2	-1.27	14.8	15.0	-0.13
Victor Oladipo	75	73	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.30	-3	2	-5	14.1	15.7	-1.66	14.4	16.4	-1.96
Darren Collison	50	50	-1.08	0.58	-1.66	-0.84	-8	7	-15	13.9	15.1	-1.24	14.7	15.1	-0.32
Bojan Bogdanovic	58	55	-1.14	0.64	-1.79	-0.82	-11	10	-21	15.4	13.2	2.22	15.3	14.4	0.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.21,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.18,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.21,0.31,0.14,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.17,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 102, WAS 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.26,0.22,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.22,0.29,0.17,0.28,0.17,0.16,0.4,0.31,0.1,0.11,0.42,0	91.4%
POR 85, MEM 79	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.15,0.18,0.23,0.26,0.22,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.16,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.21,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.18,0.12,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.23,0.42,0	91.3%
SEA 100, NYK 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.24,0.23,0.27,0.25,0.16,0.14,0.07,0.11,0.19,0.21,0.32,0.23,0.19,0.23,0.22,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.13,0.24,0.09,0.14,0.21,0.17,0.42,0	91.2%