NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	95		Excitement	8.1 [261]		MVP	Jeff Green (CLE): +33.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers	101		Comeback	7.2 [593]		LVP	Dwyane Wade (CLE): -22.0%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Frank Mason	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.05	0.09	0.00	6	68%	0.19	2	-0.05	10	60%	-0.03
Kosta Koufos	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.00	7	57%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaKarr Sampson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.06	0.00	6	50%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.00	0.05	-0.01	10	50%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	83%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	7	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Buddy Hield	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.11,0.05,0.1,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.03	-0.08	-0.02	13	63%	0.14	3	-0.18	1	100%	0.01
De'Aaron Fox	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	6	46%	0.02	4	-0.07	1	0%	-0.02
Zach Randolph	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	0.01	-0.10	-0.00	20	45%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovic	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.10	-0.02	8	31%	-0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.15	0.18	0.00	8	85%	0.33	0	0.00	4	100%	0.06
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.06,0,0.12,0.22	0.22	0.12	0.10	0.00	18	76%	0.42	7	-0.20	6	50%	-0.03
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.19,0.29,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.10	0.10	0.00	9	75%	0.25	1	-0.05	2	50%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	62%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.04	-0.02	16	51%	0.03	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedi Osman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JR Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.04	-0.02	7	43%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.13	-0.09	0.00	5	25%	-0.12	3	-0.10	6	33%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	1.7	27.1	14.4	24.4	2.4	31.5	123.6
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +24.4%

CLE +14.0%

CLE +1.3%

CLE +12.7%

SAC -2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	CLE	NBA	SAC	CLE	NBA
this game	15.7	14.6	14.7	100.0	106.3	107.5
season	15.4	14.8		102.9	111.2
opponent	14.7	14.7		110.6	110.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.4	14.1	17.2	17.6	15.7
CLE	13.3	14.2	15.5	15.8	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Garrett Temple	39	40	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.06	-3	-3	0	16.3	15.3	0.99	13.2	15.6	-2.44
Frank Mason	41	40	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-3	0	14.5	16.6	-2.14	14.0	15.0	-0.93
Kosta Koufos	33	32	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.04	-7	1	-8	15.2	16.0	-0.88	14.3	14.7	-0.42
Bogdan Bogdanovic	34	34	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.05	-6	0	-6	15.6	15.8	-0.22	14.6	14.6	0.09
George Hill	58	60	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.26	1	-7	8	16.1	15.2	0.92	15.1	13.6	1.52
Vince Carter	36	36	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.01	-9	3	-12	15.3	16.0	-0.68	14.7	14.5	0.21
JaKarr Sampson	67	66	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.35	2	-8	10	15.8	15.6	0.22	14.5	14.7	-0.14
Zach Randolph	62	63	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.36	1	-7	8	16.0	15.2	0.88	14.7	14.3	0.42
De'Aaron Fox	54	55	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.27	-3	-3	0	16.6	14.5	2.14	15.0	14.0	0.93
Buddy Hield	51	49	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.38	-3	-3	0	15.2	16.4	-1.19	15.0	14.2	0.81

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Korver	50	51	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.37	10	-4	14	15.1	14.0	1.04	15.4	16.1	-0.72
Jeff Green	47	46	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.37	5	1	4	15.3	13.9	1.44	15.6	15.9	-0.31
LeBron James	83	81	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.31	2	4	-2	14.6	14.5	0.10	16.0	14.2	1.77
Channing Frye	35	37	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.08	8	-2	10	14.6	14.6	-0.03	15.2	16.1	-0.88
JR Smith	66	67	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.26	0	6	-6	14.4	15.1	-0.74	15.6	16.1	-0.54
Dwyane Wade	49	49	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.02	7	-1	8	14.9	14.2	0.72	15.2	16.3	-1.16
Kevin Love	59	57	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.26	-3	9	-12	14.8	14.3	0.46	16.3	14.8	1.52
Cedi Osman	6	8	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.02	3	3	0	14.8	14.6	0.26	13.7	15.9	-2.16
Jose Calderon	32	31	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	6	-6	13.4	15.2	-1.83	16.7	15.3	1.41
Jae Crowder	48	48	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.06	-2	8	-10	13.9	15.3	-1.44	16.0	15.4	0.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.37,0.44,0.46,0.31,0.36,0.25,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.25,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.48,0.62,0.43,0.37,0.43,0.59,0.54,0.55,0.37,0.53,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 92, GSW 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.42,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.31,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.38,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.28,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.29,0.45,0.74,1	90.7%
NYK 74, LAC 78	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.48,0.41,0.31,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.57,0.38,0.42,0.31,0.41,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.57,0.91,1	90.5%
POR 96, NJN 98	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.27,0.29,0.34,0.2,0.19,0.29,0.32,0.41,0.45,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.3,0.38,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.39,0.55,0.45,0.43,0.92,1	90.4%